Amerco
F:AUK
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AUK stock under the Base Case scenario is 53.7 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 66.5 EUR, Amerco is Overvalued by 19%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Amerco
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Fundamental Analysis
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Amerco, the parent company of U-Haul, has established itself as a key player in the moving and storage industry since its inception in 1945. With a mission centered around providing affordable and convenient moving solutions, Amerco has built a robust network of more than 22,000 locations across the United States and Canada. This extensive presence ensures that it is well-positioned to capture a diverse customer base, from families relocating to new homes to businesses seeking temporary storage solutions. The company’s operational model revolves around a unique mix of rental trucks, trailers, portable storage units, and self-storage facilities, allowing it to adapt to the evolving needs of c...
Amerco, the parent company of U-Haul, has established itself as a key player in the moving and storage industry since its inception in 1945. With a mission centered around providing affordable and convenient moving solutions, Amerco has built a robust network of more than 22,000 locations across the United States and Canada. This extensive presence ensures that it is well-positioned to capture a diverse customer base, from families relocating to new homes to businesses seeking temporary storage solutions. The company’s operational model revolves around a unique mix of rental trucks, trailers, portable storage units, and self-storage facilities, allowing it to adapt to the evolving needs of consumers.
For investors, Amerco represents a compelling opportunity driven by its solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company has consistently posted strong revenue figures, bolstered by a rising trend in the do-it-yourself moving market and increasing demand for storage solutions, particularly in urban areas. Amerco's commitment to innovation—evidenced by its digital initiatives and fleet modernization—enhances customer experience while improving operational efficiency. As the economy continues to fluctuate, the resilience of Amerco’s business model shines, positioning it well for long-term growth. With an unwavering focus on customer satisfaction and strategic expansion, investors may find Amerco not just a safe harbor in turbulent waters but also a promising investment for future growth.
Amerco, primarily known for its U-Haul rental services, operates in several core business segments:
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U-Haul Rentals: This is the most recognized segment of Amerco, offering truck and trailer rentals, as well as portable storage solutions. It caters to individuals and businesses needing transportation for moving purposes, showcasing a wide range of vehicles and equipment.
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Self-Storage: Amerco owns and operates self-storage facilities under the U-Haul brand. These facilities provide customers with secure storage options for personal or business items, complementing their rental services.
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Moving Supplies and Equipment Sales: This segment involves selling packing supplies, furniture pads, and other moving-related tools. U-Haul retail locations often include these products, creating an additional revenue stream.
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U-Box and Portable Storage: U-Box is a service that offers portable storage containers, allowing customers to pack at their convenience. This segment supports both local and long-distance moves, providing flexibility for customers.
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Insurance and Protection Plans: Amerco also provides insurance options for customers renting vehicles, helping mitigate potential damages and losses during the moving process.
These segments work synergistically to enhance the customer experience during the moving process while also contributing to the overall revenue model of Amerco. The strong brand recognition and extensive network of services give it a competitive edge in the moving and storage industry.
Amerco, the parent company of U-Haul, possesses several unique competitive advantages that enable it to maintain a strong position in the moving and storage industry. Here are some key advantages:
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Brand Recognition: U-Haul is a well-established and recognized brand in the moving industry. This strong brand equity attracts customers who are looking for reliable moving solutions.
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Extensive Network: Amerco has a vast network of locations across North America, allowing for convenient access to rental trucks, trailers, and storage facilities. This extensive coverage gives them an edge over competitors who may have limited geographical reach.
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Diverse Product Offerings: Amerco offers a wide range of services, including truck and trailer rentals, self-storage facilities, and moving supplies. This diverse product line serves different customer needs and increases the potential for cross-selling.
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Economies of Scale: Due to its size and extensive operations, Amerco can achieve economies of scale that allow for lower operational costs. This can translate into competitive pricing options for customers.
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Strong Customer Loyalty Programs: U-Haul has developed customer loyalty programs and incentives that encourage repeat business. Satisfied customers who have had a positive experience are likely to choose U-Haul for future moves.
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Innovative Technology: Amerco has invested in technology to streamline operations, enhance customer service (such as online reservations), and improve logistics management. This gives them a technological edge over smaller competitors who may not have the same resources.
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Experience and Industry Knowledge: With decades of experience in the industry, Amerco has built significant expertise in operations, customer service, and market dynamics. This experience helps them navigate challenges and trends effectively.
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Financial Resilience: As a well-capitalized company, Amerco is positioned to invest in new opportunities, withstand economic downturns, and weather operational challenges better than smaller competitors might.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Amerco is well-equipped to maintain its leadership position in the moving and storage industry while fending off competitive threats.
Amerco, the parent company of U-Haul, faces several potential risks and challenges in the near future:
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Economic Downturns: Economic fluctuations can significantly impact demand for moving services. A recession may lead to decreased consumer spending and less need for relocation, affecting revenue.
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Competitive Pressure: The moving and storage industry is competitive, with both established companies and new entrants vying for market share. Increased competition can lead to price wars and diminished profit margins.
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Operational Issues: Challenges related to vehicle maintenance, fleet management, and logistics can impact service delivery. Any operational inefficiencies can hurt customer satisfaction and profitability.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations related to transportation, safety, and labor can increase compliance costs and impact operations. This may include changes in labor laws or environmental regulations affecting fleet emissions.
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Technological Disruption: Advancements in technology could alternatively benefit or challenge Amerco. Innovations in logistics, self-driving vehicles, or new customer service platforms could reshape the industry landscape.
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Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Disruptions in the supply chain related to vehicle procurement, equipment availability, or fuel prices can impact operational efficiency and costs.
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Customer Behavior Changes: Shifts in consumer preferences, such as increased interest in alternative transportation or changing attitudes toward renting vs. ownership, can affect demand for services.
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Environmental Concerns: Consumers are increasingly mindful of sustainability. Amerco may face pressure to adopt eco-friendly practices and reduce carbon emissions, requiring investment and adaptation.
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Pandemic Recovery: The ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic may still influence moving trends, workforce availability, and operational approaches, potentially leading to unpredictable demand.
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Labor Market Challenges: Attracting and retaining skilled labor amid a tight labor market can pose challenges, particularly in customer service and operational roles.
Addressing these risks involves strategic planning, investment in technology, operational efficiencies, and responsiveness to market trends.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Amerco
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Amerco
Current Assets | 1.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 253.6m |
Other Current Assets | 405.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 17.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 3.1B |
PP&E | 14.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 310.9m |
Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Accounts Payable | 248.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 639.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 841.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 10.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 6.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Amerco
Revenue
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5.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-3.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.2B
USD
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Operating Income
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894.4m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-327.1m
USD
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Net Income
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567.3m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Amerco
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the first quarter, U-Haul reported $195 million in earnings, down from $257 million the previous year. This decline was largely due to a decrease in gains from retired equipment sales. Equipment rental revenue saw its first year-over-year increase in eight quarters, rising by $15 million, or 1.5%. Self-storage revenue increased by $17 million, or 8%, driven by an uplift in average revenue per occupied foot. Operating expenses rose by $21.5 million, affecting margins. U-Haul anticipates full-year capital expenditures to reach $1.09 billion. Despite industry challenges, the company remains focused on enhancing customer service to maintain its market position.
What is Earnings Call?
AUK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Amerco's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Amerco's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AUK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Amerco's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Amerco's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AUK Price Targets Summary
Amerco
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AUK is 64.21 EUR with a low forecast of 63.58 EUR and a high forecast of 66.09 EUR.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for AUK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
AUK Price
Amerco
Average Annual Return | -2.89% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 68.69% |
Max Drawdown | -93% |
Market Capitalization | 13B EUR |
Shares Outstanding | 196 077 880 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
AMERCO engages in the insurance and moving and storage businesses. The company is headquartered in Reno, Nevada and currently employs 13,488 full-time employees. The firm operates through three segments: Moving and Storage, Property and Casualty Insurance, and Life Insurance. The Moving and Storage segment consist of the rental of trucks and trailers, sales of moving supplies, sales of towing accessories, sales of propane, and the rental of fixed and portable moving and storage units to the do-it-yourself mover and management of self-storage properties owned by others. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment provides loss adjusting and claims handling for U-Haul through regional offices in the United States and Canada. The Life Insurance segment provides life and health insurance products primarily to the senior market through the direct writing and reinsuring of life insurance, Medicare supplement and annuity policies.
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The intrinsic value of one AUK stock under the Base Case scenario is 53.7 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 66.5 EUR, Amerco is Overvalued by 19%.