Klabin SA
BOVESPA:KLBN4
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Good morning, and welcome to Klabin's audio conference. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded and broadcast live via webcast, and you may access it at Klabin's IR website, where you will also find the presentation for download.
Forward-looking statements that might be made during this call in relation to Klabin's business outlooks, projections, operating and financial targets regarding to potential growth should be understood as forecast based on the company's expectations in relation to Klabin's future. Such expectations are highly dependent on market conditions and the overall economic performance of the country, the industry and on international market. Therefore they are subject to change.
With us today, Mr. Cristiano Teixeira, CEO; Mr. Marcos Ivo, CFO and IR Officer and officers of the company. Mr. Teixeira and Mr. Ivo will comment on the company's performance in the third quarter of 2022. And after that the officers will be available to answer any questions you might have.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Cristiano Teixeira. Please, Mr. Teixeira, the floor is yours.
Thank you. Welcome to the earnings call for Klabin regarding the third quarter of 2022, even in a market that is challenging. Now an increase in energy costs in Europe and inflationary scenario in the world with higher interest rates, we had again the EBITDA that was record. Our results show a sound results, a reduction in financial leverage ROIC that reflects the ability to combine efficient capital allocation, shareholder value generation and also value generation for our shareholders.
About markets in the pulp business and its differential in fibers, especially with fluff, we had a record EBITDA since the beginning of formal operation in paper, we have an accommodation in the demand for kraftliner and in coated board, a higher demand awaits. The start-up of MP28, which not only has 65% of construction concluded, but also is ahead in its go-to-market and volumes contracted that will increase catering to food and beverage industries, such as dairy and beer. And packaging, we have a great moment for corrugated boxes and industrial bags where apparently we're seeing a recovery of the Brazilian economy.
Now I turn the floor to Marcos Ivo to talk about the financial highlights on the third quarter of 2022.
Thank you very much, Cristiano. Good morning, everyone. Thank you very much for being with us in this conference call. We have delivered once again growing results with a record for a quarter in sales volume, also net revenue and EBITDA, once again showing the strength of the business model of Klabin and its high predictability of results.
Among the highlights in the period, I should mention 3, net revenue of BRL 5.5 billion, up 26% in the annual comparison. Cash generation per tonne of BRL 1,794, up 4% vis-a-vis the third quarter of 2021, dividends and interest on equity of BRL 1.6 billion in the last 12 months.
On Page 4. Sales volume was up 4% in the comparison with the same quarter of 2021, driven by the volume of Eukaliner produced by Machine 27. Thanks to a higher sales volume and price increases in the last quarters, net revenue reached BRL 5.5 billion in the period, increase in 26% in the annual comparison. Adjusted EBITDA was of BRL 2.3 billion in the third quarter of this year, 20% higher vis-a-vis the third quarter of last year. EBITDA was supported by a higher sales volume and price adjustments, which more than offset the increase in the production cash cost.
Now turning to Slide #5, benefiting from the higher prices in the annual comparison as well as flexible sales mix among geographies and the portfolio with 3 types of fibers; hardwood, softwood and fluff. The average net price per tonne was of $935, 28% higher than 3Q '21, driving up the EBITDA of pulp, which reached the record level of BRL 1.2 billion in the quarter. Pulp production cash cost was of $270 per tonne in the quarter vis-a-vis $258 in the prior quarter.
Now turning to Page 6. Adjusted free cash flow, net of discretionary items and expansion projects was positive in BRL 1.2 billion in the quarter in the last 12 months. Adjusted free cash flow was of BRL 3.4 billion, and that represents a free cash flow yield of 13.6%.
Now on Page 7. At the end of September, Klabin's net debt was of BRL 21.4 billion, an increase in BRL 910 million when compared to June of 2022. That increase is explained by the FX negative impact on the dollar-denominated debt and also a negative free cash flow in the period. Leverage measured by the indicator net debt over EBITDA and dollars ended September in 2.6x, the same level that we had in the prior quarter and close to the minimum level of the financial debt policy of the company.
Now moving to the next slide. Klabin's liquidity is still sound and ended the quarter in BRL 9 billion, and that liquidity consists BRL 6.3 billion in cash and the remaining in revolving credit line. The company's cash position is enough to amortize the debt that we have due for the next 44 months. The average tenor for the debt at the end of the third quarter was of 113 months, which corresponds to around 9.5 years. We should remind you that Klabin has contracted and not yet withdrawn credit lines in an amount that is over the CapEx that will be disbursed up to the conclusion of Puma II project, as we have detailed in our results release.
Turning to Page 9. According to the advisory to shareholders' released yesterday, the company approved the dividend payout and interest on equity of BRL 502 million to be paid on November 14. On an equity basis, the dividends paid to shareholders over the last 12 months totaled BRL 1.624 billion, a clear evidence of Klabin's ability to combine growth and dividend payout while maintaining financial discipline in its capital structure.
On Page 10, the return on invested capital, measured by ROIC, reached 19.3% in the last 12 months. The consistent performance of ROIC close to the level of 20% in several quarters demonstrates the company's assertive capital allocation.
On Slide 11, PM27, the first stage of the Puma II project keeps on ramping up as planned, reaching production of 345,000 tonnes in the last 12 months. The second phase of the project, which will have a coated board machine is still under construction, on schedule, having reached 65% of the physical execution in measurement carried out on October 16 and has its startup planned for the second quarter of next year. Since the beginning of the project, BRL 10.3 billion have been disbursed, of which BRL 934 million in the third quarter of 2022.
On Slide 12, I share more details of the go-to-market of MP28, the second stage of the Puma II project. MP28 already has approximately 60% of its volume sold. This machine will mainly serve food and beverage markets, such as, for instance, beer packaging in CUK. In addition to growing demand, these markets have resilience in times of economic slowdown as an important characteristic. The balance between supply and demand in the virgin board market, driven by growing demand creates a good price outlook for year 2023. This favors Machine 28's entry into the market.
Moving on to the next page. I highlight that Klabin is following its ESG journey and working consistently to achieve the goals of the Klabin 2030 agenda. Among the highlights of the quarter, I mention 3; Anefac Transparency trophy, Golden Tombstone Award in the debt securities category for issuing the Sustainability Linked Bond, being the first company in the world to link its biodiversity performance to financial security. And the attendance of clubbing executives in events organized by the UN on climate change and sustainable finance.
Lastly, on Slide 14, I invite you all to join our Klabin Day, which will be held on November 30. It will be a great opportunity to talk about the outlook for 2023 and the future of Klabin.
From now on, Cristiano, the other officers and I will all be here for the question-and-answer session.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Rafael Barcellos from Santander.
My first question is on coated board. This is a segment that sometimes we talk a little about, but it's showing a good performance both in price realization as well as in the demand for the past few years. And you had a slide on the presentation talking about the 60% of the volume of MP28 is already contracted even with the startup of being programmed just for the second quarter of next year. So my question here is to understand better your demand trends in the midterm. The mix in the domestic market and exports for the coated board unit that we can expect for 2023. And finally, whatever you can talk about price adjustments in this line of business. That would also be interesting.
And my second question is about capital allocation. We understand that Klabin is a growing company that historically it has projects with attractive returns and I would like to hear from you, which are the main initiatives that you can already highlight that the company is analyzing today, considering that in around 6 months, the second machine for Puma II will be already concluded.
Thank you, Rafael. Great questions. I here have Flavio and Marcos Ivo with me, they will help me in the answer.
I just have a quick reference here, this coated board machine is a machine that we have studied, we have analyzed it carefully for the past few years. We know about the power of this product. We're very happy about our long-term view in terms of trends regarding what is also happening also because we see the replacement of plastic and consumption goods, and we see that proof that this answer will be related to the 2 other topics that you mentioned is that that proves the strategical capital allocation that Klabin has been doing in this last decade in terms of investments. Thank you very much for your question. And Flavio will start answering it, and then Marcos Ivo will take over.
Good morning. This is the most resilient market for packaging paper. It has 3 clear growth drivers, and they have to do with market mix. The first in the domestic market, we're growing organically usually more than the GDP growth in the country. So here, we have a greater growth expectation than what we are projecting for Brazil, especially. And in addition to that, for special papers that are manufactured by Klabin. Now the country is an importer and not much, but with the new capacity, we will be able to gain market share.
Another important growth comes from the replacement of packaging made out of single-use plastic that happens in Brazil, which is a major manufacturer of beer. We have cans and bottles being manufactured. So anchored in this growth of the beverage world Klabin is growing a little bit more than the organic in Brazil and whatever new plants where this market are built. But this is a huge machine. We're going to have a capacity of 460,000 tonnes, very close to the Brazilian markets capacity. So it has an important concentration in the export or an important appeal to the export market. Around 80% of what we sell here is based in the growth of the food market.
And finally, this is a single moment having the machine -- with a state-of-the-art machine for softwood like this. This is the only machine that we're having now for 2022. So this is the context, we have as a main target exporting, but we are also tapping into opportunities in the domestic market, whether for imported products or the replacement of the single-use plastic.
This is Marcos Ivo. Now about capital allocation, Klabin will move on with its strategy and with that, we are able to combine growth and also proceeding payment -- dividend payments to investors that as we return funds to investors via dividends. If you look at our dividend yields for this year, it has a percentage that is very attractive. We believe, as I mentioned in the last 12 months, in the competence year, we paid dividends of BRL 1.6 billion and we are able to do that, also growing and choosing good growth projects considering the competitive advantages that Klabin has. Therefore, yes, we do have opportunities to keep on growing in projects that generate high value. I believe that the ROIC shows the assertiveness of Klabin's capital allocation in the last decade. We are around 19%, as you have seen in this quarter.
Now looking ahead, right now, Klabin is focused in the conclusion of Puma II. We also have the remaining of the construction works and the significant CapEx disbursements to happen. And we have conversion projects that were approved over the year, the Figueira project, Horizonte project, they will also have their start up, Horizonte project in the first quarter of next year and Figueira in the first half of 2024. The company is working and taking care of it for us so that at the right moment, we are able to have new growth projects. But right now, we are focusing in concluding the growth projects that you already know.
Thank you very much, Marcos and Flavio. Rafael, just adding to the answers and I should comment. In the last few years, obviously, we have focused a lot on our pulp capacity. But we also brought in pulp with 2 drivers. We focused on softwood and Klabin is majorly focused on fluff, this has been a huge competitive advantage. You can observe what is happening with fluff in the past few years and when we look at this coated board machine, we have this machine now and we are seeing a strong trend to the migration for this kind of product.
So that represents Klabin's history, which is much broader than most commoditized companies in the pulp business. Klabin is able to have -- and I have a lot of respect for other companies in the industry, but Klabin currently have the best of the main companies in the world have in industrial bags, corrugated box and other products, and that combination of results is that -- bringing these best results in our company.
Just a quick follow-up with Flavio. Flavio, is there anything that you can mention in terms of prices for coated board?
Well, this is a resilient market because it is related to food market. So regardless the macroeconomic context, tends to have a best behavior. Also the balance between supply and demand for commercial coated boards, such as this one is very tight. And that is because of the increased demand that we have seen in the last 2 or 3 years. So the price demand follows that rationale of that tight balance between supply and demand and therefore our price policies will be along those lines.
The next question comes from Caio Greiner with BTG Pactual.
I have 2 questions. The first question is about cost. The earnings were very strong and solid, showing that you have a lot of consistency in your results but the cost of pulp, more specifically, going up 11% I think it was the frustration this quarter. You had given a cost guidance, which seem to be flat and stable considering last quarter and the previous quarter, quarters 1 and 2. So what has changed since then? You said that the main reason was an increase in third-party timber. But I would like to understand that something above your expectations. Could you comment on this?
And also, how should we expect to check this cost performance over Q4? The second question addressed to Nicolini. I would like to go deeper into the pulp supply demand dynamics in the coming months and the coming year. Pulp price is around 80 for a while, and I think it's exceeded everybody's expectation a couple of times. And we keep on asking the same question. When does it expect to go down. There are some variables that are still question marks, so we'd like to have more color on this recession in the markets involved next year. To what extent should it have an impact on market pulp demand and how are you considering new capacities over the next year with some controversies and the project that is delayed and a slightly slower ramp up and also to understand if you consider the consolidated price, how should we consider the supply demand balance for 2023?
And lastly, what is the potential for -- in the long term for the price issue.
Both Marcos and Nico are next to me. So all I want to do is to make an early remark. I'm sorry to make comments now. But Caio, if there is a strength at Klabin or among Klabin strength, I would mention the area of operational planning. Klabin today has a discipline known as S&OP, operational planning, and we've been working on this for about 5 years, very strongly at the company, not only in the business area in all business areas, but also in the forestry area.
I haven't heard of any other forest area, which owns such a short term a good short-term planning tool, so much impacted -- favorably impacted in forestry as we have at Klabin. We simulate Klabin every week with a cost, profitability, cash generation per product, contribution margin, et cetera. So it is a fact that sometimes a given view, as you mentioned in the previous quarter that we should expect to see stability and make things happen differently. So that's a fact. And we cannot say that we won't keep on giving a different direction or guidance compared to what we said before.
However, it's also the effect that this weekly simulation whenever we follow one path or another, for instance, more pine or eucalyptus, et cetera this is always related and primarily related to the company's earnings. So this comes before any other decision.
So I'll just conclude by saying that the driving force may have been different, but the purpose, which is to assure profitability and improved results, this is essential, and that's why we work on this weekly simulation. Over to you, Marcos.
Caio, I'm going to add to what Cristiano said about costs. In our release, there is a breakdown on the pulp cash cost. So I'm going to make reference to the accounts that are disclosed in our release. So we had some one-off events in the pulp plant, which we don't expect to be repeated in the future, and they had an impact on cost of chemicals, fuels and others. These 3 lines had a cost increase quarter-over-quarter, and that's something we don't expect to see down the road in the fourth quarter. We expect to see a reduction in those lines.
What will also contribute to this reduction is a ramp-up of sulfuric acid and biomass gasification plants. These were investments made -- as you know, these were investments made by Klabin and they are in their learning curve and therefore, they will produce more daily, which will help in the reduction of chemicals, fuels and others in addition to one-off events that we had in Q3.
In the third quarter, when it comes to personnel/services, well, Klabin has a maintenance area and in the third quarter, we wanted to have a good transition. So we had an overlap of costs. This is also being addressed and fixed. As of October, we are going to have our own Klabin team. In addition to not having cost overlap, it will also bring economic benefits that led to this primarization.
Now let's talk about timber, the fiber line. In addition to what Cristiano explained, in Q3, we had 2 factors. The first is related to client. There was a lot of rainfall in Parana state. And now timber is wetter in our plants, and it increases specific timber use. This is very common in our industry to have this quarterly fluctuations. Another part is also related and very much connected to Cristiano's comment. It has to do with this weekly planning that we perform. And in the end, we had more third-party timber this quarter than we planned at first. If we put it all together, we expect to see a reduction in pulp cash costs over Q4 vis-a-vis the third quarter, particularly owing to the events that were on time events in Q3, which won't happen in the last part of the year.
Nicolini speaking. Thank you for your question. Caio, I will begin by addressing the short-term scenario. In our view, it is maintained into a whole price stability context and also stable demand on regular contracts. I believe a little bit of the perception on some slowdown in demand by a couple of players is very much related to improved scenario in logistics, which eventually slightly reduced the bottlenecks and also delays.
It's worth mentioning, they were not 100% sold yet. We're still facing problems, particularly container-wise and this shrunk the spot market a little. So maybe that's why we had the sentiment about this loss of euphoria. However, I highlight again that sales in regular contracts remain at the same levels in the third quarter, and that's the outlook for the fourth quarter of the year.
In terms of supply, there is no change in this scenario. As you know, there is no entry of new capacity, no startup that might affect the year. The hardwood market is very tight, better than softwood and I highlight that in softwood, the impact is low on Klabin or even no considering that exports of softwood is very little. We always try to focus on mix improvement and focusing more on flat sales. And this is expected to be maintained not only in Q4 but also from 2023 onwards.
When it comes to eucalyptus price in October, we had the base of 1,030 in Europe, it's the same scenario for November. Prices always reflect the month, the previous month. So no change in cores in Europe, U.S., not even Brazil. These are the prices published by indexes for October. We do acknowledge that some paper segments and packaging segments have been more affected in mature markets, but the tissue segment remains quite robust. Please note that several manufacturers showed a price increase for tissue and these were fully applied. Margins in several geographies also increased for this specific segment. And that's a segment that still performs very well in terms of consumption.
For the mid- to long-term scenario, considering a lot of uncertainty, macroeconomic uncertainties and also energy crisis in the EU, it's hard to say how prices will behave as of next year. As for the entry of new capacities, you've been following up the market. It's hard to say how much of hardwood we should see next year. We have a slightly estimate of 1.2 million tonnes, some level of assertiveness. However, bear in mind that the gap left by birch in the Northern Hemisphere was quite significant. They stopped producing about 1 million tonnes, out of which 700 of market pulp, and this gap is being filled by eucalyptus hardwood pulp. Considering all this, the concerns are more on a macroeconomic level and involving the energy crisis more than supply and demand.
Our next question is from Caio Ribeiro, Bank of America.
I have 2 questions. First, about the spread between hardwood and softwood, after a long time above the average. And now it's back to historical levels and even a little bit lower. Do you already see a movement for fiber replacement from hardwood to softwood. Second, about corrugated box and coated board. I would like to know if with the World Cup now very close to us, if you see any positive impact in the demand in the short term.
Thank you, Caio. We will start with Nico and then Douglas Dalmasi will add.
Thank you for your question. It is a fact that softwood would display a different role in comparison with the hardwood. We did have some small price adjustments in softwood. And the main driver here, especially on the supply side, considering that in the Nordic countries, they are no longer producing the natural hardwood and now they are manufacturing the softwood more so that brought an additional supply to the market. The market had some adjustments. As you saw these were not significant and that allowed the price stability for softwood as well.
I would like to stress that Klabin has almost none exposure to this international market. It's just here for the Brazilian market. The gap came down in terms of list price, yes, it is above the historical levels of $70 to $80. It's above $100 in terms of net price. Obviously, there is a significant difference. But I go back and look to British Columbia where manufacturers are having a hard time with climatic factors, especially wood availability this is an alert to us, and that should affect the market in the next few months. But we see the softwood market as a stable market, and we believe this gap will broaden more next year.
This is Douglas. We are optimistic about the fourth quarter. We see a quarter that is stronger than last year and the last quarter of last year with around 2% or more in line with the third quarter. So a good performance and usually, the fourth quarter is slower, right, and that is a matter of the Brazilian economy and also the World Cup will boost the economy as well we see the market with beer, for instance, that is heated up in Manaus and that region. That's a region that has the manufacturing of a number of products such as TV sets catering to this market that at the end of the year has a demand, the holidays, the World Cup, we'll have Black Friday now that is going to drive up retail. I'm very optimistic, and I think the World Cup helps in this optimism.
The next question comes from Isabella Vasconcelos with Bradesco BBI.
I have 2 questions on my end. I guess the first one is more related to the kraftliner foreign or international market. I wonder if you could make some comments on -- well, just as you mentioned about pulp, we want to understand the evolution of margin, the impact of international demand and the impact on your strategy in terms of bringing more volume or exporting less? Could you give us more color?
And the second question is about carbon credit and certifications of carbon credits, how has this conversation evolved at the company and if you have any policy to share? These are my questions.
I'll turn it over to Flavio and then I come back to talk about carbon credit or perhaps during Flavio's answer, maybe Razzolini is connected. Maybe he can answer as well. So Francisco just get ready for it. Flavio, over to you.
We have years of very vibrant demand in kraftliner market, our crack of virgin fiber communicates a lot with food business, fruit and prudent, so that's a market that despite having an acyclical behavior, it is more distant than a classical commodity, particularly with virgin crack. But this market relies on major economies, inflation does have an impact on purchasing power. And if we bring it with the fact that as economies open in 2021, part of consumption is oriented to services. So we brought important accommodation and demand in the U.S. also in Europe.
This is also connected to a second factor, which is capacity entry. This is more related to container boards of recycled fiber, adding more capacity and therefore, lower operation rates to these markets. Just one caveat about this great accommodation in the world, inflation, particularly in big manufacturers in Europe, this is very relevant. Energy costs in Europe brought significant impact from most manufacturers. And the floor of the cash cost of those who had higher costs, they were very affected have been a price platform above what we have been seeing in previous years.
So in practice, there is an accommodation and this accommodation leads to some price reduction in international markets and Klabin makes use of its strategy to bring more and more into the domestic market.
Thank you, Flavio. Before we hand it over to Francisco, allow me just to make a comment on the first point mentioned by Flavio.
Just to share the importance of integration that we constantly tell you about today, Klabin with Machine 27 and with this capacity in which we've been investing and saying that it may bring a lot of potential in the future. Now into the future of Klabin, we also always stand out as a big integrated local player with a lot of market share, maintaining and increasing corrugated box volumes in Brazil and also the global player. So the global dynamics will be increasingly more important to the company.
Now if I may, just adding a detail on the company dynamism, ag consumption, for instance. We've always been known as providing packaging for foods in all our product segments, about 70%, but mostly protein, fruit, white and red protein, et cetera. But look at this at double consumption in Brazil in the last decade, very strongly now in the pandemic. So ag became a consumption item not only at homes and industries as well. So Klabin is there. One of the most important items for us. Also, when it comes to protein transportation is eggs and Klabin is a major box manufacturer for eggs. So the dynamism of our market is represented by the dynamics of the food market in Brazil. Over to you, Francisco.
Thank you for your question. That's a very important statement. We've been constantly debating carbon in general. And we constantly try to highlight what we mean by carbon balance, what is footprint and credit. It's important to say that about carbon credit, Klabin has been working on projects to have certifications for the credits. We have several projects ongoing, some at the final stage. However, we understand that this is a moment of transition. We even have carbon credits in MDL in the clean development area that reflects Kyoto protocol. But since COP last year, we have the Paris agreement, and we are working now on a new mechanism to regulate carbon credits.
So why are we mentioning this? We see value of carbon credit in the regulated market. This is where we have interesting prices and prices that help to offset emissions in different countries. So this market is not defined yet. Brazil made some steps. We have still a lot of room to grow and despite COP27 now having this whole global issue or recession, energy problem in different economies, some coming back to fossil fuels, a big topic that will be addressed in COP27 will be this transition, this regulation of the new mechanism to replace MDL.
So Klabin will keep on working on its studies and accumulating carbon credit and waiting for the right moment for any possible negotiations in future years. Right now, we don't see a lot of value in the voluntary market.
Our next question is in English from Carlos De Alba from Morgan Stanley.
So one question regarding the cash flow generation that was quite strong in the quarter is at least relative to our estimates, but also a significant part of the cash flow -- cash from operations came from a change in other liabilities, BRL 1.175 billion. So I wonder if you can provide a little bit more color as to what does that represent. When looking at the balance sheet as published in the press release, I didn't see an increase of such magnitude in the liability part of the balance sheet. So any color would be really appreciated.
And then in terms of -- I guess I will squeeze 2 more in my second part of the question. One is on pulp costs, may be further to the discussion that we had earlier, how do you see your public costs beyond the next quarter? Certainly, year-on-year has been a dramatic increase in your cost for the reasons that you already alluded to and similar to what we have seen in other companies. But as we go forward in the next year, 2, 3 years, how do you see the pulp cost evolution for Klabin.
And then finally, looking into the future, when do you think you'll be in a position to announce the next big growth cycle that the company has beyond the conversion project that have already been mentioned earlier in the call.
I will share the answer with Marcos Ivo, and I'll come back after he answers to talk about growth, and he's going to talk about cash generation and also about cost estimates for pulp from now on. But let me make a quick observation on costs, and then we'll turn to Marcos.
Well, if we can say it the way I'm going to say it, and I hope all of you understand it. We have a good structural cost and good "adherence". And I have to say that because we are in the middle of a growth cycle, we constantly tell you and explain it, and we have told you that bringing in Puma II with 2 paper machines and a site where we were already producing 1.6 million tonnes of 3 pulp fibers that would represent an expansion that was significant in terms of looking for third-party wood and in this period where we would be using this wood.
So discounting the cash flow of this project is very favorable to the company even using the wood from third party. But amidst this period of third-party wood consumption, we acquired the land close to Klabin and we are planting therefore, we are working on the forestry side and in the second rotation that is in the first year after first rotation by the seventh or eighth year, we are already harvesting that wood. And structurally, we will see a drop of this wood cost. And that is going to be significant for that cost and for that region. And I think that is a huge wood consumption in that area, 15 million tonnes a year.
So that's why I'm telling you, this is a good moment of the company. And we have this "good cost" that we can see in the short term. But obviously, we already have almost 2 years in operations of the first machine, and we are already starting to see the ceilings being planted, close to Klabin in a few years that wood will be growing within our radius and that the structural cost will come down once again. But regardless, that structural answer Marcos will have that understanding of cash generation and the short cycle, and I come back to talk about growth.
Okay. Carlos, about that cash -- accounting cash flow on others, considering we have a number of lines, I would like you to understand that after we end the call, our RI team will send you a small table, a small chart so that you can see and if you need further information, let us know and we'll go into the details. I also would like to take the opportunity of your question to draw everyone's attention that always increasing transparency and to make things easier for analysts and investors that analyze our financial statements, we have here a reconciliation of our cash movement in our release. That should help you in your analysis.
About the pulp cash cost, I already mentioned something in the first or second question. I talked about the fourth quarter of the year -- now about 2023 on. As you said it yourself, in your question, Carlos, we see the world with changing prices because of the inflationary process. So I also would like to tell you, we are working on our budget now. We are starting to work on our budget. Klabin Day on November 30 will be a good moment. We are going to be able to provide you with a better perspective of the figures for 2023 and the next years, especially because we also have positive changes at Klabin that will affect cost.
And I will give you one example. We talked a lot about coated board. Now Klabin is already seeing Machine 28, 100% with coated board starting in 2024. When we approved the business case and brought it to you, we -- our time range was over 10 years. So the fact that now we have more coated board benefiting our EBITDA earlier, this is going to affect cost so that we can show all that in a very structured fashion. We are going to use Klabin Day. So please be patient, and we'll be able to provide you with full information in November.
So Carlos, talking about growth, I think we can say it like that. We have a special moment right now in the company. Probably you saw when everyone spoke, the coated board machine is something that we had planned, and we now -- we have a new dynamics and just linking what Marcos Ivo just said, we have been very dynamic choosing the product mix, always choosing what will provide the best profitability and this has been, obviously, this is not a surprise, but it has been mainly a confirmation of something that we believe in for a long time that the product line that we have is consumer board, that is a winning line, and this can also be seen in American companies. You can check that Klabin is in line with these companies and is reacting well to the market.
About growth and new growth, I think we have a significant possibility in 2023. We will continue working on our forest base in the states that are of interest for us in the south of the country. We will continue working on that. It is the right moment, yes, to celebrate the start-up of Machine 28. The consolidation of Machine 27. We have a lot of capacity for a machine of coated board. I am willing to see your pricing with the sound and stable productivity entry that we are bringing to the market soon and currently soon should be next year.
We'll bring back news to you. We'll talk about news. We are looking at fluff, we are looking at softwood fluff that will give us a special competitive advantage. And we are also looking at other products such as sack kraft. But right now, we are consolidating the beginning, the start-up of Machine 28 and maybe earlier than what we expected and the consolidation of Machine 27 and also seize this good moment for our forest expansion in the south of the country.
The next question comes from Marcio Farid with Goldman Sachs.
I guess most of my questions were already answered. I have 2 more specific questions though. The first one about pulp, Nico, you mentioned about the strategy ongoing at the company to use flexibility and product options in different regions in order to add more profitability. I guess there's something that is commercially sensitive. But what about the strategy of diversification and products or regional and product diversification for next year, I know you reduced a lot of exposure into China next year. So how could we think about this commercial strategy going into 2023?
The second question is about maintenance CapEx. We had a hard time to understand how we should consider it structurally. We had inflation core relevant into all sectors for the last 12 months, and Klabin also changed a lot with new product lines and growing the forest base. I don't know if there will be more news in Klabin Day, but could you give us some color about how to think about structural maintenance CapEx for the company today? It would be cool to learn more about it.
Thank you, Marcio. So Nico will be the first one to speak.
Look, our assumption on product mix and diversification is ongoing based on the scenario that we had for this year and for next year, in-house, we work with unrestricted demand, trying to understand where the best opportunities are. So what we did for 2022 also applies to 2023. If we look at our product portfolio, naturally, we have more energy invested in the fluff segment, as you know. A couple of new developments. October, we had the official launch of a new product, known as Fluff eXcel, which is a hybrid product, gaining a lot of attraction and was already approved by big accounts, not only Brazil, but also abroad. That's a competitive advantage. Klabin is the only company in the world to have a single real with 2 types of fiber, and that's a very important competitive edge.
As for next year, obviously, we have a concerning scenario, particularly concerning Europe. Chances are, and we disclosed it before, we tend to reduce our sales to that particular market with a higher concentration of sales in the U.S. continent or American continent. And exposure in Asia, it is a growing important continent and also other specific markets, but Europe is the most important concern considering the energy crisis and where we expect to see the strongest impact starting 2023.
Marcio, just adding to the comments. It's true. We're going to provide further information on Klabin Day. As we speak, actually, we are starting to work on our budget process. But we can tell you already that there is inflation also in CapEx. CapEx inflation had a delay. It arrived a little bit later. So it is still present, and it's already appearing in our numbers and figures. However, it will also have an impact next year.
Additionally, Klabin also changed the size. If you think about Machines 27 and 28, they already have their maintenance CapEx for 27. 28 will start up next year in addition to the greatest forestry scope. So on KLABIN DAY, in addition to giving the absolute numbers for 2023, we also give you some breakdowns in order to allow you to assess and to the market in general.
Our next question is from Daniel Sasson, Itau BBA.
Congratulations on the results, especially on the price realization and areas. My questions have already been addressed, but I would like to have a follow-up in terms of CapEx, not expansion CapEx, but maintenance CapEx.
So we are getting some questions about onetime CapEx one-off CapEx, and that's also relevant for instance, for maintenance of the Monte Alegre boiler. Can you share with us which are the options or expectations that you have for the CapEx in Monte Alegre specifically? And that is your main plant and paper right?
And my second question is about corrugated boxes. We have seen some consolidation recently in the market, in the local market. Actually, I would like to know if you still see opportunities to consolidate this market, if you believe that starting at a given moment, you might be cannibalizing sales of the company itself by acquiring competitors and that maybe clients don't want to be as exposed or adding risk of being supplied by a single provider, a single supplier. These are my questions.
Well, I have a comment on CapEx for Monte Alegre that you mentioned, but we work that -- we'll be working on that information in our Klabin Day. And Douglas will talk about the market after that.
Well, Daniel, Monte Alegre in the site that started to manufacture in the 40s or at the end of the 30s, 40,000 tonnes. Today, this is a site for 1 million tonnes. And that is a site that is fully stable. It is a global reference and it has annealing abilities that are a reference in the industry. For the last decades, we have received information and we are exchanging information on the operation of -- about the site. We'd like to say that Ortigueira is the new site, but Montage is a powerful sight, and we have a life expectation that is perennial and its favorable condition, thanks to a good water condition because it's close to 2 important rivers and also because of the forest productivity.
So yes, looking at Monte Alegre, we look at that as renewal -- renewing its operating capacity. But with opportunities, we know about the average age of equipment. We know how important that is in a plant, and we work on that. We studied that as a major opportunity in Brazil, which as a country is investing in the transformation of its paper and pulp units in all large companies in the sector. And yes, Klabin sees the updating of the site as a possibility, but bringing return to Klabin and with a possibility of great renewal with that is the idea for the site. So this is a strong place for Klabin, and will continue to be. Well, I'll turn the floor to Douglas.
And on our side, what is in our agenda, you know it well, project Horizon starting now in 2023 and to get in 2024. We always look at the industry on the side of competitiveness. These 2 sites will bring us a lot of competitiveness with state-of-the-art technology, scale, very high operating efficiency. And as far as paper is concerned, we see the availability of paper in the market and competitiveness. In the mid and the long-term, we look at those that have competitiveness and availability, we'll keep on growing, keeping up with the market growth and we'll be adjusting itself in terms of volume. So that's how we are seeing the short-term projects for Klabin.
There are no further questions. We'd like to give the floor to Mr. Cristiano Teixeira for the closing remarks.
So now I bring the outlook for the fourth quarter of 2022. In general, the fourth quarter of the year is still a strong seasonal period. This year, we already feel that the scenario is different, especially in the foreign market with global economies reorganizing themselves in the midst of macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite this scenario, we remain firm in our vision of maintaining good cash generation measured by EBITDA, growing year-over-year and confident in the full capacity of our products to serve resilient markets such as food, beverages and hygiene with good expectations for the upcoming Black Friday and World Cup.
I also strengthen our full commitment to the best ESG practices in the private sector in the world. And once again, Francisco and I will attend COP27 in the Business Leaders group.
Thank you all for joining us today and I look forward to seeing you at Klabin Day, which will be held on November 30.
This concludes Klabin's conference call. Thank you all for joining us today. Have a great day.