Rumo SA (BOVESPA:RAIL3)

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Price: 17.23 BRL -3.47%

Market Cap: 32B BRL

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Section:

Relative Value

The Relative Value of one RAIL3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 29.88 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 17.23 BRL, Rumo SA is Undervalued by 42%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

What is Relative Valuation?

How is Relative Value calculated?

RAIL3 Relative Value

Base Case

Worst Case

Base Case

Best Case

Valuation Multiples

2.4

P/S

vs History	95
vs Industry	15

Median 5Y

4.1

Industry

0.8

Forward

2.3

More Details

Negative

P/E

vs History
vs Industry	7

Median 5Y

52.2

Industry

14.8

Forward

14.2

More Details

4.5

P/OCF

vs History	95
vs Industry	40

Median 5Y

8.5

Industry

7.4

More Details

Negative

P/FCFE

vs History
vs Industry	36

Median 5Y

10.7

Industry

17.7

More Details

2.1

P/B

vs History	47
vs Industry	18

Median 5Y

2.4

Industry

1.3

More Details

3.4

EV/S

vs History	95
vs Industry	12

Median 5Y

5.4

Industry

1.2

Forward

3.2

More Details

7.8

EV/GP

vs History	95
vs Industry	17

Median 5Y

18.4

Industry

5.4

More Details

6.1

EV/EBITDA

vs History	95
vs Industry	35

Median 5Y

11.1

Industry

Forward

5.7

More Details

8.9

EV/EBIT

vs History	95
vs Industry	41

Median 5Y

20.7

Industry

13.8

Forward

8.4

More Details

6.4

EV/OCF

vs History	95
vs Industry	40

Median 5Y

10.9

Industry

9.9

More Details

20.3

EV/FCFF

vs History	57
vs Industry	22

Median 5Y

24.7

Industry

17.4

More Details

1.1

EV/IC

vs History	60
vs Industry	24

Median 5Y

1.3

Industry

0.9

More Details

Multiples Across Competitors

All Multiples

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

Forward Multiples

			Market Cap	P/S	P/E	EV/EBITDA	EV/EBIT
BR		Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3	32.3B BRL	2.4	-45.8	6.1	8.9
US		Union Pacific Corp NYSE:UNP	138.3B USD	5.7	20.8	14	17.4
CA		Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd TSX:CP	101.7B CAD	7	28.7	17.1	23.2
CA		Canadian National Railway Co TSX:CNR	91.4B CAD	5.3	16.8	13.2	17
US		CSX Corp NASDAQ:CSX	61.7B USD	4.2	17	11.1	14.4
US		Norfolk Southern Corp NYSE:NSC	53.3B USD	4.4	22.1	12	15.6
CN		Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd SSE:601816	281.4B CNY	6.7	22.2	17.2	17.2
US	K	Kansas City Southern LSE:0JQ4	4.2B USD	1.4	43.3	5	6.6
HK		MTR Corp Ltd HKEX:66	156.4B HKD	2.7	16.2	18.7	18.7
JP		East Japan Railway Co TSE:9020	3T JPY	1.1	13.9	9.2	18.7
JP		Central Japan Railway Co TSE:9022	2.8T JPY	1.6	6.6	7.9	10.4

				Revenue Growth	P/S to Growth
BR		Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3	Average P/S: 3.9 2.4	16%	0.2
US		Union Pacific Corp NYSE:UNP	5.7	3%	1.9
CA		Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd TSX:CP	7	12%	0.6
CA		Canadian National Railway Co TSX:CNR	5.3	5%	1.1
US		CSX Corp NASDAQ:CSX	4.2	3%	1.4
US		Norfolk Southern Corp NYSE:NSC	4.4	3%	1.5
CN		Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd SSE:601816	6.7	7%	1
US	K	Kansas City Southern LSE:0JQ4	1.4	N/A	N/A
HK		MTR Corp Ltd HKEX:66	2.7	5%	0.5
JP		East Japan Railway Co TSE:9020	1.1	5%	0.2
JP		Central Japan Railway Co TSE:9022	1.6	3%	0.5

				Earnings Growth	PEG
BR		Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3	Average P/E: 20.8 Negative Multiple: -45.8	66%	N/A
US		Union Pacific Corp NYSE:UNP	20.8	9%	2.3
CA		Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd TSX:CP	28.7	12%	2.4
CA		Canadian National Railway Co TSX:CNR	16.8	1%	16.8
US		CSX Corp NASDAQ:CSX	17	6%	2.8
US		Norfolk Southern Corp NYSE:NSC	22.1	25%	0.9
CN		Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd SSE:601816	22.2	13%	1.7
US	K	Kansas City Southern LSE:0JQ4	43.3	N/A	N/A
HK		MTR Corp Ltd HKEX:66	16.2	30%	0.5
JP		East Japan Railway Co TSE:9020	13.9	12%	1.2
JP		Central Japan Railway Co TSE:9022	6.6	5%	1.3

				EBITDA Growth	EV/EBITDA to Growth
BR		Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3	Average EV/EBITDA: 11.9 6.1	19%	0.3
US		Union Pacific Corp NYSE:UNP	14	7%	2
CA		Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd TSX:CP	17.1	16%	1.1
CA		Canadian National Railway Co TSX:CNR	13.2	6%	2.2
US		CSX Corp NASDAQ:CSX	11.1	4%	2.8
US		Norfolk Southern Corp NYSE:NSC	12	8%	1.5
CN		Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd SSE:601816	17.2	19%	0.9
US	K	Kansas City Southern LSE:0JQ4	5	N/A	N/A
HK		MTR Corp Ltd HKEX:66	18.7	38%	0.5
JP		East Japan Railway Co TSE:9020	9.2	6%	1.5
JP		Central Japan Railway Co TSE:9022	7.9	3%	2.6

				EBIT Growth	EV/EBIT to Growth
BR		Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3	Average EV/EBIT: 15.3 8.9	23%	0.4
US		Union Pacific Corp NYSE:UNP	17.4	7%	2.5
CA		Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd TSX:CP	23.2	18%	1.3
CA		Canadian National Railway Co TSX:CNR	17	6%	2.8
US		CSX Corp NASDAQ:CSX	14.4	4%	3.6
US		Norfolk Southern Corp NYSE:NSC	15.6	9%	1.7
CN		Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Railway Co Ltd SSE:601816	17.2	10%	1.7
US	K	Kansas City Southern LSE:0JQ4	6.6	N/A	N/A
HK		MTR Corp Ltd HKEX:66	18.7	23%	0.8
JP		East Japan Railway Co TSE:9020	18.7	N/A	N/A
JP		Central Japan Railway Co TSE:9022	10.4	N/A	N/A

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Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3

Relative Value

Valuation Multiples

Multiples Across Competitors

RAIL3 Competitors Multiples
Rumo SA Competitors

See Also

Company

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52 Week Range	17.23 24.09
Price Target

Rumo SA BOVESPA:RAIL3

Relative Value

Valuation Multiples

Multiples Across Competitors

RAIL3 Competitors Multiples Rumo SA Competitors

See Also

Company

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Rumo SA
BOVESPA:RAIL3

RAIL3 Competitors Multiples
Rumo SA Competitors