CPFL Energia SA
BOVESPA:CPFE3
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CPFE3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.66 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 32.97 BRL, CPFL Energia SA is Undervalued by 15%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
CPFL Energia SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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CPFL Energia SA stands as a prominent player in Brazil's energy sector, boasting a robust portfolio of renewable and conventional energy assets. Established in 1998, the company has evolved into one of the largest privately-owned utilities in the country, serving millions of customers across multiple states. Its operations are underpinned by a diversified mix of energy generation, including hydroelectric, wind, and solar power facilities, positioning CPFL as a leader in sustainable energy production. As global emphasis shifts towards cleaner energy sources, CPFL is strategically aligning its growth with Brazil’s increasing demand for renewable energy, which presents an attractive opportunity...
CPFL Energia SA stands as a prominent player in Brazil's energy sector, boasting a robust portfolio of renewable and conventional energy assets. Established in 1998, the company has evolved into one of the largest privately-owned utilities in the country, serving millions of customers across multiple states. Its operations are underpinned by a diversified mix of energy generation, including hydroelectric, wind, and solar power facilities, positioning CPFL as a leader in sustainable energy production. As global emphasis shifts towards cleaner energy sources, CPFL is strategically aligning its growth with Brazil’s increasing demand for renewable energy, which presents an attractive opportunity for environmentally conscious investors.
Over the years, CPFL has demonstrated a solid financial performance, characterized by stable revenue streams and a commitment to expanding its operational efficiency. The company's dedication to innovation and modernization in energy distribution has resulted in improvements in customer service and service reliability, fostering strong loyalty among its consumer base. With Brazil’s ongoing energy reforms and increasing investment in renewable infrastructure, CPFL is not just maintaining its market leadership but is also poised for significant growth. For investors, this represents a compelling opportunity: a chance to be part of a forward-looking energy company that is well-positioned to benefit from the global transition to a more sustainable future while also delivering steady financial returns.
CPFL Energia SA is one of the largest electric utilities in Brazil, involved in various segments of the energy sector. As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, the core business segments of CPFL Energia include:
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Electricity Distribution: This is one of the principal activities of CPFL Energia, where it operates several local distribution companies that supply electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company ensures the distribution of electric power across various regions in Brazil, with a focus on reliability and service quality.
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Electricity Generation: CPFL Energia engages in electricity generation from various sources, including hydroelectric, thermal, wind, and solar power plants. The mix of generation sources helps to diversify risk and meet demand variations in the energy market.
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Trading of Electric Energy: The company participates in the wholesale electricity market, trading surplus energy and managing its portfolio to optimize costs and revenues. This segment involves buying and selling electricity to balance supply and demand and manage risks associated with price volatility.
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Energy Services: This includes a range of services such as energy efficiency solutions, smart grid technologies, and customer care initiatives. CPFL Energia focuses on providing value-added services to enhance customer experience and promote sustainable practices.
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Renewable Energy Initiatives: The company actively invests in renewable energy projects, aligning with global trends towards sustainability and environmental responsibility. This segment is crucial for CPFL Energia's long-term strategy, given the increasing demand for cleaner energy sources.
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Research and Development: CPFL Energia invests in R&D to innovate and improve its technologies and services. This includes exploring new energy solutions and enhancing operational efficiency.
These core business segments contribute to CPFL Energia’s overall strategy of providing reliable and efficient energy solutions while supporting Brazil’s energy transition towards more sustainable practices.
CPFL Energia SA, a major Brazilian energy company, possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the sector:
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Diverse Portfolio: CPFL Energia operates a wide range of energy generation sources, including hydroelectric, wind, solar, and thermal. This diversification helps stabilize revenue streams and reduces dependency on any single generation source, allowing it to respond effectively to market fluctuations.
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Strong Market Presence: As one of the largest electricity distribution companies in Brazil, CPFL holds a significant market share, particularly in the SĂŁo Paulo region. This established presence provides competitive leverage in customer acquisition and retention.
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Strategic Investments in Renewables: The company actively invests in renewable energy sources, aligning with global trends towards sustainability and energy transition. This proactive approach enhances its brand reputation and positions CPFL favorably in the face of increasing regulatory demands for greener energy solutions.
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Operational Efficiency: CPFL Energia focuses on improving its operational efficiencies through technological advancements and intelligent grid systems. Streamlining operations reduces costs and enhances service delivery, providing a competitive edge over less efficient rivals.
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Customer-Centric Initiatives: The company emphasizes strong customer service and innovative offerings, including digital platforms for customer interaction and energy management solutions. This focus on customer satisfaction helps maintain a loyal customer base.
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Regulatory Compliance and Relationships: CPFL has established solid relationships with regulatory bodies, ensuring compliance and favorable positioning within the regulatory landscape. This minimizes operational risks associated with regulatory changes compared to less compliant competitors.
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Financial Strength and Flexibility: CPFL Energia's financial stability allows it to invest in infrastructure upgrades and expansion projects that enhance its competitive position. A strong balance sheet also facilitates access to capital markets at favorable rates.
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Strong Brand Recognition: With decades of operation, CPFL has built a strong brand that is recognized for reliability and quality in the energy sector. This brand equity contributes to customer loyalty and market positioning.
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Innovative Technology Adoption: CPFL is known for adopting cutting-edge technologies, such as smart metering and data analytics, to optimize energy distribution and management. This technological edge enhances operational performance and customer experience.
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Commitment to Sustainability: CPFL’s commitment to environmental sustainability and corporate social responsibility enhances its brand image and connects with a growing base of environmentally conscious consumers and investors.
These competitive advantages position CPFL Energia as a strong player in the Brazilian energy market, enabling it to navigate challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities effectively.
CPFL Energia SA, a Brazilian energy company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key areas to consider:
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Regulatory Risks: The energy sector in Brazil is highly regulated. Changes in government policies, regulatory frameworks, or tariffs can significantly impact the company's operations and profitability. For example, adjustments in electricity prices or changes in subsidy programs could affect revenue.
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Market Competition: Increasing competition from both traditional energy providers and new entrants, particularly in renewable energy, may pressure CPFL Energia's market share and pricing strategies.
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Economic Conditions: Brazil's economic climate can influence electricity demand and operational costs. Economic downturns may reduce consumption or delay infrastructure investments.
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Currency Fluctuations: As an entity operating in Brazil, CPFL Energia is exposed to currency risks, particularly if it has dollar-denominated debts or engages in international transactions, which can impact profitability.
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Environmental Regulations: With the global push towards sustainability and cleaner energy, CPFL Energia may face pressure to invest heavily in renewable energy sources. Complying with environmental regulations can increase operational costs and change investment strategies.
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Operational Risks: The company faces operational challenges, including infrastructure maintenance, supply chain issues, and the need to modernize aging assets. Any disruptions can lead to service outages and customer dissatisfaction.
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Technological Changes: The energy sector is rapidly evolving with advancements in technology, including smart grids, energy storage, and renewable energy solutions. CPFL Energia needs to invest in technology to stay competitive and meet changing consumer preferences.
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Climate Change: As climate events become more unpredictable, the company must prepare for potential disruptions caused by extreme weather, which could affect energy production and distribution.
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Debt Levels: If CPFL Energia carries high levels of debt, rising interest rates or a decrease in cash flow can strain the company’s financial health and limit growth opportunities.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: With the rise of distributed generation and energy efficiency initiatives, consumer preferences may shift. Adapting to these changes requires investment in new technologies and business models.
Each of these challenges requires careful consideration and strategic planning to mitigate risks and capitalize on potential opportunities for growth and stability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CPFL Energia SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CPFL Energia SA
Current Assets | 15.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.9B |
Receivables | 10.3B |
Other Current Assets | 1.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 58.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 24B |
PP&E | 10B |
Intangibles | 8.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16.3B |
Current Liabilities | 15.6B |
Accounts Payable | 3.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 10.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 39.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 23.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 15.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
CPFL Energia SA
Revenue
|
40.3B
BRL
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Cost of Revenue
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-26.4B
BRL
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Gross Profit
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13.9B
BRL
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Operating Expenses
|
-3B
BRL
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Operating Income
|
10.9B
BRL
|
Other Expenses
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-5.4B
BRL
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Net Income
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5.5B
BRL
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
CPFL Energia SA
BRL | |
Free Cash Flow | BRL |
In the third quarter of 2024, CPFL reported a 2.4% increase in load growth, reaching a BRL 3.155 billion EBITDA—up 0.7%. Profit saw a small rise of 1.5%, totaling BRL 1.3 billion. Despite challenges like a 61% drop in commercialization due to tariff impacts, the transmission sector surged by 42.6%. The company aims for a capital expenditure of BRL 5.9 billion, marking a 17.8% growth. With a net debt of BRL 26.6 billion and a healthy leverage ratio of 2.04, CPFL maintains a solid financial outlook for the upcoming quarters.
What is Earnings Call?
CPFE3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CPFL Energia SA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CPFL Energia SA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CPFE3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CPFL Energia SA's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CPFL Energia SA's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CPFE3 Price Targets Summary
CPFL Energia SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPFE3 is 40.54 BRL with a low forecast of 34.34 BRL and a high forecast of 51.45 BRL.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CPFE3 is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
CPFL Energia SA is a holding company which engages in the distribution, generation and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company is headquartered in Campinas, Sao Paulo and currently employs 8 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-09-29. The Company, through its subsidiaries, distributes, generates, transmits and commercializes electricity in Brazil, as well as provides energy-related services. Its segments include Distribution, Conventional Generation Sources, Renewable Energy Generation, Commercialization and Services. The firm operates its distribution segment through its eight distributors. Its installed capacity in conventional generation is approximately 2,200 megawatt (MW). The Company, through its subsidiary CPFL Geracao, holds equity interests in eight Hydroelectric Power Plants. The company operates in the segment of generation of energy of renewable sources, such as wind, biomass thermal plants, SHPPs and solar, through its subsidiary, CPFL Renovaveis. The firm operates in the segment of commercialization (power competitive supply) through its subsidiary, CPFL Brasil. The firm operates in the segment of value-added services providing electricity-related services.
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The intrinsic value of one CPFE3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.66 BRL.
Compared to the current market price of 32.97 BRL, CPFL Energia SA is Undervalued by 15%.