Neogrid Participacoes SA
BOVESPA:NGRD3

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Neogrid Participacoes SA
BOVESPA:NGRD3
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Price: 29.3 BRL 1.91% Market Closed
Market Cap: 255.9m BRL
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Nov 21, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one NGRD3 stock is 40.16 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 29.3 BRL, the stock is Undervalued by 27%.

NGRD3 DCF Value
Base Case
40.16 BRL
Undervaluation 27%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
40.16
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 40.16 BRL

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 83m BRL. The present value of the terminal value is 104.2m BRL. The total present value equals 187.2m BRL.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 187.2m BRL
+ Cash & Equivalents 62.7m BRL
+ Investments 114.6m BRL
Firm Value 364.5m BRL
- Debt 13.7m BRL
Equity Value 350.8m BRL
/ Shares Outstanding 8.7m
NGRD3 DCF Value 40.16 BRL
Undervalued by 27%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
295.9m 471.4m
Operating Income
13.4m 50m
FCFF
11.3m 40.7m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one NGRD3 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one NGRD3 stock is 40.16 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 29.3 BRL, the stock is Undervalued by 27%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Neogrid Participacoes SA's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 187.2m BRL.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 40.16 BRL per share.

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