Ambev SA
BOVESPA:ABEV3
Utilize notes to systematically review your investment decisions. By reflecting on past outcomes, you can discern effective strategies and identify those that underperformed. This continuous feedback loop enables you to adapt and refine your approach, optimizing for future success.
Each note serves as a learning point, offering insights into your decision-making processes. Over time, you'll accumulate a personalized database of knowledge, enhancing your ability to make informed decisions quickly and effectively.
With a comprehensive record of your investment history at your fingertips, you can compare current opportunities against past experiences. This not only bolsters your confidence but also ensures that each decision is grounded in a well-documented rationale.
Do you really want to delete this note?
This action cannot be undone.
52 Week Range |
11.09
14.7
|
Price Target |
|
We'll email you a reminder when the closing price reaches BRL.
Choose the stock you wish to monitor with a price alert.
This alert will be permanently deleted.
Good morning, and thank you for waiting. We would like to welcome everyone to Ambev's First Quarter 2020 Results Conference Call. Today with us, we have Mr. Jean Jereissati, CEO for Ambev; and Mr. Lucas Lira, CFO and Investor Relations Officer.
As a reminder, a slide presentation is available for downloading on our website. This event is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]
Before proceeding, let me mention that forward-looking statements are being made under the safe harbor of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1996. Forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of Ambev's management and on information currently available to the company. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and, therefore, depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of Ambev and could cause the results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements.
I would also like to remind everyone that, as usual, the percentage changes that will be discussed during today's call are both organic and normalized in nature, and unless otherwise stated, percentage changes refer to comparisons with first quarter 2019 results. Normalized figures refer to the performance measures before exceptional items, which are either income or expenses that do not occur regularly as part of Ambev's normal activities. As normalized figures are non-GAAP measures, the company discloses the consolidated profit, EPS, EBIT and EBITDA on a fully reported basis in the earnings release.
Now I'll turn the conference over to Mr. Jean Jereissati, CEO for Ambev. Mr. Jereissati, you may begin your conference.
Thank you. Good morning, good afternoon to everyone. Thanks for joining our Q1 call. Today, I will share the overall view on our business, and Lucas will cover the highlights of our financial performance. We will be as brief as possible so we can dedicate more time to Q&A.
Since COVID-19 has been so life-changing, I want to share what we have seen so far on the ground, what we are doing about it and how we plan to come out of this stronger. During Q&A, I will happily take any questions you may have regarding our Q1 performance.
I would like to start by thanking my team. They have risen to the challenge and have made a big difference in how we are managing the crisis so far. Above all, I want to thank our people at the breweries, at the distribution centers and everyone who has been servicing the market despite all the risks they are facing.
As you know, we already knew Q1 would be challenging. We expected cost pressure, front load of sales and marketing investments as part of our commercial plan and a tough comp as we had the peak of our market share in Q1 '19, but then COVID-19 came, was an unprecedented event that really negatively affected our performance on top of everything.
I would like to explain how each region was affected in terms of volume impact. Panama, Dominican Republic and Bolivia were hit the hardest. Those countries have more severe restrictions on people circulation, adopting on- and off-trade opening hours and alcohol sales ban.
Brazil suffered quite a bit, given the relevance of the on-trade channel, which was significantly impacted by state and local government measures to contain the spread of the virus. Argentina, Paraguay and Chile suffered less because our volumes are heavily weighted towards the off-trade channel. Canada volumes benefited in the short term, given the pantry loading.
It has been challenging to manage through COVID. People are scared, and there is a lot of uncertainty. But as far as Ambev is concerned, our dream of bringing people together for a better world is more relevant than ever. I believe we have been able to move very fast because we entered this crisis very well positioned.
What I believe is making the difference for us is the following: first of all, we are taking care of our people. Our top priority has been the safety and health of our team. We have focused on providing a safe working environment. Thankfully, we have had a limited number of cases, and we have provided full support to our people and their families. Our team has shown great resilience, agility and sense of ownership. In fact, I think it is fair to say this crisis has brought the team closer together.
Second, our size and scale are making a difference. Being present in 18 markets across the Americas and being part of 18 brands gives us a unique position to learn from each other. We can share best practice, anticipate issues and be prepared for what's about to come. We entered this crisis with ample liquidity. Our financial discipline also helped. We quickly revisited our costs, expenses and investments to focus on what matters most in the current environment. But we did not lose sight of product quality, the long-term health of our brands and our desire to continue to innovate.
Third, our strategy. COVID-19 is becoming a catalyst to accelerate the changes we have been implementing in the company so far. I would like to recall that our strategy is based on 3 pillars: Ambev as an ecosystem, innovation as a mindset, business transformation enabled by technology. Let me share with you what we are doing in each of these 3 pillars, starting with Ambev as an ecosystem. We know our businesses are local. We understand it is our role to help the countries and communities where we operate. We knew we had to collaborate, repurpose the company's competencies and capabilities to really solve real problems.
So what are we doing? First, we need to be there for our community. Let me give you 3 examples of what we have been doing so far to impact people's lives in a relevant way. In most of our markets, we converted some of our production lines to produce and donate hand sanitizers to most of our markets. In Brazil, for example, we put out a team into a project to build a 100-bed hospital in 36 days, just being delivered before the peak of the virus. We will also produce and donate 3 billion PET protection masks for health professionals in Brazil.
In Argentina, we are donating beer barley to produce bread. We are also helping to distribute the bread through our route to market in collaboration with NGOs.
We need to be there for our customers too, particularly the on-trade. Stella Artois has headed a campaign to support restaurants and bars in most of our markets where consumers can support their favorite bars and restaurants by buying vouchers for future consumption.
Finally, we need to be there for our wholesalers, suppliers and commercial partners, and we need to work together with government. We are being as flexible as possible to work with the stakeholders while protecting our business. Lucas will speak more about this later.
The second pillar of our strategy is innovation as a mindset. On Carnival, we have had a successful nationwide launch of Beats GT. It was consumed by 4 out of every 10 people who attended the street celebration. And among younger people above the legal drinking age, the number increases to 6 out of 10.
In the first quarter, we were also piloting Brahma Duplo Malte as an innovation on the core plus pure malt segment with a different concept of liquid to play. And because every crisis brings opportunities, we quickly identified a social need that people need to have access to entertainment while staying at home, the livestream concert, and we were able to ramp Brahma Duplo Malte up, achieving in 2 months what was supposed to be done in 2 years.
We expanded the livestreams platform into a full calendar of concerts with different musical generalists and included our broader portfolio, such as, on top of Brahma Duplo Malte, Bohemia, Budweiser and Original. We had 375 million views so far, making all viewing records possible. We had 24x more earned media impressions than FIFA World Cup in 2018. On our first livestream with Bohemia, we had 272,000 mentions on social media, which means about 8% of the total number of mentions that we had from all of our brands in 2019.
The third pillar of our strategy is business transformation enabled by technology. Here, I would like to highlight the acceleration of our B2B and B2C across our markets. We boosted our capability and reach, solving client pain points and bringing convenience to consumers. For example, our B2C platform in Brazil, Ze Delivery, more than doubled the coverage of box since mid-March. Only in April, it made more than 1 million deliveries compared to 1.5 million during all of the year 2019.
To wrap up, I would like to say we are not only focused on surviving the storm, but we really want to come out of it stronger, thanks to the transformation that we already have begun. Q2 will be tougher than Q1 as all our markets cope volume decline that results from COVID-19 and the operational deleverage that comes with it. But we are here for the long term and are confident in our ability to bounce back. And we will do that by focusing on our people, being there for our consumers and clients, continue to invest towards a winning portfolio and serving our communities and collaborating with wholesalers, suppliers, commercial partners and government.
So thank you very much. See you in the Q&A. And Lucas, over to you.
Thanks, Jean. Good morning, good afternoon, everyone. It's great to be back at Ambev after 6.5 years at AB Inbev. I'd like to thank Tennenbaum for his support during the transition and for leaving behind a great team, which has made a huge difference as I arrived. I've already had the opportunity to reconnect with some of you on the sell side and the buy side in the last couple of months, and I look forward to working with the investment community going forward.
Our Q1 financial performance was mainly impacted by the EBITDA decline and a significant increase in our financial expenses due to the settlement of equity swaps and higher carry costs related to the hedging of our FX and commodity exposure in Argentina.
In terms of our financial performance, since the COVID-19 outbreak, we've been focusing on two things: one, manage our liquidity in a disciplined way; and two, revisit our cost structure and expenses to minimize the impact on our profitability.
Regarding liquidity, although we entered the COVID-19 crisis with a very solid cash position, we haven't lowered our guard. We've increased the level of tracking of receivables, being flexible where we can to support our wholesalers and POCs. We're sitting down with government to see where we can work together to support the trade. We're working with our suppliers as everyone adapts to the tougher outlook. We're revisiting our CapEx and reprioritizing our investments, and we've accessed credit in select markets as an additional safeguard.
As for our cost and expenses, we conducted a bottom-up exercise with each line item owner to tighten the belt, revising the budget and reprioritizing, particularly what we call nonworking lines. As an example, we have significantly reduced our travel spend and internal events. We've internalized certain services and revisited our entire people spend towards avoiding furloughs or layoffs while taking advantage of government relief initiatives.
We're also looking into working money. We've reviewed our trade spend on the on-premise channel, we've leveraged more our Draftline content creation team as well as revisited our marketing investments. For instance, we've suspended investments that are tied to large-scale events that have been suspended or postponed. And content creation that does not speak to what consumers are currently going through have been either suspended or shifted towards our prioritized marketing initiatives, like the one Jean mentioned. All this, while maintaining or even boosting service level to clients, sticking to our main investments behind key innovation and without compromising the quality of our products.
Finally, our hedging policy for FX and commodities remains in place. Given the increased level of volatility, we see even more value in the predictability that hedging our exposure, on average, 12 months ahead gives us.
To wrap up, given all the uncertainty that lies ahead, we will continue with dual focus on protecting liquidity on the one hand and minimizing the impact of volume decline on our profitability on the other hand, while trying to seize opportunities that come up. It is fair to say, however, that protecting profitability will be our biggest challenge on the financial side, particularly in Q2.
With that, let's go to Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Isabella Simonato with Bank of America.
Jean, Lucas, congratulations on your new role, and welcome come back. I have two questions. First of all, we are seeing China finally opening up again, right, after almost 4 months of lockdown. Which lessons can we learn, or can you actually learn from the opening of the country and from the early recovery of the consumption, right, in terms of channels and in terms of the size of their recovery? How can we -- how can you anticipate some of that to what Brazil may face in Q3?
And second of all, looking at the volumes in March specifically and what we are seeing in April, can you provide some color on the performance for channel, specifically discussing what's going on in the retail, right, and also per category of beer between the mainstream and the premium? If you could quantify a little bit the performance.
Okay. Thank you very much, Isabella. I have been in China for -- I worked in China for 4 years. I left China in the end of 2018. So the team over there is pretty much the team I have worked for a while. And we are in a very close moment. So I have been working on the crisis in China since the beginning. Since the beginning of February, I was invited to participate, to understand what's going on at first to help China and then, at some point in time, to understand and learn and use the learnings here in Brazil. And we are seeing a lot of things over there.
So what we see? It is that this crisis has some phases that you really have to take care on the operational side. So first is about people first. Then we saw that you have to be very accurate on predictability and volumes for not stop hardly the production or lose the timing on the comeback. So the S&OP is something that has to be very well-run with all the company looking at it.
What we saw, too, it is that this come back, it come back in stages. So we see different type of return in different types of channels. Of course, the off-trade, it was more resilient on this crisis. And then we saw -- and then the e-commerce is really accelerated. And then we see restaurants coming back slowly in the night, like it's taking a little bit more time. So we have to have this type of proxy to the comeback here in Brazil.
When you look at this in Brazil, the strength that we see is really in moms-and-pops and small off-trade are the -- is the channel that has more resilience during this crisis. And for sure, e-commerce and convenience is just on fire.
Another thing that we are looking to is that everybody has to think like an ecosystem on this comeback. So we have to have ability to find a way to guarantee that the ecosystem is healthy, and you don't lose wholesalers and then you don't lose box. The most you can stabilize the system, the fast is the recovery moving forward.
So lots of learnings with China. Doing this proxy to what's going on in Brazil is pretty much what we are seeing in home consumption going up. Local purchase mainly from small off-trades and moms-and-pop, core brands showing resilience on this crisis more than before. Everything is going digital: orders, entertainment, conversation, media. So everything is really going digital. If not -- if you were not prepared, it's very hard for you to move fast. We had to have a base for us to really observe what's going on. And we are seeing convenient packs, cans, long necks, really moving much ahead. On the returnable packs, there is the packs that are more related with the on-trade channel.
The next question is from Luca Cipiccia with Goldman Sachs.
My question is the following: if I think about the discussions over the last maybe couple of years, I think a lot is centered around the health of the brand portfolio, the consumer preferences shifting or evolving as well as the right balance between premium, mainstream, affordability. So my question would be, do you see opportunities in this environment to, let's say, reignite maybe initiatives or certain sort of brand initiatives that you may have not been able to pursue in the past? Or if so, how could you find maybe some competitive advantages in taking this time and taking this sort of pause in the operating environment to maybe reinforce some of the connection with consumer with certain brands? And secondly -- I'm talking beer in particular here.
And secondly, how do you see the market coming out of this with regards to affordability that, as we discussed in Q4, in the last call, was already an ongoing effort or an initiative in normal market conditions? So how should we think about that balance between premium, affordability, maybe some of the value initiatives that you've done over the last few months? Can you discuss a little bit brands, portfolio health and maybe opportunities as well as the price/mix balance as we, hopefully, come out of this in the next few months?
Okay. Thank you. Somehow, I don't see a major change on consumer trends and preference because of the crisis. What I really see is really an acceleration what's -- about what's going on, with the caveat that everybody, looks like, is a little bit more pressured in terms of money, in terms of disposable income. So this is an important piece that there is a little bit of a push for a trade down, but that I cannot confirm that yet, okay? So this is one thing that we are seeing, but I think it's too early to tell.
But having said that, Brazilian consumer is very -- the category of beer is very healthy in terms of share of sold. So the consumers are very open to understand and to go deep and to have more occasions and to understand the heritage and the meaning of the products or the concepts of innovations. We see this being very accelerated during the crisis because digital media is the most important media, and then you can go deep, you can have more storytelling.
So in the end, what I see, it is an acceleration of trends that are there. And the good part, it is that really things that we were doing, things that would have 2 years, 3 years to mature, they are maturing much faster, for example. So we are really -- the innovation of 2019 was really Skol Puro Malte that is doing well. It continues to grow. Brahma Duplo Malte will come a little bit further, it will take time. We are really seeing it picking up much faster because of the platforms, because of the moment, because it really has hit a home run, like betting on the live. So I'm really seeing things that would take 3 years taking 2 months or 3 months to be -- in terms of awareness at least, okay? So I'm seeing a lot of acceleration.
And what I can add on top of that, it is that -- so to be -- what we are seeing is the competitive landscape really do not moving as fast and as consistent as we are. So that's how I feel. Somehow, since January, I've been talking about Ambev as an ecosystem, innovation as a mindset and technology. And looks like this mantra is really something that is really being accelerating during the crisis, while other competitors are really fighting for survival or really very alienated or following what's going on. So I really think that we will get out of this crisis stronger in terms of consumer connections, in terms of brand connections.
Just to give you an information, Ambev is the #1 brand remembered in terms of doing good during this crisis. So in many researches, we have seen that Ambev about the mother brand. Brahma Duplo Malte is the beer brand of the quarantine of this moment because it's really trying to solve a problem of consumers that they cannot go out. So I really think that we're going to have a deeper connection. And I really think that the strategy that we put in place in January, it was really the right one to go over this crisis.
Jean, as a quick follow-up, as you -- are you seeing some of that coming through in the off-trade market share or portfolio mix performance, given that traditional channel with the market, the competitive balance, the competitive structure has been more balanced than the on-trade. So are you seeing some signals in that channel that's continued to operate on some of the variables that you mentioned?
So what I'm seeing is really the -- more -- so in terms of channel, what I'm really seeing is small formats -- small off-trade formats and moms-and-pops stronger and much more granular. I think people is not traveling that much to go to a faraway supermarket, hypermarket to really get a view. I think people is really buying more close to home. So moms-and-pops, small supermarkets, very granular, much more granular than we expected is really the most important. It's really the channels that are more resilient. The fastest-growing channels are really the e-commerce platforms are really the convenient one. But the resilience is really on moms-and-pops and small off-trade. And then capillarity, ability to operate, ability to have a footprint nation-wide is really making a difference. It's not just about have some tiers, deliver some products on the cash and carries and get it right in this crisis, it's incredible. I didn't anticipate that. But the granular small volumes of moms-and-pops and supermarkets is really making a difference. And who are able to really deliver that even during the crisis is making a difference.
The next question is from Ben Theurer with Barclays.
So clearly challenging times. One question, actually for Lucas, on the financial side. So you've mentioned you're accelerating some of the reviews, strategic cost savings, et cetera. Can you give us a little bit of a sense as to the magnitude where you think you can work through SG&A savings and other cost savings that will allow you to be stronger once the challenges are over? Just like what is the recurring cost you might have been identifying during the recent review that you can save further on? And then I have one quick follow-up.
Okay. Thank you, Ben. I think with respect to how we're approaching the tightening-the-belt exercise, I think a few things that are important to us is, I think #1 is the bar is higher when it comes to reprioritizing, right, and allocating resources. So we really try to focus on what are the must-have investments, what are the must-have expenses, not only to survive in the short term but also to protect the key initiatives that we don't want to compromise, precisely because they're very connected to our long-term strategy, right? And so for example, Brahma Duplo Malte that Jean mentioned, right? This is a big bet for us as we look to roll it out across Brazil. So the investment that goes behind that is one that we want to preserve, okay?
There are other areas where there's less flexibility when it comes to fixed versus variable, right? So for example, when it comes to logistics, right, there's less flexibility there. But that's where the good old ZBB cost discipline, having the visibility, having the routines to work with each package owner, right, across the country really helps us look for opportunities on a more frequent basis, okay?
There are other things that we don't want to compromise as well when it comes to quality of our products, for instance, service levels that we want to keep improving, okay? So there's no silver bullet. There's no magic here. It's really doing the day-to-day work on the cost and expense side, thanks to all the kind of the DNA, it's in the DNA of the company, okay?
And then just to give you some reference here how to think about SG&A, I think historically, our SG&A, 50% has been fixed and 50% of it has been variable. Obviously, this varies across SG&A lines, right? So sales and marketing, there's a higher level of discretionary spend and investment, so we have more flexibility there. And that's where really prioritizing to be in tune with our commercial priorities and strategy makes a lot -- is first and foremost.
Then on the distribution side, again, we have less flexibility there, given our direct distribution in Brazil, which is heavily weighted.
And then finally, when it comes to overhead, here, you really have to go package by package. On the people side, we're reviewing our structures to see where there may be adjustments required. I mentioned in my opening remarks the need to look at travel spend, internal events. We've internalized maintenance -- certain maintenance activities. We've internalized consulting fees. So there are many, many examples of things that we're doing, and we will continue to do, okay?
Perfect. That was very clear. And then just your provisioning within competition, and you've mentioned in the press release that you feel you lost some share against competition, now how do you think of pricing in the different core premium segments to even maintain share or maybe you're willing to give up some share to keep profitability in check. So what's the strategy on pricing in an environment where volumes, as you said in April, are down, consolidated almost 30% on a year-over-year basis?
So I can pick this one, Lucas.
Yes. Go ahead.
Okay. So in volumes, so volumes declined 11%, okay? Brazil -- let's talk about Brazil beer, okay, while the industry declined by mid-single digits according to Nielsen. So let me break down this number here, okay? So we had a soft start in terms of industry in Brazil declining. So what Nielsen told us, Jan plus Feb, industry was declining low single digits through February, while our volumes traded slightly at around minus 4%. So that's where we were January plus Feb using industry low single digits, with minus 4%, a little bit underperforming it pretty much because of the channel mix. And then came COVID and then the things completely changed. And then Nielsen will take a time to get from March on all those impacts. And then we have to see a little bit more time moving forward.
Having said that, I think the big issue is not about -- I think moving forward, it's not about giving discounts, it's not about fighting for market share with discounts. I think the ability of distribution and granularity will be key, will make a difference. The concern that we have, it is really the channel mix. Because the question is, when the on-trade channel will come back after the reopening, if it will come back fast? If it will take time? Because the channel mix has an impact on the net revenue per hectoliter, since it's an important -- is a channel with important profitability for us.
The next question is from JoĂŁo Soares with Citigroup.
Jean, Lucas, congratulations on your efforts to help out the community in this very complicated environment. I have two questions. The first one regarding working capital. I just wanted to understand how -- I mean, you're operating with a very high cash position for some time. So I imagine that you will be allocating in relation -- being more flexible, probably extending the payment deadline. So can you just talk a little bit more about how that is playing out? How could that reflect also on your cash generation? And also talk about the other line suppliers and inventory as well. So that's my first question.
The second question is on CapEx. I noticed there was a big jump in the CapEx this year versus last year. So I just wanted to know what's behind this increase. In which region that CapEx was allocated? And how should we think about CapEx going forward?
Okay. JoĂŁo, this is Lucas. Let me start with the second question, because it's quicker, on CapEx. So our BRL 1.3 billion of CapEx in the quarter was mostly concentrated in Brazil, okay? And within the CapEx in Brazil, we had 2 large commitments. One was the can plant, okay, that we built -- we were building. And also, we've been adapting the production of many of our lines to enable them to brew our pure malt brands, right? So pure malt brands and having a strong pure malt portfolio is a commercial priority for us, and so we have to invest behind that. And so that's what -- invest we did, okay? So it's mainly Brazil, and within Brazil, can plant and enabling our plants to brew our pure malt portfolio, okay?
When it comes to working capital, in the same way we're approaching costs and expenses, we've been very, very disciplined around protecting the liquidity of the company, okay, despite our strong cash position, right? We've been very, very cautious and very prudent in managing this. But again, we don't exist in a vacuum. So we're also very mindful, and we've been working together with points of sale, with our wholesalers, with our suppliers to make sure that our liquidity is protected. But where we can be flexible, we are flexible. We're trying to be flexible, okay? So -- but again, this is day-to-day work. This is having a lot of visibility, having the routines in place. So we have -- just to give you some color, we have weekly meetings. Me, together with my team and members of our procurement organization, our sales organization, we have weekly meeting to track our performance in terms of receivables, bad debt, which had an initial spike towards the end of March and the beginning of April but have now started to trend back towards the historical levels, okay? So that's good news. Again, very fluid still, so we have to stay very vigilant and manage very closely. But the initial spike has started to trend down in a good way.
When it comes to payables, the same thing, have lots of granularity, see where the pain points are. We have a very concentrated payment cycle, right? And so that puts some strain in our intra-month cash position, but we've been able to manage that so far, okay? And there, what we've been doing is identifying the key suppliers, sitting down with them. We're not taking any unilateral action, right? This is all working together with them to see what needs to be adjusted and how we can adjust that, okay? So no major disruption in terms of our payables, okay? And then in terms of inventory, again, this is going to fluctuate according to our reduction in production, right, given the volume decline in March and in April. But as we ramp up production going forward, depending on the pace of recovery, right, we're going to try to smoothen the inventory curve as much as possible without compromising service level, right? I think that's key for us. We want to have the right SKUs at the right place at the right time. And so you do need a certain level of inventory to be able to accomplish that, okay?
Next question is from Thiago Duarte with BTG.
Three questions on my side, if I may. First, ABI, in their call, they shared some color on the breakdown for COGS per hectoliter increase, mentioning the percentage of it coming roughly from operational deleverage, commodity effects and mix changes. I was wondering if you could do that, the same thing for Ambev as well, that would be very helpful.
My second question is related to -- a little bit to pricing, right? In your opening remarks, you mentioned the challenge to protect the profitability during these difficult times, which is right at a time when we are seeing a much less inflationary beer market in Brazil, which I think has a lot to do with what you have been saying in the recent past about balancing volumes and pricing a little bit more in this market. But Jean also mentioned a sort of alienated competition. So just wondering whether we should expect a different behavior from Ambev on the pricing side in Beer Brazil in terms of protecting profitability and ignoring a little bit more irrational competition, that would be nice to discuss as well.
And lastly, if I could, can you explain a little bit more the impact on the financial expenses, particularly coming from the derivatives? You booked BRL 945 million impact in the quarter. I was just wondering if this is particularly related to the mark-to-market of the FX volatility in the quarter, or it was just the increase in hedging costs as you put in the release. So just if you could guide us through a little bit your expectations for that in the coming quarters, that would be nice as well.
Okay. Thiago, this is Lucas. Let me kick off by talking about your last question, financial expenses, and then I can speak to the COGS per hectoliter question. And then maybe Jean can speak to the pricing going forward, okay?
So with respect to the financial expenses, that's exactly right, Thiago. The main impact that we saw in Q1 was really the losses on derivative instruments, okay? And if you break that down, we had primarily 2 main impacts. One was the mark-to-market accrual of our position, right, on the equity swaps. So as the stock price declined, as it did in Q1, we obviously have to adjust for that. But again, this is -- for the most part, it's a noncash impact, okay?
And then the second big effect within the losses on derivative instrument was really around the carry cost during Q1 in connection with our hedging of our exposure in Argentina, okay? So that carry cost evolved during the course of 2019 and is at a higher level nowadays. And so this ended up impacting our financial expenses in a relevant way as well.
Then when it comes to our losses on nonderivative instruments, that's mostly FX-related, and then -- but also mostly noncash, okay?
Then moving to COGS per hectoliter, I think it's hard to give you a precise breakdown at this time. What I can say and what I would emphasize is, number one, we had already -- and we had already flagged this in our Q4 full year call, given the hedging curve, right, that was implemented last year, we already anticipated that we would have a very tough impact on the product of the FX commodity hedging equation, right? So this was the quarter where we already anticipated the largest impact, okay? And so that explains most of the impact, I would say, okay?
The second impact on the COGS per hectoliter that I would flag, Thiago, is the deleveraging effect of the volume decline, right? Granted, the volume decline related to coverage was mostly, right, during March. But given that part of our COGS is fixed, right, historically, our COGS has been roughly 20% fixed, 80% variable, right? As volumes decline, there is a deleveraging effect there as well, okay?
So I think those are, I would say, the 2 main elements there that are in play.
So about pricing, so I've been saying that what I believe is that over the long run, price really should grow in line with disposable income inflation. These are 2 metrics that we like to compare. What we've learned over the last few years that depending on the economic environment, it's preferred to adopt a more balanced pricing strategy in order to bring more consumers in the category. What I was saying here is based on our historical of always trying to use this lever, and what I'm saying is that we have to find the balance. This -- I don't see any context, even though with the COVID crisis, that we could bounce to the other side and go for price wars and big discounts. I don't see that. What we are really trying to see is really to find the balance.
The issue that we have, when I look at net revenue per hectoliters, is really the mix trends is really about the channels, restaurants and bars, supermarkets. And so this is going to -- it's what's going to -- that's going to have to answer how it's going to be the recovery because this mix, it impacts our net revenue per hectoliter. Besides that, I really think that it's the moment to use the distribution lever really to find volumes through capillarity, through service level. The reliability of the supply is very important. So I'm really betting for volumes on that.
The next question is from Robert Ottenstein with Evercore.
A couple of questions, and my apologies if you covered this earlier on as I had to jump on a little bit later. But number one, can you talk particularly about the Beck's brand that rolled out, I think, late last year? Very promising. Is that something that you're, in the current environment, able to continue to put time and investment behind? Or do you maybe perhaps back off on that? So that's number one on Beck's and how it was doing.
Number two, maybe give us an update on the smart affordability initiatives. What percentage of sales are under that classification now? And how is that business doing?
And then third, based on your comments about how well the smaller mom-and-pop channel is doing, presumably, you have an advantaged distribution to that channel. Therefore, in terms of on-premise by itself -- taking out the on-premise, but if you just look at off-premise by itself, would you expect to gain share this year, all things equal?
Robert, let me see what I can answer of your question. So Lucas, help me on here. So first of all, talking about Beck's, so Beck's is -- we are so excited about it because it was really something that came with much more with the pull ahead of the push, even in a moment -- even in the past that we were just in the beginning of the launch. So it was really a concept that resonated big time with A class, and so we are so excited about it. It's our priority. We're going to invest ahead of the curve. This is a piece of the business that I will not think to decelerate or really to cut investments. It is really a part of the business that I want to
[Technical Difficulty]
Pardon me, this is the conference operator. We appear to have lost Mr. Jereissati's line. Lucas, can you jump in here?
Yes. Can you still hear me?
Yes, sir. Please go ahead.
Okay. Great. So I think as Jean was mentioning, Robert, Beck's is one of our bets to really strengthen our high-end portfolio, right? We want to have the winning portfolio, not only with international import bands, our imported brands, but also a strong domestic high-end portfolio, be it in premium, be it in craft as well, right? So I think the performance in Beck's has been good. It's growing in a very strong way. The brand -- off of a low base, but still very, it's very strong growth.
And also, I would mention, Robert, that the brand power is in good shape, right? I think the brand power, which is another KPI we look at, I think we're very happy so far. Still have a lot to do, but so far, we're very happy with the brand power indicators that we're seeing, okay?
I'm not sure if Jean has reconnected.
Yes, I'm back. Okay, so smart affordability is still a play. It is a play that we are doing. So we are seeing that during this crisis, we have to understand at where it's going to land in terms of if there's going to have any trade down of consumers, how it's going to be. It's a consistent strategy that we had been for a while. We launched Nossa, Magnifica and Legitima. Magnifica is the one that's really inspiring us. All the other ones, really doing well, performing very strong, gaining market share in states like Maranhao. And we're going to continue as an important piece of our strategy.
Talking about market share, Robert, it's very early to say. The market, it's tough for me to give you a guidance on that. The market is changing so fast. What I can say is that who is going to be prepared and fight the right way for the recovery and understand and help the ecosystem on the recovery on the bars, can they reach with the moms-and-pops, it's really who is going to manage better during this crisis. I really believe that the situation that we are, for distribution, capillarity, service level with consumers, will really make a difference during this crisis. This is the most I can say.
Can you give us a sense on the smart affordability? Either kind of what percentage of your overall volume in the first quarter was in that group of brands, or maybe in the particular states where they're in, how big they are? I'm just trying to get a sense of the general relevance on that initiative.
So we have a basket. I think I can say that. So like 20% of our mix, it is under the basket of what we call affordability, in smart affordability.
Terrific. And can you give us a sense of how that mix did in the quarter?
So what I can say now, Robert, it is that -- so the thing that surprised us most was really the resilience of the core. So that's what we saw in the early stages of the crisis. We don't know moving forward if the people will run out of money and the value will go up, or people will go back to the only luxury moment at home that would be a premium business. So what we saw in the very short term of the crisis, the core, more resilient. So that's what I can say.
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Jean Jereissati for any closing remarks.
Okay. Thank you very much to be here with us today. It -- maybe it is a cliché to say to lever with the crisis. But this -- what we are living is unprecedented moments in our history, early history. It is really something that is impacting us big time. But to be the company, to be the leaner and most efficient player in the market in this moment really has its value. To have the highest reach in terms of distribution and with less intermediates has its value going into this crisis. To come into this crisis with a very solid cash position, not lowering the guard, but with the ability to find that shifting channels, granular growth consumers is making a difference, too. To be the most remembered brand in terms of doing good during this COVID-19 by the Croma Institute and many other institutes is the Ambev, the mother brand, is the most remembered, so it has its value too. And to hit this home run with the live platform in Brazil, supporting our innovation of the year that's going to be Brahma Duplo Malte is really something that will make a difference. And to have been investing in technology for a while, B2B, B2C to really get this moment and really grow exponentially over an important base that was already created is really something that make us very confident about really using this crisis to come out of it stronger.
Thank you very much. I hope you all stay safe. And thank you very much for being with us during this call. Bye-bye.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.