Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3

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Rumo SA Logo
Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3
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Price: 19.96 BRL 1.22% Market Closed
Market Cap: 36.9B BRL
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one RAIL3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.63 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 19.96 BRL, Rumo SA is Undervalued by 16%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

RAIL3 Intrinsic Value
23.63 BRL
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
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Rumo SA

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Business Breakdown

Rumo S.A. has carved a significant niche in Brazil's logistics and transportation sector, positioning itself as a pivotal player in the country's supply chain landscape. Founded in 1997, the company capitalized on Brazil's extensive rail networks, focusing on freight transportation across various industries, including agriculture and consumer goods. Rumo's strategic advantages stem from its ability to offer cost-effective solutions and efficient intermodal services, linking rail with road and port transport. This integrated approach not only optimizes logistics for its customers but also enhances the competitive viability of the Brazilian goods market, particularly for agribusiness, which ac...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Rumo SA

Current Assets 11.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 9.4B
Receivables 1.4B
Other Current Assets 929.3m
Non-Current Assets 38.8B
Long-Term Investments 347.1m
PP&E 27.2B
Intangibles 6.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 4.6B
Current Liabilities 5.5B
Accounts Payable 759.5m
Accrued Liabilities 292m
Other Current Liabilities 4.4B
Non-Current Liabilities 28.9B
Long-Term Debt 21.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 7.8B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Rumo SA

Revenue
11.7B BRL
Cost of Revenue
-7.1B BRL
Gross Profit
4.6B BRL
Operating Expenses
-650.8m BRL
Operating Income
4B BRL
Other Expenses
-3B BRL
Net Income
1B BRL

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Rumo SA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

RAIL3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Rumo SA's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Operating Income
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
55/100
Profitability
Score

Rumo SA's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

RAIL3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Rumo SA's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Positive Net Debt
38/100
Solvency
Score

Rumo SA's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

RAIL3 Price Targets Summary
Rumo SA

Wall Street analysts forecast RAIL3 stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RAIL3 is 29.97 BRL with a low forecast of 24.24 BRL and a high forecast of 36.75 BRL.

Lowest
Price Target
24.24 BRL
21% Upside
Average
Price Target
29.97 BRL
50% Upside
Highest
Price Target
36.75 BRL
84% Upside
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Dividends

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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for RAIL3 is .

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Shareholder Yield
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Profile

Rumo SA Logo
Rumo SA

Country

Brazil

Industry

Road & Rail

Market Cap

36.9B BRL

Dividend Yield

0.46%

Description

RUMO SA engages in the provision of logistics services. The company is headquartered in Curitiba, Parana. The company went IPO on 2017-03-13. Through its subsidiaries, the Company operates in the rail transportation segment in the Southern and the Midwest regions of Brazil, with rail network that consists of five concessions with approximately 13,500 km of railroad tracks. Rumo SA manages also transshipment terminals located in the states of Mato Grosso, Sao Paulo, Parana, and Rio Grande do Sul, as well as port elevation in terminal in Porto de Santos. In addition, through Brado Logistica e Participacoes SA, it is engaged in container operations. The firm offers transportation of agricultural commodities, fuel and final goods, intermodal freight transport, integrated warehousing services, port operations and handling of merchandises, among others.

Contact

PARANA
Curitiba
Rua Emilio Bertolini, 100 - Vila Oficinas
+554121417504.0
pt.rumolog.com

IPO

2017-03-13

Employees

8 602

Officers

Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Pedro Marcus Lira Palma
Chief Financial & Investor Relations Officer
Mr. Rafael Bergman
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Daniel Rockenbach
Chief Services & Technology Officer and VP of Services & Technology
Mr. Marcos Rodrigues da Costa
Chief of Regulation & Sustainability Officer
Mr. Guilherme Penin Santos de Lima
Executive IR Manager
Gustavo Marder da Rosa

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one RAIL3 stock?

The intrinsic value of one RAIL3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.63 BRL.

Is RAIL3 stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 19.96 BRL, Rumo SA is Undervalued by 16%.

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