Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
ELI:JMT
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one JMT stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.72 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 17.8 EUR, Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA is Undervalued by 38%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA is a well-established Portuguese multinational that has carved out a prominent position in the food and grocery retail sector. Founded in 1792, the company has evolved from its origins as a small grocery store into a major player in the European market, especially through its ownership of brands like Pingo Doce and Recheio. With a steadfast commitment to quality and customer satisfaction, Jeronimo Martins operates primarily in Portugal and Poland, where it has successfully adapted its business model to resonate with local consumer preferences. Its strategic focus on modern retail formats and the expansion of its private label offerings has allowed the company to main...
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA is a well-established Portuguese multinational that has carved out a prominent position in the food and grocery retail sector. Founded in 1792, the company has evolved from its origins as a small grocery store into a major player in the European market, especially through its ownership of brands like Pingo Doce and Recheio. With a steadfast commitment to quality and customer satisfaction, Jeronimo Martins operates primarily in Portugal and Poland, where it has successfully adapted its business model to resonate with local consumer preferences. Its strategic focus on modern retail formats and the expansion of its private label offerings has allowed the company to maintain a competitive edge, driving consistent revenue growth and solidifying its reputation as a reliable investment choice.
In recent years, Jeronimo Martins has embraced sustainability and innovation, investing in technology and supply chain improvements to enhance operational efficiency and reduce environmental impact. The company's robust financial performance, marked by steady sales growth and prudent cost management, positions it favorably in the retail landscape. For investors, Jeronimo Martins represents an opportunity to engage with a company that not only has deep historical roots but also demonstrates a forward-thinking approach to the evolving retail environment. With a track record of resilience, a diverse portfolio, and a commitment to community and sustainability, Jeronimo Martins stands out as a promising investment in the consumer sector.
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA is a Portuguese multinational company primarily involved in the retail and distribution sectors. Its core business segments include:
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Retail (Biedronka): This is the largest segment and represents the company's key revenue driver. Biedronka operates a chain of discount supermarkets in Poland, focusing on providing a wide range of products at competitive prices. This segment emphasizes cost efficiency and customer accessibility.
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Food Distribution: Jeronimo Martins also engages in food distribution through its cash & carry wholesale business under the brand Recheio, primarily in Portugal. This segment services a variety of business customers, including horeca (hotels, restaurants, catering) and independent retailers.
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Other Retail Operations: This segment includes other retail formats and brands operating mainly in Portugal and Colombia. For example, Pingo Doce is a food store chain that provides a diverse assortment of groceries and household products, and it operates both large supermarket formats and smaller neighborhood stores.
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Private Label Products: Within its retail segments, Jeronimo Martins emphasizes private label products, offering a range of goods under its own brands, which contributes to higher margins and customer loyalty.
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International Expansion: Jeronimo Martins is committed to expanding its market presence outside Portugal, with Biedronka being a successful example of international growth. The company continuously explores opportunities to diversify and enter new markets, particularly in Eastern Europe and Latin America.
These segments collectively contribute to Jeronimo Martins' strategy of delivering value to customers while enhancing operational efficiency and maintaining strong financial performance.
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA, a prominent player in the food distribution and retail sector, particularly in Portugal, Poland, and Colombia, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Jeronimo Martins owns several well-known grocery banners, such as Pingo Doce in Portugal and Biedronka in Poland. These brands have strong customer loyalty and recognition, which provide a solid foundation for competitive positioning.
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Cost Leadership: The company's focus on cost efficiency, particularly seen in Biedronka’s operations in Poland, allows it to maintain lower prices than many competitors. Economies of scale, effective supply chain management, and a straightforward store layout contribute to this advantage.
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Bargaining Power with Suppliers: Due to its significant market presence and volume of purchases, Jeronimo Martins has notable leverage in negotiations with suppliers, enabling the company to secure better terms and prices.
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Local Market Expertise: The company has deep knowledge of the local markets in which it operates, allowing for tailored marketing strategies, product offerings, and customer engagement that resonate with local consumers.
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Strategic Geographic Expansion: Jeronimo Martins pursues strategic growth through careful market selection, as seen in its expansion into Poland and Colombia. This allows it to tap into new consumer bases and diversify its revenue streams while mitigating risks associated with economic fluctuations in a single market.
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Sustainability Practices: The company actively embraces sustainability initiatives in sourcing, packaging, and community engagement. This commitment can enhance brand reputation and attract consumers who prioritize environmentally friendly practices.
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Technology Adoption: Jeronimo Martins is investing in technology for logistics, inventory management, and customer engagement. The use of data analytics helps optimize operations and provides insights into consumer behavior, further enhancing operational efficiency.
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Private Label Products: The development of private label offerings allows for higher margins and customer loyalty, as customers may perceive these products as providing good value compared to national brands.
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Focused Market Segmentation: By operating distinct banners catering to different customer segments (e.g., discount stores like Biedronka versus more premium options like Pingo Doce), Jeronimo Martins can successfully target a wide array of consumer preferences.
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Resilient Business Model: The essential nature of food retailing, especially during economic downturns or crises (like the COVID-19 pandemic), can help Jeronimo Martins maintain steady performance despite market volatility.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Jeronimo Martins not only sustains its market position but also positions itself for sustainable growth in the future.
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA, a Portuguese multinational company typically engaged in the retail and distribution of food and consumer goods, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Volatility: Changes in economic conditions, including inflation, recession, or fluctuating GDP growth, can impact consumer spending and, consequently, the company’s sales. Economic downturns could lead to reduced consumer demand for non-essential goods.
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Competition: The retail sector is highly competitive, with both international and local players vying for market share. Jeronimo Martins must continuously innovate and improve its value proposition to compete effectively and retain customer loyalty.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events such as pandemics, geopolitical tensions, or natural disasters can disrupt supply chains, leading to operational challenges, increased costs, and potential stock shortages.
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Regulatory Compliance: The company operates in multiple jurisdictions, each with its own regulatory environment regarding health and safety, labor laws, and environmental standards. Ensuring compliance can be complex and costly, and non-compliance could lead to fines or reputational damage.
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E-commerce Transformation: The shift towards online shopping requires significant investment in technology and logistics. Jeronimo Martins must adapt quickly to this trend to capture online market share amid increasing consumer expectations for convenience and speed.
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Consumer Preferences: Changes in consumer tastes and preferences, particularly towards healthy and sustainable products, may require Jeronimo Martins to adapt its product offerings. Failure to do so could lead to lost sales.
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Foreign Exchange Risk: As a multinational entity, fluctuations in currency exchange rates could affect profitability, especially if operational costs increase or revenues are generated in foreign currencies.
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Technological Advances: Rapid technological changes require ongoing investment in new systems and processes to keep pace with competitors and consumer expectations. Failure to invest appropriately could lead to operational inefficiencies.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: Attracting and retaining skilled talent in a competitive labor market poses a challenge. Employee turnover can affect operational effectiveness and service quality.
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Sustainability and Social Responsibility: Increasing scrutiny on corporate sustainability efforts means that Jeronimo Martins must prioritize ethical sourcing, environmental impact, and social responsibility initiatives. Failing to meet these expectations can lead to consumer backlash and reputational harm.
The above challenges necessitate a robust risk management strategy and the ability to adapt quickly. Maintaining a focus on efficient operations, consumer trends, and strategic investments will be critical for Jeronimo Martins to navigate these risks successfully.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
Current Assets | 4.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 892m |
Other Current Assets | 1.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 10B |
Long-Term Investments | 89m |
PP&E | 8.8B |
Intangibles | 793m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 296m |
Current Liabilities | 7.5B |
Accounts Payable | 5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 961m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 509m |
Earnings Waterfall
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
Revenue
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32.4B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-25.8B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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6.6B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-5.4B
EUR
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Operating Income
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1.2B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-528m
EUR
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Net Income
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653m
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
Jerónimo Martins started 2024 strong, growing sales by 18.6% (€5.5% like-for-like). Despite deflation and high costs, EBITDA grew 13.9% to €1 billion. The company expanded, opening 63 stores and remodeling 62, improving its market position. However, EBITDA margin fell 26 basis points due to intense competition and labor cost increases. Looking forward, deflation continues to be a challenge, but strategic investments in price competitiveness and store efficiencies are expected to help maintain growth. The positive Q1 results were also influenced by favorable calendar effects.
What is Earnings Call?
JMT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
JMT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
JMT Price Targets Summary
Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JMT is 21.26 EUR with a low forecast of 15.15 EUR and a high forecast of 27.3 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for JMT is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Jerónimo Martins SGPS SA engages in the production, distribution, and sale of food and other fast moving consumer goods product. The firm's activities are divided into three business segments: Portugal Retail, which comprises operation of Pingo Doce supermarkets; Portugal Cash & Carry, which includes the wholesale business unit Recheio, and Poland Retail, which operates a network of supermarkets under the Biedronka brand name. In addition, the Company is involved in the operation of drugstores under the Hebe banner and pharmacies under the Apteka Na Zdrowie brand name. The firm also manages a network of supermarkets under the Ara brand name in Colombia. The firm is a subsidiary of Sociedade Francisco Manuel Dos Santos BV.
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The intrinsic value of one JMT stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.72 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 17.8 EUR, Jeronimo Martins SGPS SA is Undervalued by 38%.