Petro Rio SA
BOVESPA:PRIO3

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Petro Rio SA
BOVESPA:PRIO3
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Market Cap: 33.1B BRL
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q2

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J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Good afternoon, and welcome to PRIO's second quarter conference call. I am Jose Gustavo, Investor Relations and Treasury Manager, and I will be hosting this event. For simultaneous translation, please choose the sound channel icon on the bottom of your Zoom screen. A translated presentation is available on our Investor Relations website.

The presentation and comments about the results will be made by our CEO, Roberto Monteiro; our CFO, Milton Rangel, our COO, Francisco Francilmar. After the presentation, they will be available for a Q&A session. [Operator Instructions].

This event is being recorded and will be posted on our IR website. This presentation contains information based on future estimates and projections based on assumptions by the company. These may change, and therefore, should not be taken as fact or used as a basis for financial forecasts beyond the plans that the company discloses.

I would now like to hand over to our CEO, Roberto Monteiro.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Good afternoon, one and all, and welcome to our earnings call to discuss second quarter 2023. It is a great pleasure to be here presenting these results to our investors, to several PetroRio employees as well and to our stakeholders in general.

Well, to talk a little bit in a succinct way about the quarter, I believe that we had 2 big stars, right? The first of them, I don't know which was the first, which was the second, but one of the stars was our production. We reached a record production of 91,000 barrels per day in the quarter, and we also reached a daily production volume of 100,000 barrels per day. The average for the quarter was 91,000 and production today is around 100,000 barrels daily.

This is all thanks to the great operational -- operating efficiency, the resumption of Albacora, the continuous improvement of our Albacora field and obviously, to the drilling campaign, the revitalization campaign of Frade Field, which has been bearing excellent fruit.

The second big highlight of this quarter was our lifting cost. Yes, our lifting cost that was as low as $7.4 per barrel. We have been on a downward trend throughout the whole last year. With the addition of Albacora, the lifting cost increased a bit to $9.5. And now obviously, with all this production, we managed to deliver a very strong lifting cost of $7.4 per barrel.

All this leads to a sales volume of 7.1 million barrels of oil sold in the quarter, which generates a net revenue of $530 million. We are going to talk a little bit about discounts ahead, but we also see discounts being reduced. We had a discount of $9 a barrel, give or take, in Q1, but already falling to levels below $7 in Q2 and already pointing to a further improvement in the next quarter. So this generates a net revenue of $532 million and EBITDA of $333 million in spite of our export tax event in the quarter alone amounted to $47 million, and a net income of $185 million.

Moving on to the next slide. We see here the graphical representation of the lifting cost. So this $7.4 per barrel is the lowest in the history of the company. Average production of 91,000 is also an all-time high in the history of the company. We reached the mark of 100,000 barrels per day. Today, we are producing a little bit more than 100,000 barrels daily.

And this leads to another consequence, which is the company's cash that was affected in the first quarter with the closing of Albacora, with the closing of Dommo. We have an inventory issue as well when we had some postponements.

Anyway, we ended Q1 with a cash position of $104 million. In Q2, we are already at $240 million. And we have accounts receivable. Of course, this is not part of the cash, but it can be considered as quasi cash in the order of $282 million. So the company is very healthy.

During the quarter, we also had a program or executed a large part of the share buyback program. If I'm not mistaken, we bought -- and we'll talk a little bit later about this, Milton will touch on it, but it was 60 -- almost $70 million in terms of shares purchased. And always maintaining a level of buyback, so that we continue to have a very sound cash position and a very healthy leverage ratio.

We see on the slide that we reached a 1.1x net debt over EBITDA ratio. In short, the company is super prepared for growth, for investing with an extremely sound balance sheet structure.

Well, I'll turn the floor to Francilmar, and then I'll come back. After Francilmar, Milton will present, and I'll come back to talk a little about sustainability and the next steps. Thank you.

F
Francisco Francilmar
COO

Hello, folks. Thank you very much, Roberto. I'm going to continue on Slide 5 with the performance of the assets. This quarter was one in which we made an exceptional delivery. And I'd like to thank the team's effort because this is the result of many people who have been working hard for a long time in the company. It is another important step.

We delivered the strongest quarter in terms of production and with very, very good cost control. This is not a sporadic event. It is something that we have been building brick by brick here at the company. We delivered in all fields a significant increase in production that helped reduce the price of barrel produced or the lifting cost, which also had a great help from cost reduction. This led us to deliver this significant increase in production and a significant reduction in the lifting cost, which makes us proud and certain that we are on the right track to build an increasingly resilient company.

I'll run through the details now, starting with Slide 6. Talking specifically about the lifting costs, in this quarter, we had a reduction of more than 20% in the price of barrel produced, very much due to the increase in production in all assets and the cost reduction basically also in all assets despite some obstacles along the way.

So this was very good. We will continue at this pace with this trend despite having challenges here and there mainly due to tightening of the supply chain and some prices that tend to put some pressure. But we continue to work to find alternatives and cope with this environment because we strongly believe that the only production we really have is to have an efficient operation with a lifting cost as low as possible. And we believe we have this, and it is our mission to strive to reach an even better number.

On Slide 7, let's talk a bit about Frade. We had a very strong quarter also in this asset, where we made important deliveries. We delivered 2 producing wells. There was a significant increase in production.

We had a scheduled maintenance stoppage that was planned in March. Actually, it was in May. We stopped for 3 days to resolve important issues to continue having an asset with good operating efficiency as it is, right? The Frade FPSO is very efficient, providing very important stability and reliability.

We needed to stay that way, so the whole team is working very hard to make it happen. So the only thing that impacted here despite the efficiency being below 90% was the scheduled stoppage and the lack of production of producing well MUP3, which is still under maintenance.

After we delivered the new wells, we have the rig now performing the job of restoring this well, which should come into production over the next 3 to 4 weeks. That's what we expect. So this is Frade, an asset with a very good performance.

Let's move now to Slide 8, please. Here, we detail a little bit more the revitalization campaign. We concluded the first and second phases and as well of the third phase, which we drilled ahead of schedule, was an opportunity that we identified, thanks to the performance of the first well that we put into production last year, ODP4.

And we saw that the reservoir had a much larger volume of oil in place. And that could fit a well and eventually a second well, a third one maybe. It's all being evaluated. We managed to find and the team is really to be congratulated for managing to make the construction of this well in good time and linked to a very good realization cost. And we managed to put this well into production now already at the beginning of the third quarter, which really shows the great potential of Frade. So all this is part of the reservoir that we already knew.

In this quarter, we did some research of this. Looking at this map here on the left side, there is the prospect of MaracanĂŁ in green. And we did some research and confirmed that there is oil. In the future, we will make an assessment of the extent of this discovery to confirm if it is commercial, how many wells fit, how we can put together a strategy to have production.

Potentially, we'll do some more research. I hope that maybe it will happen in this second half of the year, a little further on. But Frade shows us that there is still a lot of potential in the future. We need to do a lot of homework to digest all the information and set up this third phase for Frade Field.

Moving on to Slide 9. Let's drill down a little bit on Polvo and TBMT. Here, we had a quarter of deliveries and ensuring plant stability and reliability. We delivered 2 wells that were stopped. Workovers and repairs were completed. So production increased considerably.

The FPSO worked very well in terms of stability. And there was a very important gain, i.e., we managed to take another step forward in improving power generation, consuming less diesel and using more gas at the field. And this ended up giving us a substantial reduction in the overall cost and the OpEx of the unit.

So that's it. The name of the quarter for Polvo and TBMT is stability and efficiency, and it's gone very well. The challenge here in the future is to design a new campaign and to have an increase in production to continue moving forward and working to have a good cost benefit ratio in the assets.

Moving on to Slide 10. We are going to go into more detail about what the quarter was like in Albacora Leste. It was a quarter of progress. We had a first quarter that was complicated because we were beginning to understand the asset more. We found issues much more challenging than we thought, and it was very hard work to reestablish a lot of maintenance to establish reliability in these systems that were integrated. This has been done, and we see the evolving step by step.

We can see in the operating efficiency graph on the right, in June, we already reached 74%, almost 75% efficiency. In July, we've already moved up a notch. We've already managed to repair and deliver a lot, and a lot is being done.

It's a very big task force effort, and we believe that in the coming months, this will improve step by step. We are working very hard so that by year-end, we can reach the operating efficiency we are aiming for above 85%.

This is our big goal. The challenge is great, but everyone is very focused. A lot of people with a lot of determination working to deliver this. And production has been responding, and it will continue to follow our efficiency improvement. As we increase the efficiency of the plant, improving reliability and stability, production will follow. And we expect this to happen, to improve over the coming months of the year.

So now we move on to the next slide, Slide 11, to talk about Wahoo. Well, Wahoo is the asset that we are working to develop. It's a big project of the company. It is in full development. So we are in different battle fronts: execution of equipment construction, equipment deliveries already happening, works on the FPSO to receive the oil so we can be in a better position to control. The work in the subsea area's also all happening as scheduled. Everything is going well.

The rig that is being designed towards there is our Hunter Queen rig that is in the final stages of mobilization and repair. The only point of attention we have in which we are working very hard and very closely is obtaining the drilling license, the environmental license to drill at Wahoo. It is in the final stage at IBAMA. We have been following the process of close, and we hope to obtain it in the coming months.

So everything is moving forward. We have a plan A, B and C. And so we will move forward over the next few months. So with that, the first oil and what we see in this whole process, so we do have some options. But for first oil, we keep to the schedule. In the second quarter of next year, we should be starting Wahoo production.

So that's it. And I'll turn the floor now to my friend, Milton. Thank you.

M
Milton Rangel
CFO

Thank you, Francilmar. Good afternoon, everyone. Continuing our presentation on Slide 12, we will talk about PRIO's financial performance in the quarter, okay? Well, the second quarter of 2023 is marked by quantity of barrels sold of 7,156,000 barrels.

The Brent fell a little compared to the first quarter of '23. The average Brent of our contracts was around $77. And on top of that, we have discounts, we have selling costs. But with that, we reached this revenue of $532 million.

A very important and relevant point of our quarter concerns the export tax, which is basically what is in this line of internal sales and export taxes in the order of $47 million in this quarter alone. So this was a big offender for our results.

Apart from that, there are commercialization expenses. That includes freight, insurance and other related expenses related to the offtake in the order of $34 million. So it is natural that it grows over the quarters due to increasing quantity sold in the company's current scale.

With this, we reached a total FOB revenue of $450 million. Very positive highlight of the quarter, as already mentioned, refers to the lifting cost, which relates to the cost of goods sold, COGS, of $7.5 million per barrel.

Other than that, we had an increase in G&A, and this is largely explained by the appreciation of the BRL, remembering that most part of our G&A is basically in BRL. And when you have a stronger BRL, this number in U.S. dollars increases. So this explains, by a large extent, the increase in G&A in the quarter.

Well, with that, the EBITDA stood at $331 million, and adjusted EBITDA stood at $333 million, and still a very strong result. This shows the strength of the company despite the export tax.

Anyway, we continue to deliver a very solid result. Depreciation and amortization were higher due to Albacora Leste in essence, and the entry of the asset impacts the result as depreciation is higher. And with this, our profit for the period amounted to $184 million, which is quite a strong result for our quarter.

We are now moving on to Slide #13 on funding and also looking at the chart more in the center, the amortization schedule, we've noticed that there is already a payment of bilateral debt in 2023 of USD 70 million; in 2024, a higher amount, $386 million of bilateral debts; 2025, a little bit as well. 2026 is our international bond. In 2027, we have our debenture in BRL swapped to dollars.

I think it's important to mention here that we are absolutely fully funded with no need for additional debt or any rollover to honor these commitments. The company has been generating a lot of cash, and we are very comfortable from a liquidity point of view.

Well, obviously, if there is any opportunity or any interesting situation for us to do any kind of liability management, we can certainly take advantage of that. But it's definitely not a necessity. It could be just an opportunity.

Regarding the duration and the average cost of debt today, we are at 2.5 years of duration. And it makes sense for this number to fall because we have not been taking on new debt. The debts are finally approaching their maturity. And the average cost is around 6%, which is a very competitive cost for this duration and for the company of our size. So anyway, the capital structure and finance situation are well balanced for the company.

Moving on to Slide 14, we talk a little bit about cash variation. Starting from a net debt position in the first quarter of $1.643 billion. We had a very positive EBITDA generation of $333 million and a positive variation of working capital.

In essence, in the first quarter of '23, we had a very high volume of receivables, which materialized and turned into cash throughout the second quarter. So among all of the effects of working capital, a very positive effect of $113 million prevailed basically justified by the receipt of these receivables that consisted of sales we made in March and the cash that came in between April and May.

M&A expenses, basically, we are referring to fees from the closing of Albacora Leste and related things. Share buyback of almost $70 million, an investment that was certainly very profitable; a capital allocation that in our view made a lot of sense. CapEx of $188 million, and here, we are talking about Wahoo development. There is the Frade campaign that is moving in full swing and still something related to the integrity of Albacora Leste and a little bit of maintenance also in Bravo. The financial result of $32 million and taxes amounting to $22 million. And with that, a net debt of $1.5 billion at the close of the second quarter of 2023.

Now moving to Slide 15 and talking a bit about leverage and capital structure. Again, we see that the leverage of the company was at 1.1 net debt over EBITDA, which is what we have in covenant and something that we watch very closely. This amount remained the same in the second quarter of '23.

In part -- I mean the trend would have been for this to have fallen. But it was maintained because we chose to intensify our share buyback program. And this ends up using cash and influence -- and influencing the indicator. And we also intensified CapEx at Wahoo and Albacora Leste Fields.

So with absolutely no concern here, we also see a trend pointing to a reduction of this indicator for the coming quarters. And basically, we see no big fuss here.

Moving on. I'm going to hand the floor over to Roberto, who will talk about the environment, society and the company's next steps. Thank you all, and have a very good afternoon.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, thank you, Milton. Now let's talk a little bit about sustainability first, and then we will talk about the company's next steps.

To talk about sustainability, the environment and society, I would like to start with the issue of emissions. And also, I will refer to our environmental responsibility. We recently released our sustainability report, where I would say one of the main indicators was the carbon footprint or kilograms of CO2 equivalent per barrel of oil produced.

In the second quarter of 2023, we reported now in the second quarter 21 kilograms of carbon per barrel, which is an improvement when compared to December, which had been 22 kilograms per barrel. And if I'm not mistaken, I think last year was something around 27 or something around that range.

This is in our sustainability report. So we showed an improvement when compared to the fourth quarter, and we showed an improvement over last year. And if we were to do some fully comparable things, we would have to exclude Albacora because just like the lifting cost, Albacora started with a slightly worse number when compared to the company's figures. Therefore, if we were to exclude Albacora in the second quarter of 2023, we would have shown 17 kilograms of carbon per barrel, which is already starting to be a carbon footprint that is very much in line with our operations and quite in line with our type of operation.

From a safety standpoint, at PRIO, we held a sustainability and safety week with several lectures and activities addressing the subject, ANP itself participating in the event with some presentations in order to raise awareness and to engage our employees more and more on the subject.

Regarding the pillar of health and wellbeing, we continue to carry out a mental and body health program. Taking care of our own body through marathon, races, volleyball championships, hiking and canoeing. In short, it's always a super diverse thing that we have here in the company. And that has a huge involvement of our employees. And I think this is one of the great programs that we have in the company.

And we also focus a lot on cultural sponsorships. This quarter, we were able to sponsor several events, some theater plays like Fronteiras do Pensamento. We also maintained our sponsorship to the Paralympic team. Therefore, it was a quarter filled with achievements.

And on this side as well, as we said in our release, the company cannot be measured only by its financial data because there is an intangible aspect that is also important, and it is our responsibility. And this is the work we have been doing.

Now if we move to the next slide on the next steps, I'm going to list here a couple of things. And as you all already know, the first and the last items are constant. They always appear here, the focus on the safety and health of our employees and third-party employees, our responsibility to society and to the environment.

And the last item is also a next step that always appears, which is to keep our focus on new M&A opportunities. Today, our major focus is on these intermediate topics. Today, we are concluding the workover of the MUP3A well at the Frade Field, which is a well that started producing last year and had a sand production problem. We closed the well, and it has been closed for a few months. We finally did the workover, and we should put it into production before the end of August.

Even Frade revitalization campaign itself, which is approaching the end of this phase, we now have some exploratory wells, some demarcation work of the MaracanĂŁ prospect, which Francilmar mentioned. And with that, we go to other things, Frade goes back to the stage of, I mean, let's call it, engineering, reservoirs, subsea engineering and everything to implement a new phase in the future now that we are collecting all the data.

But we now move on to the next front, which is Wahoo, where today, we are working on the environmental licensing, both for drilling and the pipeline for Wahoo. And we intend to reach the first oil by the second quarter of next year, which means in less than 12 months.

So anyway, here, we have 2 things, 2 big major focus in our area, mainly in terms of the engineering areas, subsea, reservoir engineering and so on. There is another super important point that concerns the operating efficiency of Albacora Leste. We had a very difficult month in February. March was slightly better. April was difficult again. So there were a lot of ups and downs.

The month of June was already a much better month in terms of operating efficiency. The month of July, this one now, I mean, the one that just ended now was even better. So I would say that in Albacora, we are beginning to see the results of our management.

Now we have the field much more under control. We are beginning to reach efficiency rates which make a little bit more sense in view of all the work we are doing in the field. Our goal of reaching the end of the year close to 90 with 80 something of operating efficiency remains largely intact. The beginning was a little bit more difficult, but we have been able to make consistent progress to get to that result.

And the last point here which is worth noting is that we are drilling again at the Polvo Field in the Eocene reservoir. The last time we drilled at Polvo was in 2020, early 2020. It was even during the pre-COVID days. And since then, we have focused a lot on the operating stability of Polvo. Polvo and TBMT have reached excellent production stability and efficiency that once reached 99% efficiency rate. But today, it is operating at an average of around 95% to 97%. So it's very good. And now we are finally going to resume our drilling program or at least we will do this drilling there in the Eocene reservoir at Polvo, which should be delivered now in the third quarter of the year.

Well, that's all. I would like to thank everyone very much for joining us today. I would like to thank the determination and drive of our employees because, as always, this is what makes the difference.

I often say here at PetroRio that we can have great technicians, and we do have great technicians. But what really stands out is our culture, our willingness to go a little further. So thank you all very much. Thank you to the investors and society that always supports us.

And with that, I would like to open up for questions. Thank you.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. We'll start the question-and-answer session now. Our first question comes from Pedro Soares with BTG.

P
Pedro Soares
BTG

I guess I have two questions. Starting with the lifting cost. In the past call, you spoke about reaching lifting cost of $7 per barrel when you had Wahoo added. So how would you rephrase this expectation now with data of the second quarter and with the July data. Francilmar also mentioned some threats or challenges that could happen. He mentioned that in the initial comments. So perhaps you could put that into context.

My second question has to do a little bit about the remuneration policy, potential distribution or payout. We know that you have a share buyback program that extends until March of 2024, if I'm not mistaken. Is there any discussion? I know people always ask about that. But are you thinking about perhaps paying more dividends, still trying to put into context the inorganic growth opportunities that you might see. I think these are my 2 questions.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Thank you, Pedro. Well, I'll answer both questions. Regarding the first, the lifting cost, then Francilmar is kicking my leg here under the table. But regarding the lifting cost, we reached $7.4 per barrel. Today, average production in the quarter was 91,000 barrels daily. Now we are at 100,000 -- slightly over 100,000 barrels a day. So the trend is that the lifting cost until the end of the year until we add Wahoo is that it will be around that. I think it will be around $7, perhaps a little more or a little less. But I think we'll start with $7 until we have Wahoo.

Now with Wahoo, that should come down and get close to perhaps $6, even close to $5. But it will depend on Wahoo, it will depend on Albacora Leste and how it develops next year and so on and so forth. So in the short term, in the next 6 months, I think that this lifting cost will remain at around $7, between $7 and $8 per barrel but starting at $7 a barrel.

And of course, the big star of the lifting cost was our production. We were very successful with Frade wells. They started producing a lot more, thus diluting our lifting cost. And that's why I believe that we will remain at around that, just like we will remain at around 100,000 barrels daily for some time perhaps until the end of the year. We are not expecting any great decline.

We have MUP3A well that will start producing at Frade. We'll add another well at Polvo. So with these new wells, we don't expect great production from these wells. We won't have any wells adding 8,000 or 10,000 barrels, but it will offset and recover any potential decline. So we should maintain this level of production.

So regarding the share buyback program, Pedro, what we have approved by the Board is the buyback of shares up to 10% of the capital, the company's capital, and this is what we are working for. There are 2 things that we consider regarding this program. We still have a lot of room. It doesn't make any sense to speak about dividends or such things. We are not going to have a dividend policy because we have this program in place.

But the point is M&A opportunities that we think might arise. Today, we are not actively looking at any deals specifically. So I don't want you to have this false expectation at this point, but we are always considering possibilities. We are always considering business opportunities.

If these business opportunities start maturing, it is only natural that we'll buy back a little less. We'll hold on to a little more cash so that we can take advantage of these opportunities should they arise. So that's one side of the equation that we'll look.

The other side of the equation is our net debt over EBITDA ratio. We don't want to go beyond 1x, 1.1x net debt over EBITDA ratio. If the Brent price increases, if you think about the Brent at $80, $85, that's what we've been seeing in the last few days, perhaps our net debt over EBITDA will be slightly below 1.1x. And then the Brent price will drop, and we need to have room to absorb this to make the company agile and prepared to act on any and all fronts. So I don't know whether I answered your question about capital distribution, but this is what we have approved for now. This might happen faster or slower depending on the price of the shares. And the speed might vary depending on M&A opportunities.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Our next question comes from Regis with Credit Suisse.

R
Regis Cardoso
Crédit Suisse

Hello. Can you hear me well?

U
Unidentified Company Representative

Yes.

R
Regis Cardoso
Crédit Suisse

Good. Two points I'd like to know more. Congratulations on the results. Super strong results, so congratulations. What was slightly different than our expectation was the discount on your oil. It was similar to the upside that we had in the price reduction. I think that this is a result quality that is better. It is what you can control. You cannot control prices, but could you elaborate on the realization price dynamics, please?

And another topic that I would like to address, it's something we always talk about is regarding the schedule of activities for Albacora Leste. It seems that it's all about improving the platform, operating efficiency and so on and so forth. So I'd like to understand what else do you need to do at the level of the platform? And when will you have new wells starting to produce in the next steps?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Thank you, Regis, for the questions. I will speak about the discount, commercial discount, and Francilmar will speak about Albacora. Commercial discount, the way you have to look at the commercial discount is in this quarter, if you look at FOB revenue of the company vis-a-vis the average Brent price and have to use the same weighted average for the Brent that we use for the sales. Not all sales were priced in the same month. We get to a discount of close to $7 per barrel.

In Q1, it was slightly higher, around $9 per barrel. The $7 per barrel explained in the following way. There is about $1 referring to the sales of the previous quarter. And the reason why it is allocated in this month is that sometimes we sell and we price it just like happened in the past quarter, happening in April. So we delivered in March, the sale happened in March, but the pricing was done with the average Brent price of April since we closed the result in the end of April. And around April 20, we have to use Brent for the month. So we adopt a Brent.

And if you look, the oil curve only dropped since then. So that drop impacted revenue, but it cannot change the result of the previous quarter. So we recognized this in Q2. And this effect was slightly higher last quarter, $1 per barrel because it was a big drop in the price of Brent. So we have about $7. Minus $1, we have $6.

And there are things there that are not allocated to any sale, about $0.20 or $0.15, maybe even less than that, that is Caribbean. We still maintain some inventory, not oil inventory, but we maintain facility to store oil in the Caribbean in the contract. In the past, one part was 6 months, another part was 12 months. So we are still in these 12 months.

So this has an impact on the second quarter. Okay. So what is the price that we are really selling at? Today, in Q2, we sold between $5 and $6 discount per barrel. That matches the number that I mentioned. In sales that have been happening in Q3, it's between $4 and $5 discount. So it's dropping.

The normal situation would be this is to be close to $3 to $4. Our average would be $3 per barrel for the average of the company. So it is dropping in December of last year, and that was the reason why we leased storage in the Caribbean. We didn't sell at this price. But we received bids at $17. We thought it was absurd. It didn't make any sense. So $17 became $9 in Q1, and this number has been settling.

And the good part of that happened because of the Russia embargoes. That led to a big reaccommodation of shipping and freight internationally. Now things are falling into place, and we do see an improvement. Perhaps I was not 100% clear in prior calls, but this was our expectation of having Q1 with a stronger discount and that this would gradually decrease along the year so that we would get to $3, $4 discount per barrel, which will be the normal for the company.

F
Francisco Francilmar
COO

So let me answer the part about Albacora Leste. The plan is in the second half, we're still going to focus -- well, there's a lot of oil to be unlocked just by improving efficiency of the plant. Let's translate that.

There is a limitation either due to gas compression limitations. I need gas to produce in some wells, and there is a reasonable inefficiency of 3 systems. There's only one operating well, so we have to recover that capacity. There's a capacity linked to water injection that limits a lot the production, not to mention power generation. That also limits the work.

So there's a big work front that we will address along the second half of the year. And gradually, we will recover and improve production. Parallel to that, there are some workovers within the subsea system. These are subsea interventions. We have to repair the Xmas tree. We -- there's also an umbilical line to be repaired. And there are some alternatives that we are working with, and we will do it in the second half. Now new wells are scheduled only for next year.

R
Regis Cardoso
Crédit Suisse

If I may ask a follow-up question. For next year wells, could you break down the time expectations? Are they sequential only after Wahoo?

And another question, very quick one if I may. Do you have any expected production for MUP3A and for TBMT?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, let me take a step back. Well, we're going to have one rig operating, Regis. It's called the Hunter Queen. It is ready. There will be an inspection coming very soon. And very soon, it will be ready to operate. It will be the rig drilling at Wahoo, and then it will be relocated to Albacora. So we believe that it will be Wahoo first and then Albacora.

Some things will be done at Albacora that will not require a rig in our fleet. We have subsea construction vessels and so on and so forth. So in the first quarter of -- well, the numbers can vary a little bit, but the expectation is in Q1 '24, we'll be drilling at Wahoo. And then we'll try to allocate some subsea construction of vessels as much as possible to start doing some work at Albacora, works that do not require a rig.

When we are done at Wahoo, that should happen around Q2, we'll move that to Albacora. We'll start with simple wells. In some wells, we just need to do completion and put them into production. So we'll start with the simplest and move to the most complicated ones and then to start drilling those wells. They need to be drilled new wells in the second half of 2024. This is it, right? Yes.

R
Regis Cardoso
Crédit Suisse

And what is the expectation from [indiscernible]?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, we have this well that we have to resume production, MUP3. It produced last year, producing at around 2,500 barrels in the past. It should resume the same kind of production. And the new well, we are drilling some smaller well. So well expected to produce 1,000, 1,500 barrels maximum.

And if we are successful, please remember, MUP3A is certain because it is a well that has produced already. We'll just resume production there. And Polvo, that's an exploratory well. It's a region in a reservoir where we have a good expectation, but it is nothing certain.

So for Polvo, there's still a question mark. But you have to remember, Polvo's always at 2,000, 3,000. When it does really well, it's 3,000. It's that order of magnitude, okay, Regis.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Our next question comes from Bruno Amorim from Morgan Stanley.

B
Bruno Amorim
Goldman Sachs Group

This is Bruno Amorim from Goldman Sachs. I have two questions. My first question is about operating efficiency of Albacora Leste. I would learn from you -- I would like to learn from you whether you understand that operating efficiency could also converge to the level of other assets or whether there is any structural reason for that not to happen.

And my second question is about Wahoo. If you could recall the capacity of Frade's FPSO because Frade's production is growing. And I want to know -- I know that you're going to do the tieback at Frade at some point, but I just want to understand how you're going to address that in the future.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, first of all, Frade. The capacity of the ship is 100,000 barrels of oil. There are some other limitations like gas processing capacity. And there is another thing which is water, but water is not a problem. So in total, it will be 140.

But yes, that may be a limiting factor. I look at the gas capacity as well as the oil capacity. If we get to the order of 60,000 barrels at Frade, it could be a little bit above that. But then we will do what we can just to ensure that the vessel is equipped to receive Wahoo's production. And then we will go up to the limit of the vessel, and we are also looking at the possibility of an upgrade. And this involves an engineering work, which is already in progress. But yes, this has been taken into account, and it is a potential issue, but it will be really good now for us if we can boost that asset.

Now in terms of Albacora Leste, the limitation, I mean, we do not have any structural issues, but the objective to reach 95%, we'd like to work as close as possible to 100%. And we talk about operating efficiency of the company, we're not referring to the availability of the vessel, but the total capacity of the wells and what is realized.

And that includes the wells, subsea things and the vessel as well. I mean, when you're talking about a vessel, it's just like getting into a house that is certainly deteriorated, and it needs repair. So we are making a lot of repairs, doing a lot of maintenance work, exchanging parts. And once that repair phase is over, the maintenance is over of the vessel, certainly, performance improves because you can be more efficient, things will not break as often.

Today, efficiency is lower than what we expected because at some moments, it stops working because maybe a turbine ceases to operate or a water pump stops working, and that's why we have to interrupt production. But we are working diligently to improve the performance of all of the equipment.

So I was saying at the beginning, we expect that by the year-end, we will get close to 95%. So next year, we can give another step. And there -- this refers to many different ways of maintenance. But as of next year, we will be a lot better off. Thank you.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Thank you, Bruno. I'm sorry for that confusion. Our next question comes from Bruno Montanari from Morgan Stanley.

B
Bruno Montanari
Morgan Stanley

I have a follow-up and two questions. Going back to the inorganic activities topic, I just want to know whether the company is only focused on offshore Brazil or maybe eventually you go abroad. In terms of your sales strategy, you are selling -- I mean, is this due to export tax or because of the current environment? Or you would think that this could be a winning element in terms of pursuing that discount of $3 to $4 per barrel? And the third question refers to the tax rate of income tax. And if you could give me an update on the use of more robust tax credits going forward.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, thank you, Bruno. I will start -- well, sorry. I think -- what was your first question again? Oh, M&A here and abroad. And the second question was trading. Okay, M&A and trading, sorry. Okay.

M&A, we focus on offshore Brazil and if possibly, the Campos Basin. We still see opportunities. Internally, we see some interesting things in Brazil in the Campos Basin. That's a familiar place to us. That's a place where we already have the infrastructure in place.

And if we were to think about going abroad, you would have to be going to a better jurisdiction with a good amount of volume just as good as what we have. But today, our main focus is Brazil offshore. This is what we are pursuing. So nothing has changed in this regard.

Our organic portfolio growth perspective is very strong, and our growth continues to be high. And this allow us to be much more selective in terms of opportunities. So this is what is happening right now. We are being very selective in terms of picking the opportunities and potentially -- potential opportunities.

The opportunities are there. There are opportunities surrounding us. It's just a matter of time. It's just a matter of choosing the right moment, the right environment.

Now in terms of trading, what you said is true. There was an increase when it comes to customer delivery. But this is part of a strategy that we put together at the end of last year. And the reason why we put the strategy in place last year is that if you are selling at FPSO strong sale, then you would have 3 or 4 buyers for your oil. That's it. You would have the trading companies, and that's all. There will be Shell. There will be maybe BP or -- I mean, in summary, you have the tradings negotiating with you, and these tradings would do the delivery.

I mean, this is okay when you have a delivery for every 2 months or every month. But now when you have 3 million barrels a month, which is our case, this is no longer very good because then you have to constantly negotiate with these guys. And then at the end, it's more difficult to reach maximum optimization of costs.

So we thought about delivering to customers. We established a trading company in-house. There is a person, Gustavo, in charge of the trading department. So from here, we conduct the entire negotiation.

We continue to sell FOB whenever it's more convenient. But most of the time, we deliver directly to customers. And when you sell to end consumers, to the refineries, and then you have like 30 or 40 of them, and then you have a much bigger bargaining power of your well. You can show your oil to a lot more people.

But these refinery oftentimes, they are not just looking for oil in Brazil. So you have to deliver. And that's why we introduced this new trading area, which is bearing great fruits. All of us, we are very pleased with what is happening in this front. I would say that today, we already sold half of our production volume to China. And we never -- we weren't selling anything to China since 2020, since the COVID days, and we are sending the products to them.

This is just the second natural step, and you keep gaining scale. And at that point, it makes more sense for you to verticalize in that direction. And with that, you can control this side of your logistics and you -- and by the same token, we are closer to the end client.

And this is part of the reason why we are being so successful. Well, certainly, this involves a certain speed in terms of how many barrels we will reach, 3,000 to 4,000, but this is part of the strategy that is leading us in that direction.

Now I'll ask Milton to talk about income tax and the tax rate.

M
Milton Rangel
CFO

Okay. I'll try to simplify. Well, bear in mind that we start with a tax rate of 30%, which is the standard in Brazil. And it's also good to remember that we work in the industry of oil -- in the oil industry.

But if you look back, past legacy, there were some losses when we acquired Frade from Chevron. We also acquired a company that was operating at a loss. So this is something very natural in this industry. By law, you could use a discount of 30% of your tax base for every year. So that 34 -- minus 30% becomes 23.8%. For the purposes of income tax, on top of the 23.8%.

In a very conservative way, naturally, we have to look at what we could do in terms of tax enhancements or tax use. We do use credits from PIS and COFINS, and this is a natural benefit that our industry has. But apart from that, as our company has a series of innovations as part of our productive process, we can benefit from the law of the good -- they innovate.

And so we can use innovation. Innovation can apply to products or processes and so on. So whenever we do the math, we can still have an additional discount on top of that 30.8%. And you asked about numbers in the first quarter, the tax rate was close to 20% to 21%. There was a reduction now because we've been making several innovations and legal procedures, both in Wahoo and Frade. And we arrived at something close to 15% -- 16% in the second quarter. Obviously, I mean, you cannot guarantee this kind of tax rate. It depends on the current situation of the company. So this is what we've been doing.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Next question from Gabriel Barra with Citi.

G
Gabriel Barra
Citigroup

I have two questions, a quick follow-up question. One has to do with leverage. We spoke a lot about the maximum level of leverage. But what is the minimum level of leverage that you will be comfortable to expedite the buyback or even think about a potential dividend payout? What would be the minimum level of leverage? I'd like to understand that important point.

So my two questions. First, regarding Wahoo. We have been speaking a lot about obtaining the licenses, but there are also some issues regarding equipment, particularly when we talk about PLSV. Perhaps that's the most sensitive point. In our discussions, there is a possibility that you can do just like with Hunter Queen capitalizing the assets rather than leasing the piece of equipment. So if you could speak a little about the strategy and how the market looks like, opportunities and possible solutions and the timeline of all that, given that Wahoo will soon come into play.

Second point has to do with MaracanĂŁ, another great upside for Frade. We didn't talk a lot about that. Francilmar just touched on it, but if you could speak about the timeline and the possibility of achieving the second target for MaracanĂŁ. If you could speak about when that will happen, if it is happening and if it's the NORBE and Hunter Queen and if this will help us think about news for Frade. My 3 points, sorry.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Okay. Let me speak about leverage, and Francilmar will try to answer all of your other questions. Gabriel, our bond covenant is 2.5. So we're not talking about covenants here. What we feel comfortable with in terms of leverage, something that would be ideal for the company because it would make the company prepared for new opportunities would be something between 0.8 and 1.1. So something between 0.8 and 1.1.

I think that with a cheaper oil price at around $70 per barrel, $75 per barrel, we could expect to leverage around 1.1. If we think about oil costing $85 per barrel, leverage should be around 0.8, around that.

So this is it. These are the limits of the ranges, and no one wants to operate a totally deleveraged company. That's not the idea. But I think that it's about return to shareholders, too. This is very important.

So that's why we are executing our share buyback program. And we have to have the serenity to always maintain a sound balance sheet. And we need to be always prepared because these opportunities, sometimes they arise and they don't arise twice. I'd like to say that M&A deals are opportunistic, and we have to be prepared. When the opportunity arises, you cannot stop and think about it, consider -- no, you have to act. So with that, I think that we'll always be ready to enjoy any opportunities that should arise.

Okay. Let's talk about Wahoo. Regarding the equipment, it's all very well mapped, all on delivery scheduled and manufacturing scheduled. Regarding PLSV, indeed, the market is overheated. But again, our mission is to find alternatives.

The operation that we had at Frade, well, we were able to adapt a vessel. We had an LCV, a line construction vessel, and it laid all the pipes that we set out to produce at Frade and the injectors as well. So we'll probably follow that same path.

We have consulted the market. There are some alternatives. Some PLSVs that are very expensive. But at PetroRio, we always work to deliver the best value. We're not going to do what the market is asking. Most likely we'll find alternatives. So we are already negotiating some alternatives to have a vessel adapted to lay all the pipes for Wahoo. So it's all very well mapped, all under control, and it will work out.

There was a question about MaracanĂŁ. Well, MaracanĂŁ, we had a first drilling to investigate the reservoir. We found 2 reservoirs with oil. So what we are planning now is that we need to do another drilling to test the extent of the discovery and its quality.

We should be doing that in the next few months, perhaps in the next weeks. We'll send the NORBE VI rig. It's finishing our workover in a well, and it will do the drilling to investigate the extent of the reservoir, the extent of the discovery.

Having the data in our hands, we'll understand what we have. And then we'll plan a development, how many wells, the position of the wells, the strategy we'll use, if it will be a drill center, it will have a manifold integrating all 3 wells and take that to Frade. All that takes some time to do.

It's not something that we'll drill and start producing now. Ideally, we'll collect the information, and the next year, we have to buy the material, commission, everything, then we'll put together a program to put the reservoirs into production. This is the overall plan.

G
Gabriel Barra
Citigroup

Super clear. One point regarding MaracanĂŁ and regarding the capacity of the FPSO, I believe you're considering that, too, right, regarding the capacity of the FPSO. What will change in your plan to develop the field?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Okay. So let's split this. One thing is a limited physical capacity, the vessel, the size of the vessel. The nominal capacity is 100,000 barrels. Because this is a mature asset and given some downgrades made by the previous company, the vessel does not reach 100,000. It reaches 90,000. We are working to bring her back to 100,000.

After that, we're studying whether we can increase the capacity by 10%, 15%, but that's not an easy task. So physical limitation is one thing. We are making an effort to have the best possible scenario.

The other thing is production potential. We might have to make choices. It's just like the presalt development. You drill X number of wells, 7, 10 wells in the field, and you top the vessel with 4. And then you just have to stabilize production as much as possible.

This might happen in our case. If it happens, it's going to be great. Now our homework will be to manage the portfolio, what is the best oil, the fastest and the cheapest to produce and manage the CapEx, working to maintain a maximum of stable production for as long as possible.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Thank you, Gabriel. Our next question is from Andre Vidal with XP.

A
Andre Vidal
XP

My first question is, I'd like to understand bottlenecks in the development of Wahoo, particularly regarding the environmental license. You mentioned that a key point would be the license to drill. I don't know if there is any other license that could be a bottleneck.

Do you have any deadlines that if you don't get the license, it will be a problem for the development? Knock on wood, but assuming that some of these licenses are not obtained, what would be the plan B of the company in terms of use of proceeds and development of oil fields?

And my second question, well, I'd like to know if there was any update on the arbitration of Wahoo, obviously negotiated regarding the purchase of the stake belonging to the Indians. Any updates since the last call?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Regarding Wahoo and the stakes and the arbitration with IBV, no, there was no update. We have been trying to engage in some kind of negotiation, but we haven't had a lot of support. So the arbitration is following its natural course. The last hearing of arbitration should take place in October. So normally, you got the hearing, you've got a decision within up to 6 months after the hearing, right? Yes.

So we believe that our case is very solid. We just wanted to propose a commercial deal. We're not trying to buy their stake so it's not to continue with the full work of the arbitration, but we do see arbitration with good eyes. It's not the end of the world. So no updates there. Despite our attempts, things did not evolve.

As regards the Wahoo licenses, there are 2 important licenses. The first is the license to drill, and the second is the pipeline license. For pipeline, it's simpler -- it's a simpler license, but the drilling license normally takes a little longer. We expect the drilling license for the third quarter of this year, most likely around September.

IBAMA has their own times and deadlines. But there are no problems there, no issues. The field has been drilled years and years ago. So it's all well known. There's nothing new there. So we think it's a matter of time. There is no bottleneck there. It's just IBAMA's timing to do things.

The licenses that we got always arrived at the last minute, and it will continue. That's how the game is played. We have no concerns regarding that. For the pipeline license, the idea is that in the future towards Q1 of next year, that's when we will lay the pipes.

And it's an easier license to obtain. It's a simpler thing to get. So it is a critical path, indeed. Without it, nothing happens. But today, I think it's all addressed. It's all within the expected deadlines.

If we have a plan B? Yes, we do have some plan B. That's a fact. For Frade, for example, we can think about the possibility of a third well in the ODP4, ODP5 reservoir. We'll start injecting water soon there. So we'll have the reservoir with more energy. We can try a third well there. So our reservoir engineering team is already considering that.

And we have MaracanĂŁ. Of course, it's not something that we can do the next day, as Francilmar explained, but more towards year-end, beginning of next year. And the Albacora workovers that we can do. There are a number of things at Albacora. We're not doing a lot there because the top side will not handle it. The top side still has low efficiency. It doesn't make sense to feed the FPSO with more oil.

But by year-end, we'll start having an increase in production at the FPSO, and this increased production will give us more safety to do all the work. And plan C, if you can call that, is we have 2 prospects to be drilled at Frade. It's not just MaracanĂŁ. MaracanĂŁ will be demarcated. And then we have 2 prospects to be drilled, Paru and Anuri.

And the idea is to drill them before moving to Wahoo. So these are the activities that we will be performing depending on when the license will be obtained and so on and so forth. The drilling license if we don't get it in September, if we get it in October or in November, it won't hurt us a lot because first oil is scheduled for second quarter.

What matters for first oil is not well drilling itself, believe it or not. Of course, there's a limit. You all need to drill eventually. But it's more related to pipeline and the rigid pipeline. We already have a vessel contracted for that.

But in January and March of next year, it takes 45 days. It really depends on the weather, but it takes around 45 days. This will happen between January and March. And then after March when everything is in place and ready, we'll start producing. We can start producing with 1, 2, 3 or even 4 wells.

The number of wells will depend on when we get the drilling license. So of course, it is important. It is a critical path, but nothing is out of control. Everything is well thought of, and the plan is well designed and very well oiled. We are very confident regarding that.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Our next question comes from Luiz Carvalho from UBS.

L
Luiz Carvalho
UBS

I would like to revisit a few points. First, you talked a lot about acquisitions. Again, the company focused in a few assets in the past few years, but I assume that the limitation in terms of your funding capacity was a critical aspect of the process, and it remains as such.

But with its new cash generation and this new production level that you achieved, I know that you can escalate to a different level of assets. I know you already said that you were focusing on offshore Brazil and Campos Basin. But do you think it would make sense to think not in terms of oil fields, but in terms of companies? How do you see this process of expanding your portfolio?

And my second question is that you were very successful in the past when you pursue some hedging strategies. I know that it was probably during a different moment of the company, but I would just like to understand how you are looking at it now and whether it will make sense. I mean, because you have to consider a very tight oil market or maybe some noises related to global activities. How do you intend to protect your cash flow or whether at this level, it would make sense?

And my last question is about regulation. The company or at least out of the listed companies. This is the industry that was mostly impacted by the export tax imposed by the government. We are now -- the government is now discussing a tax reform, and there are some discussions about the oil industry. So my question is how can you protect yourselves?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Well, Luiz, let me answer each question separately. Well, first of all, let me talk about companies. I think there will be a consolidation of the industry. This is something that we've been hearing for some time. We are totally agnostic in terms of acquiring a field or a company. The important thing is that things have to make sense.

They have to have synergies. The price has to be right. And it's important that whatever we do, we can add something for our company, but we are pretty agnostic in this regard. And again, well, if things make sense in terms of their synergies, we -- sometimes we like the Campos Basin. We know how to operate it. That's why I don't see shooting in every direction. There is onshore too, but I don't think onshore has anything to do with us.

The second question, you said that you talked about no -- capital, no. The second question was about hedge, hedging. And the third question referred to regulation.

About hedge, we are still operating with hedging. I mean, just now, I think this past week, we did a little bit of hedging. We look at this maybe in a more opportunistic way when compared to the past. Now in August, we have almost 4 million barrels being priced in August itself, and it will be a large volume within the quarter.

I mean, in the third quarter, this will bring about a high sales volume, but that will be mostly concentrated in August. So we bought a few of put because we do not want to be so exposed to a possible fluctuation within the month.

But our strategy remains the same. Anytime the volatility index of oil goes down, we start looking at it. And when things make sense in terms of pricing, we'd buy it. But we do not have a policy where I'll say, "Okay, I will lock in a certain month or not." But in the past, we couldn't afford to be more extravagant.

But now when we see opportunities, again, hedging is something that we have to look very carefully. We do have a hedging policy at PetroRio. I mean, in the past, I mean, we only buy put and at the money.

Maybe this time, we are being slightly more selective, waiting to reach some price levels. Today, hedge is lower. I think it was close to 30 -- at one point, it hit 29 or 27. But even then, we see that the premium of puts is still very high. That's why we didn't do a lot. We only operate it in the short term. But the strategy, again, remains the same. But of course, today, with that cash generation, things become relative.

Now in terms of the export tax, well, it is clear, and Emiliano is here, and he is the person that is leading us through this new area. The company has a certain size that, I mean, our presence becomes necessary. When I am referring to the regulating agencies, I'm referring to them in the broad sense. But the company is increasingly present in debates, in events in Brasilia and so on.

This export tax caught us all by surprise, caught the entire industry by surprise. We continue to invest. We kept moving with our operation. But at the end of the day, this tax can really hurt the health of several companies.

But this is another debate. Well, does it make sense for you to have an export tax, given the fact that this tax is so harmful when it comes to generating new businesses and new small businesses. If this export tax had occurred like 5 years ago, it would have been very dramatic. But today, with our lifting cost and everything else, things became a bit easier. But does it make sense for that to exist? I mean -- and that's why it's important that we participate in these discussions and the tax reform, that's another area where we have to participate.

Emiliano is a member of the Exporter Association, in addition to other associations, and contributions are being made in terms of the tax reform -- I mean, export tax. Well, the debate is over. There's nothing else to be said about it.

Petro is what we are trying to advocate. We want to maintain that regime. It's not very explicit. There is still a provision for that regime. We don't know what's coming from the Senate, but we are excited because the entire market is in on it. So we hope that the regime is maintained.

I mean, PetroRio today is an important voice. Maybe 5 years ago, that wasn't the case. But today, PetroRio is an important voice. If we look in terms of production, PetroRio is probably the second largest producer in Brazil or maybe the second or third producer in the country.

Well, certainly, Petrobras is out of the curve. But today, we are a good voice, and we understand the importance of participating in these debates. And Emiliano goes to Brasilia every week. He goes to Espiritu Santo here and there. He is constantly looking at this government and institutional agenda.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Our next and I think last question comes from Leonardo Marcondes from Bank of America.

L
Leonardo Marcondes
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Most of my questions have been answered. I just have a few follow-ups. The first one is about Wahoo. You talked about the licenses. And I just want to get a better understanding about the timing. I just want to understand that if the licenses were to be approved today or tomorrow, how many wells do you think you could -- and how many wells you could have their first oil in like '24?

The second question is also a follow-up on Albacora Leste. I would like to understand whether you could give me a little bit more light in terms of production. What is the production level you intend to reach by the end of the year? And how many wells you would need to do the tieback to reach that objective? And in addition to the wells that you intend to tie back to reach your objective, whether there are still other wells that will be part of that tieback in the short and midrange?

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

Okay. If the license were to be issued today, we will start drilling in September. This is our target date because there are other tasks that have to be conducted before that. So we would start drilling, I think, in September. Yes, considering the schedule of the rig, we would finish Frade, and then we will go there. Well, next month, September.

And with that, we will initiate production with all 3 or 4 wells. I would see more likely 4. In the case of any setback, maybe 3. The limiting factor for Wahoo's production is, yes, the pipeline. Production is not going to occur before the second quarter. The idea is that in a given moment in the second quarter -- the third quarter, it would occur because there is a critical path. And that starts with the pipeline that will occur between January and March. We don't know for sure yet because we have to move forward a bit more. Today, that window is still large. So we have to schedule that window with the vessel.

So the first oil only happens after that pipeline and all of the other things like the manifold, the pumps, et cetera, vaults, riser. And there are 200 things that have to be installed. Well, but if the license is delayed, if we get the license to do the pipeline and then everything follows suit.

But it is also important that we sit down again and rediscuss things with the vessel because we do have that window between January and March. So we have to get out of that window, we have to start another conversation with the company that will do the pipeline.

But in terms of drilling, if we start in September, then we would start with the 4 wells. And it's not going to start before the second quarter by no means because of the pipeline. And if the license is issued in December, maybe we will start with 1 or 2 wells. That's pretty much it.

Now Albacora's production, we believe that by the end of the year, there will be 2 events. First, we will gain operating efficiency. And with operating efficiency, we will naturally be able to increase our production to close to 28,000 to 30,000 barrels a day, okay? Doing the math with PetroRio.

And then there will be a second effect that refers to some wells that were shut down with hydrate, and there are some other injection wells as well. And they will be able to resume production. The reason why we are not resuming production is because we do not have the top side to hold it. With that top side, we can resume the wells. The purpose is to reach production close to 35,000 barrels a day net PetroRio by the end of the year, which is a reasonable challenge. But I think it's feasible, and I think that, that's what we have to aim for. That's it.

J
Jose Gustavo
IR Manager

Well, with this last question, we end this call's Q&A session. I'll turn the floor now to Roberto for his final remarks.

R
Roberto Monteiro
CEO

I'd like to thank all of you once again for joining us. I'd like to thank the whole PetroRio team that always works with a lot of drive and determination to deliver results. And I'll see you in 3 months. Thank you very much.