H World Group Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one HTHTN stock under the Base Case scenario is 99.41 MXN. Compared to the current market price of 873.01 MXN, H World Group Ltd is Overvalued by 89%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
H World Group Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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H World Group Ltd, formerly known as Huazhu Hotels Group, stands as a prominent player in the global hospitality landscape, particularly within China. Founded in 2005, the company has grown exponentially, boasting a diversified portfolio that includes upscale hotels, budget accommodation, and everything in between, catering to a wide range of travelers. With a commitment to technology-driven innovation and customer-centric services, H World has successfully positioned itself as a leader in the Chinese hotel industry and is expanding its footprint internationally. The company leverages its strong brand recognition and loyalty programs to attract domestic and foreign travelers alike, establish...
H World Group Ltd, formerly known as Huazhu Hotels Group, stands as a prominent player in the global hospitality landscape, particularly within China. Founded in 2005, the company has grown exponentially, boasting a diversified portfolio that includes upscale hotels, budget accommodation, and everything in between, catering to a wide range of travelers. With a commitment to technology-driven innovation and customer-centric services, H World has successfully positioned itself as a leader in the Chinese hotel industry and is expanding its footprint internationally. The company leverages its strong brand recognition and loyalty programs to attract domestic and foreign travelers alike, establishing a robust presence in the bustling Chinese tourism market.
For investors, H World Group Ltd offers a compelling narrative of growth and adaptability. The company's strategic focus on expanding its network of properties while enhancing operational efficiencies through advanced technology is noteworthy. As travel demand rebounds post-pandemic, H World is well-positioned to benefit from the resurgence in both domestic and international tourism. Their commitment to sustainability and operational excellence adds another layer of appeal, aligning with rising consumer preferences for responsible travel. With a proven business model and a clear vision for the future, H World Group Ltd represents a promising opportunity for investors looking to tap into the dynamic travel and hospitality sector.
H World Group Ltd., previously known as Huazhu Group Limited, operates in the hospitality industry, primarily in China and expanding internationally. The company's core business segments include:
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Hotel Operations:
- Owned and Leased Hotels: H World Group operates hotels under various brands, including midscale and economy segments. This includes well-known brands like Hanting, JI Hotel, and others.
- Franchised Hotels: The company also franchises its brand to hotel owners, thus expanding its footprint without heavy capital expenditures.
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Management Services:
- H World Group provides management services to hotels, which includes operational support, marketing, and branding. This segment helps the company maintain quality and consistency across its property portfolio.
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Property Development:
- Although primarily focused on hotel operations, H World Group may also engage in property development, ensuring they have locations for future hotel operations and expansion.
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Digital Services:
- The company invests in technology to enhance customer experience, such as through its online booking platform and mobile applications, providing a seamless experience for travelers.
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Expansion and International Presence:
- H World Group is increasingly focusing on international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, and expanding its global brand presence.
Overall, H World Group aims to leverage its diversified operations within the hospitality sector to drive growth and profitability while enhancing brand recognition. Their focus on both ownership and franchising allows for flexibility in their growth strategy.
H World Group Ltd, previously known as Huazhu Hotels Group, has several unique competitive advantages that it leverages over its rivals in the hospitality industry:
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Extensive Network: H World Group boasts a large portfolio of hotels across various segments, including economy, mid-scale, and upscale brands. Their extensive network allows them to capture a diverse customer base and enhances brand recognition.
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Strong Brand Portfolio: The company has a range of well-recognized brands catering to different market segments, allowing them to meet various customer preferences and price points. This differentiation can attract a wider audience compared to competitors with a narrower brand focus.
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Technology Integration: H World Group utilizes advanced technology in operations and customer engagement. Their mobile app and online booking systems streamline the customer experience and improve operational efficiency, setting them apart from competitors with less sophisticated systems.
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Yield Management: The company employs sophisticated revenue management systems that optimize pricing strategies based on demand forecasting. This capability allows them to maximize revenue per available room (RevPAR) more effectively than competitors.
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Loyalty Program: H World Group operates a strong loyalty program that encourages customer retention. Their ability to reward repeat customers helps build brand loyalty, which is crucial in the competitive hospitality market.
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Geographic Reach in China: As a domestic leader in China, H World Group benefits from its deep understanding of local market dynamics, customer preferences, and regulatory environments. This local expertise gives them a competitive edge over foreign rivals.
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Strong Supply Chain Relationships: The company maintains solid relationships with suppliers and partners, which can lead to better cost management, quality control, and operational efficiency compared to competitors.
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Strategic Alliances and Partnerships: H World Group often engages in strategic partnerships to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, similar to initiatives seen in larger multinational hotel chains.
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Agility and Adaptability: As a growing company, H World is often more agile than its larger competitors, allowing it to adapt quickly to market changes or consumer demands.
By utilizing these competitive advantages, H World Group Ltd positions itself favorably against rivals in the fast-evolving hospitality industry.
H World Group Ltd, which operates in the hospitality sector, particularly in China and Southeast Asia, may face several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The hospitality industry is highly competitive, with many local and international players vying for market share. Price wars and service differentiation challenges could reduce margins.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations, including potential slowdowns in China and global economies, may significantly impact travel and tourism, directly affecting hotel occupancy rates and revenue.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations, such as increased taxation, health and safety standards, or hospitality laws, can pose challenges to operations and profitability.
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Pandemic and Health Risks: The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic or other health crises can lead to reduced travel, new safety protocols, and changing consumer behavior regarding travel, significantly affecting occupancy and revenue.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Tensions between countries, particularly involving China, may influence international travel and tourism, impacting both demand and operational logistics.
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Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer preferences, such as increasing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly accommodation or the rise of short-term rental platforms, require adaptability and potential investment in new services.
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Operational Challenges: Managing a large number of properties efficiently, ensuring quality service, and maintaining brand image can be challenging, especially during economic downturns or in less-trafficked locations.
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Technological Disruptions: Keeping up with technological advancements and changing consumer expectations regarding digital engagement (bookings, customer service, etc.) is crucial to remain competitive.
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Financial Risks: Fluctuations in currency exchange rates in international operations can affect profitability, alongside rising interest rates that can increase borrowing costs.
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Environmental Risks: Vulnerability to environmental issues, such as natural disasters, climate change, and urban developments, may affect property locations and guest safety.
By closely monitoring these risks and strategically managing challenges, H World Group Ltd can better position itself for future opportunities while mitigating potential downsides.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
H World Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
H World Group Ltd
Current Assets | 11.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.9B |
Receivables | 1.3B |
Other Current Assets | 1.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 51B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.5B |
PP&E | 33.7B |
Intangibles | 10.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.1B |
Current Liabilities | 11.9B |
Accounts Payable | 865m |
Accrued Liabilities | 8B |
Short-Term Debt | 77m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 38B |
Long-Term Debt | 7.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 30.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
H World Group Ltd
Revenue
|
23.3B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-7.7B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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15.6B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-10.4B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
5.2B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
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-1.4B
CNY
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Net Income
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3.8B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
H World Group Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
In Q2 2024, the company reached 10,000 hotels and expanded its rooms to over 1 million, a 19% increase YoY. Revenue grew by 11% to RMB 6.1 billion, driven by new hotel openings and asset-light strategies. Legacy-Huazhu and Legacy-DH revenues rose by 11% and 12% respectively. Manachised and franchised hotels contributed nearly half of Huazhu’s revenue. Operating income increased by 14% to RMB 1.6 billion. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 15% to RMB 2 billion, with Legacy-Huazhu’s margin expanding to 39.5%. The group announced a three-year USD 2 billion shareholder return plan, including dividends and buybacks. Revenue for Q3 2024 is projected to grow by 2-5%.
What is Earnings Call?
HTHTN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
H World Group Ltd's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
H World Group Ltd's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HTHTN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
H World Group Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
H World Group Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HTHTN Price Targets Summary
H World Group Ltd
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for HTHTN is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
H World Group Ltd. is engaged in the operation of hotels. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, Shanghai and currently employs 24,384 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-03-01. The firm's main businesses include the operation of develop leased and owned, manachised and franchised hotels. The firm is mainly engaged in multi-brand hotel operation, covering the full spectrum of market segments with a portfolio of over 20 distinct hotel brands. The firm mainly conducts its businesses in the Chinese domestic market and the German market.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one HTHTN stock under the Base Case scenario is 99.41 MXN.
Compared to the current market price of 873.01 MXN, H World Group Ltd is Overvalued by 89%.