Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one RAIL3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.56 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 19.92 BRL, Rumo SA is Undervalued by 15%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Rumo SA
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling RAIL3 based on its intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
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Revenue Forecast |
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Operating Income Forecast |
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Earnings Forecast |
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Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Rumo SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rumo SA
Current Assets | 11.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.4B |
Receivables | 1.4B |
Other Current Assets | 929.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 38.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 347.1m |
PP&E | 27.2B |
Intangibles | 6.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.6B |
Current Liabilities | 5.5B |
Accounts Payable | 759.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 292m |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 28.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 21.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 7.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Rumo SA
Revenue
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11.7B
BRL
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Cost of Revenue
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-7.1B
BRL
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Gross Profit
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4.6B
BRL
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Operating Expenses
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-650.8m
BRL
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Operating Income
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4B
BRL
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Other Expenses
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-3B
BRL
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Net Income
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1B
BRL
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rumo SA
BRL | |
Free Cash Flow | BRL |
In Q2 2024, Rumo achieved a 48% rise in adjusted EBITDA to BRL 2.1 billion, driven by increased volumes and a 32% yield growth. Adjusted net income skyrocketed over four times to BRL 721 million. A BRL 2.6 billion provision for impairment due to extreme weather impacted Rio Grande do Sul, though it was non-cash. Additionally, Rumo completed a BRL 169 million sale of terminal stakes. Financial leverage improved to 1.5x. Rumo also entered a new joint venture with CHS for a port facility in Santos. Despite volume challenges, the company has solid contract levels and anticipates better volumes ahead.
What is Earnings Call?
RAIL3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Rumo SA's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Rumo SA's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
RAIL3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Rumo SA's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Rumo SA's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
RAIL3 Price Targets Summary
Rumo SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RAIL3 is 29.77 BRL with a low forecast of 24.24 BRL and a high forecast of 34.65 BRL.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for RAIL3 is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
RAIL3 Price
Rumo SA
Average Annual Return | -6.73% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 15.97% |
Max Drawdown | -47% |
Market Capitalization | 36.8B BRL |
Shares Outstanding | 1 849 514 718 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
RUMO SA engages in the provision of logistics services. The company is headquartered in Curitiba, Parana. The company went IPO on 2017-03-13. Through its subsidiaries, the Company operates in the rail transportation segment in the Southern and the Midwest regions of Brazil, with rail network that consists of five concessions with approximately 13,500 km of railroad tracks. Rumo SA manages also transshipment terminals located in the states of Mato Grosso, Sao Paulo, Parana, and Rio Grande do Sul, as well as port elevation in terminal in Porto de Santos. In addition, through Brado Logistica e Participacoes SA, it is engaged in container operations. The firm offers transportation of agricultural commodities, fuel and final goods, intermodal freight transport, integrated warehousing services, port operations and handling of merchandises, among others.
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The intrinsic value of one RAIL3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.56 BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 19.92 BRL, Rumo SA is Undervalued by 15%.