Splunk Inc
F:S0U
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one S0U stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.14 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 143.08 EUR, Splunk Inc is Overvalued by 62%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Splunk Inc. stands at the forefront of the data revolution, transforming the way organizations harness their vast amounts of machine-generated data. Founded in 2003, this California-based technology company has developed robust software platforms that allow businesses to search, analyze, and visualize real-time data from various sources such as IT systems, security, and business operations. By doing so, Splunk not only helps companies improve operational efficiency but also empowers them to make informed decisions based on actionable insights. In an increasingly data-driven world, the ability to swiftly respond to changing circumstances is invaluable, making Splunk's offerings essential to n...
Splunk Inc. stands at the forefront of the data revolution, transforming the way organizations harness their vast amounts of machine-generated data. Founded in 2003, this California-based technology company has developed robust software platforms that allow businesses to search, analyze, and visualize real-time data from various sources such as IT systems, security, and business operations. By doing so, Splunk not only helps companies improve operational efficiency but also empowers them to make informed decisions based on actionable insights. In an increasingly data-driven world, the ability to swiftly respond to changing circumstances is invaluable, making Splunk's offerings essential to numerous sectors, including finance, healthcare, and manufacturing.
For investors, Splunk represents a compelling opportunity in an expanding market. As organizations increasingly recognize the strategic importance of data analytics and security, Splunk's ongoing innovation and investment in artificial intelligence and cloud solutions promise sustained growth. The company's subscription-based revenue model provides stability and scalability, evidenced by its expanding customer base, which includes over 90 of the Fortune 100 companies. With a clear vision of becoming the premier data platform for security and observability, Splunk is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for data intelligence in the digital age, making it a noteworthy consideration for those looking to invest in a forward-looking technology company.
Splunk Inc. is a prominent player in the software industry, primarily known for its data analytics and monitoring solutions that help organizations make sense of machine-generated data. The company operates several core business segments that cater to different aspects of data analytics and operational intelligence. Here are the main segments:
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Data Management and Analytics:
- This segment includes tools and platforms for collecting, indexing, and analyzing high volumes of machine data from various sources. This is primarily achieved through Splunk Enterprise and Splunk Cloud, which allow businesses to monitor and analyze their data in real-time for operational visibility and performance optimization.
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Security Solutions:
- Splunk provides advanced security information and event management (SIEM) capabilities through its Splunk Enterprise Security product. This segment focuses on helping organizations detect, respond to, and mitigate security threats by analyzing security-related data and providing actionable insights.
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IT Operations:
- Splunk's IT Operations suite includes solutions for monitoring IT infrastructure, application performance, and user experience. This segment leverages machine data to enhance the reliability and performance of IT services, aiding in diagnosing issues faster and reducing downtime.
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Business Analytics:
- Through its analytics tools, Splunk allows organizations to derive business insights from their data. This segment targets business users who seek to analyze trends, customer behavior, and operational efficiency through user-friendly dashboards and reporting features.
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Cloud Services:
- With the increasing shift towards cloud computing, Splunk's offerings include various cloud-based services that enhance scalability and flexibility. Splunk Cloud provides customers with an easier deployment model, supporting subscription-based billing and reducing the need for on-premises infrastructure.
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Observability:
- This segment focuses on providing comprehensive visibility into modern applications and infrastructure. Splunk’s observability capabilities help organizations monitor applications, infrastructure, and user experience to optimize performance and resolve issues proactively.
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Developer and Ecosystem:
- Splunk supports a rich ecosystem that includes development tools and APIs for building applications on its platform. This segment fosters innovation and allows third-party developers to create apps that extend Splunk’s functionality.
By strategically addressing these core business segments, Splunk Inc. positions itself as an essential tool for organizations looking to harness their data for improved decision-making, enhanced security posture, and operational efficiency.
Splunk Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the data analytics and observability market:
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Robust Data Processing Capabilities: Splunk's platform excels at ingesting and processing vast amounts of machine-generated data in real-time. This capability allows businesses to derive insights quickly, which is crucial for operational efficiency and timely decision-making.
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Versatile Use Cases: Unlike some competitors that may focus on specific industries or applications, Splunk's platform is highly versatile and can be used across various sectors for IT operations, security, business analytics, and more. This broad applicability allows it to serve a diverse customer base.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Trust: Splunk has established itself as a leader in the data analytics space, fostering strong brand recognition. The company's reputation for reliability and performance can instill trust among potential customers.
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Extensive Ecosystem and Integrations: Splunk offers a rich ecosystem of applications, add-ons, and integrations with other software tools. This interoperability allows organizations to leverage their existing technologies and enhances the attractiveness of the Splunk platform.
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Powerful User Interface and Experience: Splunk's user interface is designed to be user-friendly, allowing both technical and non-technical users to navigate and derive insights from data effectively. This ease of use contributes to higher user adoption and satisfaction.
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Scalability: Splunk's platform is highly scalable, capable of handling the needs of small businesses to large enterprises. This scalability provides customers with confidence that the solution can grow with their business needs.
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Strong Community and Support: Splunk has built a robust community of users and a comprehensive support framework. The active community not only provides support but also contributes to the development of new apps and functionalities.
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Enterprise-Level Security Features: Splunk has strong capabilities in security information and event management (SIEM). This focus on security is a significant draw for enterprises looking to enhance their cybersecurity posture.
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Innovative Product Development: Splunk invests actively in R&D to innovate and expand its offerings, including enhanced analytics, machine learning, and artificial intelligence capabilities, which can provide customers with deeper insights and predictive capabilities.
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Subscription-Based Revenue Model: Splunk's subscription pricing model allows for recurring revenue, providing a steady cash flow and enabling better financial predictability compared to competitors with more transactional pricing.
These competitive advantages position Splunk favorably in its market, allowing it to maintain a strong presence and continue growing against both established and emerging competitors.
Splunk Inc., as a leading provider of operational intelligence and data analytics solutions, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The data analytics and IT operations management space is highly competitive, with numerous players including established companies like Microsoft, IBM, and newer entrants. Increased competition can lead to pricing pressure and impact market share.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology can render existing products or services obsolete. Splunk must continuously innovate and adapt to emerging technologies such as AI, machine learning, and cloud computing to stay relevant.
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Customer Retention and Churn: As businesses increasingly shift to alternative solutions, maintaining customer loyalty and reducing churn is vital. Unsatisfied customers or those seeking more cost-effective solutions could impact revenue growth.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can affect IT spending as companies may cut budgets on analytics and surveillance systems. Splunk may face reduced demand for its products during economic stress.
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Data Security and Privacy Regulations: Compliance with data protection regulations such as GDPR and CCPA is essential. Any lapses could result in legal ramifications or loss of customer trust, directly impacting Splunk's reputation and profitability.
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Dependency on Subscription Revenue: A significant portion of Splunk’s revenue comes from subscription models. Economic fluctuations or customer dissatisfaction can affect renewal rates, directly impacting revenue predictability.
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Integration and Implementation Challenges: As companies seek to implement complex data solutions, Splunk must ensure that its products can seamlessly integrate with existing systems. Complications in implementation can lead to project delays and customer dissatisfaction.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry is highly competitive for skilled talent, particularly in fields like data science and engineering. Attracting and retaining top talent is critical for innovation and operational success.
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Global Supply Chain Issues: With a complex ecosystem of hardware and software, any disruption in the supply chain (due to geopolitical tensions, pandemics, etc.) could impact service delivery and product development.
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Market Perception and Brand Reputation: Any major product flaws or service outages can damage brand reputation, leading to erosion of trust among existing and potential customers.
In light of these risks and challenges, Splunk will need to focus on strategic planning, innovation, and robust risk management practices to navigate the rapidly evolving landscape effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Splunk Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Splunk Inc
Current Assets | 4.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2B |
Receivables | 1.8B |
Other Current Assets | 307.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 37.5m |
PP&E | 216.3m |
Intangibles | 1.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 797.4m |
Current Liabilities | 2.6B |
Accounts Payable | 34.7m |
Accrued Liabilities | 542.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 281.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Splunk Inc
Revenue
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4.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-852.7m
USD
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Gross Profit
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3.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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239.5m
USD
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Other Expenses
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24.2m
USD
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Net Income
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263.7m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Splunk Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Amidst market uncertainity, the company achieved a 16% year-over-year growth in total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reaching $3.858 billion, surpassing its initial 15% growth forecast. Cloud ARR soared by 27% to $1.918 billion, with cloud revenue up 29% to $445 million. Operational efficiency initiatives drove a non-GAAP cloud gross margin record of 73.8%, a 450 basis point increase. Consequentially, operating expenses decreased by 3%, aiding a 16.7% non-GAAP operating margin. Free cash flow for the quarter was positive, defying seasonal trends. The company revised its full-year ARR projection, raising the lower end to $4.15 billion and holding the high end at $4.175 billion. Annual revenue outlook increased slightly to between $3.925 billion and $3.95 billion. Notably, non-GAAP OpEx growth is now expected at around 2.5% for fiscal '24, contributing to a projected non-GAAP operating margin of 21% to 21.5%.
What is Earnings Call?
S0U Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Splunk Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Splunk Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
S0U Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Splunk Inc's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Splunk Inc's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
S0U Price Targets Summary
Splunk Inc
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for S0U is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Splunk, Inc. engages in the development and marketing of software solutions. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California and currently employs 7,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2012-04-19. The firm's portfolio consists of three categories of offerings: Splunk Platform, Splunk Solutions and Customer and Partner Solutions. The Splunk portfolio of offerings is delivered as a mix of cloud services offerings and on-premise licensed software offerings that customers and partners deploy in their own environments. The Splunk platform is a real-time data platform comprising collection, streaming, indexing, search, reporting, analysis, machine learning, alerting, monitoring and data management capabilities. Its Splunk Solutions include Splunk security solutions and Splunk observability solutions. Its Customer and Partner solutions include pre-built data inputs, workflows, searches, reports, alerts, custom dashboards, flexible user interface (UI) components, custom data visualizations, and integration actions and methods.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one S0U stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.14 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 143.08 EUR, Splunk Inc is Overvalued by 62%.