Orsted A/S
CSE:ORSTED
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ORSTED stock under the Base Case scenario is 759.67 DKK. Compared to the current market price of 380 DKK, Orsted A/S is Undervalued by 50%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Orsted A/S
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Fundamental Analysis
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Orsted A/S is a Danish energy company at the forefront of the global transition to renewable energy. Originally established as a state-owned utility focusing on oil and gas, Orsted underwent a remarkable transformation beginning in the late 2000s, pivoting its core operations toward offshore wind energy and other sustainable solutions. This bold strategic shift has positioned Orsted as a leader in the offshore wind sector, enabling it to harness the power of the sea to generate clean electricity. With an ambitious goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2025, the company is not only tackling climate change but is also capitalizing on the growing demand for renewable energy, making it an attractiv...
Orsted A/S is a Danish energy company at the forefront of the global transition to renewable energy. Originally established as a state-owned utility focusing on oil and gas, Orsted underwent a remarkable transformation beginning in the late 2000s, pivoting its core operations toward offshore wind energy and other sustainable solutions. This bold strategic shift has positioned Orsted as a leader in the offshore wind sector, enabling it to harness the power of the sea to generate clean electricity. With an ambitious goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2025, the company is not only tackling climate change but is also capitalizing on the growing demand for renewable energy, making it an attractive option for investors looking to align their portfolios with sustainable initiatives.
In recent years, Orsted has significantly expanded its global footprint, operating in markets such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and Asia. Their continued investments in innovative technologies and projects, such as the development of green hydrogen and energy storage, demonstrate a strong commitment to long-term growth and sustainability. As governments worldwide ramp up efforts to reduce carbon emissions, Orsted is well-positioned to benefit from favorable regulatory conditions and increased investment in green infrastructure. For investors, Orsted A/S not only offers a promising avenue for capital appreciation but also aligns with the growing trend towards responsible investing. With a robust pipeline of projects and a clear vision for a sustainable future, Orsted is a compelling choice for those looking to invest in the energy sector's transformation.
Ørsted A/S, a Danish energy company, is a global leader in renewable energy, particularly in offshore wind. The core business segments of Ørsted include:
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Offshore Wind: Ørsted is primarily known for its large-scale offshore wind farms. This segment involves the development, construction, and operation of offshore wind facilities, including project management, research, and innovation in wind technology. Ørsted has a significant portfolio of operational projects and a robust pipeline for future developments.
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Onshore Wind: In addition to offshore initiatives, Ørsted also invests in and operates onshore wind farms. This segment includes the generation of renewable energy through land-based wind turbines and contributes to the company's overall sustainability goals.
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Solar Energy: Ørsted is involved in solar energy projects, although this segment is smaller compared to their wind operations. The company invests in solar farm development and collaborates with other renewable energy entities to expand its solar footprint.
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Bioenergy and Thermal Power: Ørsted operates bioenergy facilities that convert organic materials into energy, contributing to its sustainability credentials. The company is transitioning from fossil fuels to renewable biomass, reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This segment also includes cogeneration plants that generate electricity and heat.
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Energy Markets and Trading: Ørsted engages in energy trading, optimizing its asset portfolio and maximizing the value of its renewable energy sources. This segment involves buying and selling electricity, managing risk, and ensuring competitive pricing in the energy markets.
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Grid Solutions: Ørsted invests in grid infrastructure, including the development of energy storage solutions and integration technologies that support renewable energy distribution and efficiency.
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Green Hydrogen: Ørsted is exploring green hydrogen production as part of its strategy for a future low-carbon economy. This involves using renewable energy to produce hydrogen, positioning the company at the forefront of the emerging hydrogen market.
These segments collectively enable Ørsted to capitalize on the transition to renewable energy, aligning with global energy trends and sustainability goals. The company's strong commitment to reducing carbon emissions has solidified its position as a leader in the renewable energy sector.
Ørsted A/S, a leader in renewable energy, particularly in offshore wind, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Market Position: Ørsted is one of the largest players in the offshore wind market, having developed significant capacity and projects across Europe, the United States, and Asia. Their established presence helps them secure contracts and attract partnerships.
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Expertise and Proven Track Record: With years of experience in developing, constructing, and operating offshore wind farms, Ørsted possesses deep technical expertise. Their established processes and know-how reduce project risks and improve efficiency.
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Vertical Integration: Ørsted's integrated business model allows it to control various stages of the value chain, from project development to operations. This integration helps reduce costs and optimize supply chain management.
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Innovation and Technology Leadership: Ørsted invests heavily in R&D, driving innovation in turbine technology, energy storage solutions, and grid integration. Their focus on technology leadership helps differentiate them from competitors.
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Strong Financial Backing: Ørsted benefits from robust financial strength, enabling it to invest in large-scale projects and absorb short-term losses during market fluctuations. This financial stability can create a competitive edge in securing favorable project financing.
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Government Support and Regulatory Advantage: Ørsted has established relationships with governments and regulatory bodies, securing subsidies and favorable policies in key markets. This support encourages investment and expedites project approvals.
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Focus on Sustainability and ESG: Ørsted’s commitment to sustainability and a clear ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) strategy enhances brand reputation and appeals to investors and consumers increasingly prioritizing ethical standards.
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Diverse Portfolio: In addition to offshore wind, Ørsted is investing in other renewable energy areas, such as onshore wind, solar power, and green hydrogen. This diversification mitigates risks associated with reliance on a single energy source.
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Global Expansion Strategy: Ørsted actively pursues international growth, establishing a presence in emerging markets for renewable energy. This proactive approach allows them to capitalize on new opportunities faster than many competitors.
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Collaborative Partnerships: Ørsted often partners with other companies, research institutions, and governments to leverage shared knowledge, resources, and networks, enhancing its capabilities and market reach.
These advantages combine to position Ørsted as a formidable player in the rapidly growing renewable energy sector, providing them with a sustainable edge over competitors.
Orsted A/S, a leading renewable energy company, particularly in offshore wind, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies, subsidies, and regulations related to renewable energy can significantly impact Orsted's business model and profitability. The company must navigate varying regulations across countries where it operates.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, could lead to delays in projects and increased costs for materials needed for wind turbines and other infrastructure.
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Cost Inflation: Rising costs for materials, labor, and logistics can affect project budgets and timelines. This inflation could reduce margins and affect competitiveness.
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Technological Challenges: The rapid pace of technological advancements in the renewable energy sector can present both opportunities and challenges. Orsted must continually innovate and adapt to stay competitive, particularly in areas like energy storage and grid integration.
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Competition: The renewable energy market is becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants and existing companies expanding their capabilities in offshore wind and solar energy. Maintaining market share and competitive pricing is critical.
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Financing Risks: Changes in interest rates and financial market conditions can impact Orsted's ability to finance new projects. Moreover, access to capital is crucial for expanding operations and development.
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Project Execution Risks: As an infrastructure-heavy company, delays, cost overruns, and operational issues can arise during the construction and commissioning phases of projects, affecting timelines and financial performance.
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Climate Change Impacts: Ironically, while Orsted aims to combat climate change, it may also face challenges related to it, such as extreme weather events that can disrupt operations or increase costs.
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Public Perception and Stakeholder Engagement: Growing public scrutiny and concerns over environmental impacts, local community engagement, and social license to operate can lead to delays or complications in project development.
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Market Demand and Energy Prices: Fluctuations in energy prices and demand for renewable energy can influence revenue streams. Economic downturns can particularly impact energy consumption patterns.
These risks require Orsted to adopt robust risk management strategies while staying agile in a rapidly evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Orsted A/S
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Orsted A/S
Current Assets | 77.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 39.4B |
Receivables | 16.9B |
Other Current Assets | 21.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 212.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.1B |
PP&E | 195.7B |
Intangibles | 2.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 13.5B |
Current Liabilities | 57.8B |
Accounts Payable | 15.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 38.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 145.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 87.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 58.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Orsted A/S
Revenue
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64.3B
DKK
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Cost of Revenue
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-36.7B
DKK
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Gross Profit
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27.6B
DKK
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Operating Expenses
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-13.6B
DKK
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Operating Income
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14.1B
DKK
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Other Expenses
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-9B
DKK
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Net Income
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5.1B
DKK
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Orsted A/S
DKK | |
Free Cash Flow | DKK |
In Q2 2024, Ørsted reported a 59% increase in EBITDA to DKK 5.3 billion, driven by new wind farms and higher wind speeds. Offshore sites contributed DKK 4.4 billion, up 40% from last year. Despite industry challenges and project delays, Ørsted's long-term targets remain unchanged. The company commissioned around 2 gigawatts of renewable capacity, aiming for 35-38 gigawatts by 2030. They finalized partnerships and investment decisions, including a 300 MW battery storage system. Ørsted reiterated its 2024 EBITDA guidance of DKK 23-26 billion and reduced gross investment guidance to DKK 44-48 billion due to timing shifts.
What is Earnings Call?
ORSTED Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Orsted A/S's profitability score is 40/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Orsted A/S's profitability score is 40/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ORSTED Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Orsted A/S's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Orsted A/S's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ORSTED Price Targets Summary
Orsted A/S
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ORSTED is 467.79 DKK with a low forecast of 358.55 DKK and a high forecast of 567 DKK.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ORSTED is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Ørsted A/S engages in the provision of renewable energy solutions. The firm operates through three segments: Wind Power, engaged in the development, construction and operations of wind farms; Bioenergy and Thermal Power, responsible for the generation of electricity and heat from thermal power stations; and Distribution and Customer Solutions, responsible for the purchase, sale and distribution of energy. The firm's competences are aimed at three core activities: development and construction of assets, operations and maintenance of assets, and sales and optimization of the energy commodities portfolio.
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The intrinsic value of one ORSTED stock under the Base Case scenario is 759.67 DKK.
Compared to the current market price of 380 DKK, Orsted A/S is Undervalued by 50%.