Scentre Group
ASX:SCG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one SCG stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.73 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 3.54 AUD, Scentre Group is Undervalued by 25%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Scentre Group
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Fundamental Analysis
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Scentre Group is a prominent retail property business in Australia and New Zealand, renowned for owning and managing the Westfield shopping centers, a brand synonymous with premium retail experiences. With a diverse portfolio comprising 42 shopping centers, the company not only provides dynamic environments for renowned global brands but also fosters local retailers, making it a key player in the retail landscape. Scentre Group is focused on creating engaging, community-centric spaces that enhance customer experiences while driving foot traffic and sales for tenants. As both a landlord and a partner to retailers, the sustainability of its business model is bolstered by long-term leases, high...
Scentre Group is a prominent retail property business in Australia and New Zealand, renowned for owning and managing the Westfield shopping centers, a brand synonymous with premium retail experiences. With a diverse portfolio comprising 42 shopping centers, the company not only provides dynamic environments for renowned global brands but also fosters local retailers, making it a key player in the retail landscape. Scentre Group is focused on creating engaging, community-centric spaces that enhance customer experiences while driving foot traffic and sales for tenants. As both a landlord and a partner to retailers, the sustainability of its business model is bolstered by long-term leases, highlighting the stability inherent in its revenue streams.
The company's commitment to innovation and adaptability is evident in its strategic approach, responding to changing consumer behaviors and the evolving retail environment. By investing in technology, sustainability initiatives, and enhancing digital integration within shopping experiences, Scentre Group is positioned for growth in an increasingly competitive market. For investors, the company represents a resilient opportunity, backed by strong cash flows and a disciplined management team with a history of successfully navigating market challenges. As Scentre Group continues to evolve and optimize its operations, it remains committed to delivering consistent returns, making it an attractive option for those seeking exposure in the retail property sector.
Scentre Group is a leading retail property group in Australia and New Zealand, primarily known for managing and developing shopping centers. Its core business segments can be described as follows:
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Retail Property Management: This is the primary focus of Scentre Group, involving the management and operation of their shopping centers. The company oversees a portfolio of prime retail assets, ensuring high occupancy rates and providing attractive environments for retailers and consumers.
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Development Activities: Scentre Group engages in the development and redevelopment of shopping centers to enhance their value and meet changing consumer needs. This segment focuses on expanding existing properties or creating new retail spaces to attract a diverse range of tenants and shoppers.
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Leasing and Tenancy: This segment involves negotiating lease agreements with retailers, managing tenant relationships, and optimizing the tenant mix within their properties. Scentre Group aims to cultivate a balance of national and local brands to enhance customer experience.
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Customer Experience and Engagement: Scentre Group invests in enhancing the customer experience by integrating technology and providing amenities that attract visitors. This includes initiatives such as events, marketing campaigns, and loyalty programs designed to increase foot traffic to their centers.
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Sustainability Initiatives: As sustainability becomes increasingly important, Scentre Group also focuses on eco-friendly practices within their properties. This includes energy-efficient building designs, waste management, and initiatives aimed at reducing their carbon footprint.
These core business segments work together to create value for shareholders while enhancing the shopping experience for consumers and supporting retailers.
Scentre Group, known for owning and operating prime retail properties across Australia and New Zealand, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key aspects that underpin its competitive positioning:
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Prime Property Portfolio: Scentre Group manages some of the most prestigious shopping centers in Australia and New Zealand, including Westfield malls. Their locations often feature high foot traffic and are situated in affluent areas, leading to higher consumer spending and tenant sales.
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Strong Brand Association: The Westfield brand is internationally recognized. This brand equity attracts both retailers and consumers, enhancing foot traffic and sales for tenants. The company has invested significantly in brand development, leading to consumer loyalty and recognition.
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Integrated Retail Ecosystem: Scentre Group focuses on creating an integrated retail experience that combines shopping, entertainment, and dining. Its properties often include amenities such as cinemas and restaurants, making them versatile destinations for consumers.
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Strategic Partnerships with Retailers: The group has longstanding relationships with major retailers, which facilitate better negotiation of lease terms and tenant fit-outs. These partnerships can lead to exclusivity agreements that can deter competition.
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Innovative Customer Experience: Scentre Group invests in technology and infrastructure to enhance the shopping experience, such as mobile apps for shopping and navigation. These innovations help attract consumers looking for convenience and engagement.
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Focus on Sustainability: With a growing emphasis on corporate social responsibility, Scentre Group’s commitment to sustainable building practices and energy efficiency can provide competitive advantages, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers and investors.
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Financial Strength: Scentre Group has a robust financial position, enabling it to undertake development projects, acquisitions, and renovations without overly burdening its balance sheet. This financial strength allows for competitive pricing strategies and strategic flexibility.
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Comprehensive Management Expertise: The company has significant expertise in asset management and property development. This competence enables them to maximize the value of their assets more effectively than some competitors.
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Diversified Revenue Stream: Aside from traditional retail leasing, Scentre Group diversifies its income through non-retail tenants and additional services, which helps mitigate risks associated with economic downturns.
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Data-Driven Insights: Scentre Group leverages data analytics to understand consumer behavior and tenant performance, informing decisions on tenant mix, marketing strategies, and spatial configurations in its properties.
These competitive advantages position Scentre Group strongly within the retail property landscape, allowing it to respond effectively to market changes and consumer trends.
Scentre Group, the owner and operator of the Westfield shopping center portfolio in Australia and New Zealand, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Economic Fluctuations: Changes in the economic environment, such as inflation, rising interest rates, or economic downturns, can affect consumer spending patterns, which in turn influences retail sales and foot traffic in shopping centers.
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E-commerce Competition: The ongoing growth of e-commerce has been a significant challenge for brick-and-mortar retailers. Scentre Group must continually adapt its retail mix to include brands that have a strong presence online and potentially explore partnerships or integrations with e-commerce platforms.
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Tenant Health and Stability: The financial health of tenants can pose risks, especially in times of economic uncertainty. Store closures or bankruptcies can lead to increased vacancy rates, impacting rental income and property valuations.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer behavior, including preferences for experiential retail or sustainable products, necessitate ongoing adaptations in leasing strategies and store offerings.
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Regulatory Changes: Changes in urban planning regulations, environmental laws, or labor laws can affect operational processes or increase costs. Compliance with local governmental policies is essential.
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Pandemic and Health Risks: Although the acute effects of COVID-19 may have waned, there remains the risk of new health crises that can affect retail operations and consumer confidence. Ongoing health safety measures may be necessary to maintain consumer trust.
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Physical Infrastructure Maintenance: Managing and upgrading the physical assets in their portfolio can be capital-intensive. Aging infrastructure may require significant investment to modernize and remain competitive.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Pressure from consumers and government bodies regarding sustainability and environmental impact requires Scentre Group to invest in sustainable practices, which could increase operational costs.
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Geopolitical Factors: Events such as trade wars, regulatory changes in key markets, or shifts in international relationships can have ripple effects on economic conditions, affecting both consumer behavior and business operations.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping pace with technological changes in retail, including digital payments and customer engagement technologies, is vital. Failure to innovate could lead to losing market relevance.
By actively managing these risks and challenges, Scentre Group can position itself to maintain a competitive advantage in the evolving retail landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Scentre Group
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Scentre Group
Current Assets | 1.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 288.1m |
Receivables | 313.8m |
Other Current Assets | 512.4m |
Non-Current Assets | 34.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 34.2B |
PP&E | 91.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 399.3m |
Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Accounts Payable | 675.9m |
Accrued Liabilities | 337.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 2.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 14.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 13.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 731.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Scentre Group
Revenue
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2.5B
AUD
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Cost of Revenue
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-756m
AUD
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Gross Profit
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1.8B
AUD
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Operating Expenses
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-92.4m
AUD
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Operating Income
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1.7B
AUD
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
AUD
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Net Income
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429.4m
AUD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Scentre Group
AUD | |
Free Cash Flow | AUD |
SCG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Scentre Group's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Scentre Group's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
SCG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Scentre Group's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Scentre Group's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
SCG Price Targets Summary
Scentre Group
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SCG is 3.74 AUD with a low forecast of 2.97 AUD and a high forecast of 4.57 AUD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for SCG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
SCG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Scentre Group engages in the ownership and operation of pre-eminent shopping center in Australia and New Zealand. The company is headquartered in Sydney, New South Wales. The company went IPO on 2014-06-25. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of living centers in Australia and New Zealand. The firm geographic segment consists of Australia and New Zealand. The firm owns and operates a platform of approximately 42 Westfield living centers with 37 located in Australia and five in New Zealand. The firm has a joint interest in 40 Westfield Living Centres. Scentre is the parent company of Scentre Group Trust 1 (SGT1), Scentre Group Trust 2 (SGT2) and Scentre Group Trust 3 (SGT3).
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one SCG stock under the Base Case scenario is 4.73 AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.54 AUD, Scentre Group is Undervalued by 25%.