Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
ATHEX:HTO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one HTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.46 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 15.21 EUR, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
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Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (OTE) is a prominent player in the Greek telecommunications market, weaving a rich tapestry of connectivity for both individuals and businesses alike. Founded in 1949, the company has evolutionarily transformed from a state-owned entity into a publicly traded powerhouse, offering a comprehensive portfolio of services, including fixed-line telephony, mobile communication, internet services, and pay television. OTE stands at the forefront of technological advancements, continually investing in infrastructure and digital transformation initiatives to enhance service delivery and foster innovation in Greece and beyond. With its established brand reputa...
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (OTE) is a prominent player in the Greek telecommunications market, weaving a rich tapestry of connectivity for both individuals and businesses alike. Founded in 1949, the company has evolutionarily transformed from a state-owned entity into a publicly traded powerhouse, offering a comprehensive portfolio of services, including fixed-line telephony, mobile communication, internet services, and pay television. OTE stands at the forefront of technological advancements, continually investing in infrastructure and digital transformation initiatives to enhance service delivery and foster innovation in Greece and beyond. With its established brand reputation, extensive customer base, and strategic partnerships, OTE is well-positioned to capitalize on the booming demand for reliable communication solutions in an increasingly digital world.
For investors, OTE presents a compelling opportunity, grounded in stability and growth potential. The company has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance, underpinned by a disciplined approach to cost management and a focus on customer retention. OTE's commitment to enhancing its fiber-optic network and expanding its 5G capabilities showcases its drive for modernization and competitiveness in a fast-evolving telecommunications landscape. Moreover, OTE's strategic alignment with global trends, such as the surge in digital services and smart technologies, positions it as a valuable asset in a diversified investment portfolio. As Greece's economic recovery gains momentum, OTE’s robust infrastructure and adaptive strategies make it a key player to watch for long-term value creation.
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (OTE) is one of the leading telecommunications providers in Greece. Its core business segments typically include:
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Fixed-line Telecommunications: This includes traditional voice services, broadband internet access, and related services. OTE provides a range of fixed-line products such as Digital Subscriber Line (DSL), fiber-optic services, and bundled packages that combine internet, television, and phone services.
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Mobile Telecommunications: OTE operates in the mobile market through its subsidiary, COSMOTE. This segment includes mobile voice and data services, mobile broadband, and various prepaid and postpaid plans. COSMOTE also focuses on offering value-added services and innovative mobile solutions.
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Wholesale Services: OTE offers wholesale telecommunications services to other operators and service providers. This segment includes access to the network infrastructure for voice and internet services, interconnection services, and various leased line options.
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Television Services: OTE provides television services through its platform, which includes a mix of local and international channels. It may also offer video-on-demand and other related services, often bundled with fixed and mobile plans.
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IP and Data Services: This segment includes internet protocol (IP) services, data services for businesses, and related solutions like virtual private networks (VPNs), cloud services, and managed IT services.
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Value-Added Services: OTE focuses on various digital and value-added services, including cybersecurity solutions, digital transformation services for businesses, and other innovations that enhance customer experience.
These segments allow OTE to cater to a broad audience, ranging from residential customers to large enterprises, ensuring a comprehensive telecommunications portfolio that supports both traditional services and advanced digital solutions.
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (OTE), one of the leading telecommunications providers in Greece, has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: OTE has a long-standing presence in the Greek telecommunications market, which provides it with significant brand loyalty and consumer trust, built over decades.
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Extensive Infrastructure: OTE has a well-established network infrastructure that covers a vast area of Greece, including urban and remote regions. This extensive coverage enhances service reliability and reaches a wide customer base.
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Comprehensive Service Offerings: OTE offers a diverse range of telecommunications services, including fixed-line, mobile, broadband, and pay-TV services. This integrated service model allows for bundling, which can attract and retain customers.
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Investment in Technology: OTE has made considerable investments in upgrading its technology, particularly in fiber-optic networks and 5G deployment. This positions the company to provide high-speed internet and advanced mobile services, which are critical in the evolving telecommunications landscape.
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Strategic Partnerships: OTE has formed strategic alliances and partnerships with global technology leaders, enhancing its service capabilities and access to innovative technologies.
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Economies of Scale: As a major player in the telecommunications industry, OTE benefits from economies of scale, allowing it to operate more efficiently and potentially offer competitive pricing.
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Strong Financial Backing: OTE is part of the Deutsche Telekom Group, which provides substantial financial support and strategic expertise. This backing gives OTE access to capital for further expansion and technology investments.
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Regulatory Leverage: OTE may have advantages in dealing with local regulations due to its experience in navigating the Greek regulatory environment and its established relationships with governmental bodies.
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Customer Service and Support: OTE has focused on improving customer service capabilities, which is critical in the telecommunications sector where customer satisfaction can significantly affect retention rates.
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Local Knowledge: Being a domestic company, OTE has an inherent understanding of the local market dynamics, consumer preferences, and cultural nuances, allowing it to tailor its products and services more effectively than some international competitors.
These competitive advantages enable Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA to maintain a strong market position and effectively compete against rivals in the telecommunications sector.
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA (OTE) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, reflecting the broader trends affecting the telecommunications industry and specific factors related to its operations in Greece and the surrounding region. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory Changes: The telecommunications sector is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations regarding service quality, pricing, competition, or data privacy can impact OTE's operations and profitability.
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Intense Competition: The telecom market in Greece and the broader European region is competitive, with multiple players offering similar services. Increased competition can lead to price wars and reduced market share.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid technological changes require continuous investment in network upgrades and new technologies (e.g., 5G). Failure to keep pace with these developments could result in obsolescence.
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Market Saturation: The fixed-line and mobile markets may be approaching saturation, which limits growth opportunities. OTE needs to find new revenue sources, such as value-added services or expanding into new markets.
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Economic Conditions: The overall economic environment in Greece can affect consumer spending and business investment. Economic downturns can lead to reduced demand for telecommunications services.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a telecommunications provider, OTE is a potential target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could result in financial loss, reputational damage, and regulatory penalties.
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Customer Expectations: With the rising expectations for service quality and customer support, failing to meet these may lead to customer churn and reduced satisfaction.
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Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions in the supply chain for network equipment and components can delay upgrades and expansion plans, impacting service availability and quality.
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Heavy Investment Requirements: Significant capital expenditures are required for network upgrades, especially related to 5G deployment. Balancing investment with financial sustainability is a crucial challenge.
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Debt Levels: OTE has historically operated with substantial levels of debt. High debt obligations can limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate fluctuations.
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Strategic Partnerships: Dependence on partnerships for certain services or technologies could pose risks if those partnerships do not yield expected results or if competitors form more advantageous alliances.
By proactively addressing these risks and challenges, OTE can position itself for sustainable growth and profitability in an ever-evolving telecom landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
Current Assets | 1.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 692.8m |
Receivables | 677.7m |
Other Current Assets | 183.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 3.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 100k |
PP&E | 2.5B |
Intangibles | 924.8m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 346.2m |
Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Accounts Payable | 884.4m |
Short-Term Debt | 40m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 332.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
Revenue
|
3.6B
EUR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.9B
EUR
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Operating Income
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736.6m
EUR
|
Other Expenses
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-191.4m
EUR
|
Net Income
|
545.2m
EUR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
In the third quarter, OTE achieved stable revenues amid challenges, with Greek EBITDA increasing by 1.5%. The company added 31,000 FTTH subscribers, a 65% year-over-year increase, and anticipates the government's fiber subsidy will enhance customer migration to higher ARPU services. A new sports content agreement is expected to boost Pay-TV subscriptions significantly. While overall revenues grew by 2%, Romanian operations faced a decline. For 2024, OTE maintains free cash flow guidance of €470 million, despite recent tax payments affecting reported figures. The company remains optimistic about growth fueled by strategic partnerships and government support in 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
HTO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HTO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HTO Price Targets Summary
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HTO is 18.47 EUR with a low forecast of 15.15 EUR and a high forecast of 24.15 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for HTO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA engages in the provision of telecommunication services. The company is headquartered in Athina, Attiki and currently employs 11,453 full-time employees. The firm offers a range of telecommunications services, including fixed-line and mobile telephony, broadband services, pay television and information and communications technology (ICT) solutions. Its segments include OTE, COSMOTE group, TELEKOM ROMANIA and Other. In Greece, the Company is also involved in maritime communications, real-estate and professional training. The firm's OTE segment provides fixed-line services, Internet access services, ICT services and television services in Greece. The COSMOTE group segment offers mobile telecommunications services in Greece, Albania and Romania. The TELEKOM ROMANIA segment provides fixed-line services, Internet access services, ICT services and television services in Romania. The Other segment consists of other operations of the Company.
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The intrinsic value of one HTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.46 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 15.21 EUR, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA is Undervalued by 29%.