CPFL Energia SA
BOVESPA:CPFE3

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CPFL Energia SA Logo
CPFL Energia SA
BOVESPA:CPFE3
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Price: 32.97 BRL 1.54% Market Closed
Market Cap: 38B BRL
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CPFE3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.66 BRL. Compared to the current market price of 32.97 BRL, CPFL Energia SA is Undervalued by 15%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CPFE3 Intrinsic Value
38.66 BRL
Undervaluation 15%
Intrinsic Value
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CPFL Energia SA

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

CPFL Energia SA stands as a prominent player in Brazil's energy sector, boasting a robust portfolio of renewable and conventional energy assets. Established in 1998, the company has evolved into one of the largest privately-owned utilities in the country, serving millions of customers across multiple states. Its operations are underpinned by a diversified mix of energy generation, including hydroelectric, wind, and solar power facilities, positioning CPFL as a leader in sustainable energy production. As global emphasis shifts towards cleaner energy sources, CPFL is strategically aligning its growth with Brazil’s increasing demand for renewable energy, which presents an attractive opportunity...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
CPFL Energia SA

Current Assets 15.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 3.9B
Receivables 10.3B
Other Current Assets 1.2B
Non-Current Assets 58.5B
Long-Term Investments 24B
PP&E 10B
Intangibles 8.3B
Other Non-Current Assets 16.3B
Current Liabilities 15.6B
Accounts Payable 3.4B
Accrued Liabilities 1.6B
Other Current Liabilities 10.6B
Non-Current Liabilities 39.2B
Long-Term Debt 23.8B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 15.4B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
CPFL Energia SA

Revenue
40.3B BRL
Cost of Revenue
-26.4B BRL
Gross Profit
13.9B BRL
Operating Expenses
-3B BRL
Operating Income
10.9B BRL
Other Expenses
-5.4B BRL
Net Income
5.5B BRL

Free Cash Flow Analysis
CPFL Energia SA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the third quarter of 2024, CPFL reported a 2.4% increase in load growth, reaching a BRL 3.155 billion EBITDA—up 0.7%. Profit saw a small rise of 1.5%, totaling BRL 1.3 billion. Despite challenges like a 61% drop in commercialization due to tariff impacts, the transmission sector surged by 42.6%. The company aims for a capital expenditure of BRL 5.9 billion, marking a 17.8% growth. With a net debt of BRL 26.6 billion and a healthy leverage ratio of 2.04, CPFL maintains a solid financial outlook for the upcoming quarters.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CPFE3 Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

CPFL Energia SA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
62/100
Profitability
Score

CPFL Energia SA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CPFE3 Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

CPFL Energia SA's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Low Altman Z-Score
36/100
Solvency
Score

CPFL Energia SA's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CPFE3 Price Targets Summary
CPFL Energia SA

Wall Street analysts forecast CPFE3 stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPFE3 is 40.54 BRL with a low forecast of 34.34 BRL and a high forecast of 51.45 BRL.

Lowest
Price Target
34.34 BRL
4% Upside
Average
Price Target
40.54 BRL
23% Upside
Highest
Price Target
51.45 BRL
56% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CPFE3 is .

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Dividend Yield
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Profile

CPFL Energia SA Logo
CPFL Energia SA

Country

Brazil

Industry

Utilities

Market Cap

38B BRL

Dividend Yield

8.35%

Description

CPFL Energia SA is a holding company which engages in the distribution, generation and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company is headquartered in Campinas, Sao Paulo and currently employs 8 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-09-29. The Company, through its subsidiaries, distributes, generates, transmits and commercializes electricity in Brazil, as well as provides energy-related services. Its segments include Distribution, Conventional Generation Sources, Renewable Energy Generation, Commercialization and Services. The firm operates its distribution segment through its eight distributors. Its installed capacity in conventional generation is approximately 2,200 megawatt (MW). The Company, through its subsidiary CPFL Geracao, holds equity interests in eight Hydroelectric Power Plants. The company operates in the segment of generation of energy of renewable sources, such as wind, biomass thermal plants, SHPPs and solar, through its subsidiary, CPFL Renovaveis. The firm operates in the segment of commercialization (power competitive supply) through its subsidiary, CPFL Brasil. The firm operates in the segment of value-added services providing electricity-related services.

Contact

SAO PAULO
Campinas
Rua Jorge de Figueiredo Correa,1632, parte, Jd Prof. Tarcilia
+551937568458
www.cpfl.com.br

IPO

2004-09-29

Employees

8

Officers

CEO, Member of Executive Board & Director
Mr. Gustavo Estrella
CFO, Investor Relations Officer, Member of Executive Board & Director
Mr. Yuehui Pan
VP of Market Operations & Member of Executive Board
Ms. Karin Regina Luchesi
VP of Regulated Operations & Member of Executive Board
Mr. Luis Henrique Ferreira Pinto
VP of Legal & Institutional Relations and Member of Executive Board
Mr. Gustavo Pinto Gachineiro
VP of Business Development & Member of Executive Board
Mr. Vitor Fagali de Souza
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VP of Business Management & Member of Executive Board
Mr. Flavio Henrique Ribeiro
Interim Executive VP, VP of Strategy, Innovation & Business Excellence & Member of Executive Board
Mr. Huang Futao
Accounting Director, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller
Mr. SĂ©rgio Luiz Felice
Secretary
Mr. Gustavo Henrique de Aguiar Sablewski
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CPFE3 stock?

The intrinsic value of one CPFE3 stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.66 BRL.

Is CPFE3 stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 32.97 BRL, CPFL Energia SA is Undervalued by 15%.

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