Qantas Airways Ltd
ASX:QAN

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Qantas Airways Ltd Logo
Qantas Airways Ltd
ASX:QAN
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Price: 8.94 AUD -0.11% Market Closed
Market Cap: 13.9B AUD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one QAN stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.34 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 8.94 AUD, Qantas Airways Ltd is Undervalued by 33%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

QAN Intrinsic Value
13.34 AUD
Undervaluation 33%
Intrinsic Value
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Qantas Airways Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Qantas Airways Ltd., often dubbed the "Flying Kangaroo," stands as Australia's flagship airline and a key player in the global aviation landscape. Established in 1920, Qantas has developed a reputation for safety, reliability, and service excellence, making it a trusted choice for domestic and international travelers alike. As an investor, understanding Qantas means recognizing its resilient business model, which includes a diverse range of offerings from passenger transport to freight services. The airline operates a comprehensive network, connecting Australia to over 85 destinations worldwide, while investing in modern fleets designed for improved fuel efficiency and reduced environmental...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Qantas Airways Ltd

Current Assets 4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 2B
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 845m
Non-Current Assets 16.6B
Long-Term Investments 231m
PP&E 14.9B
Intangibles 638m
Other Non-Current Assets 843m
Current Liabilities 11.7B
Accounts Payable 2.9B
Other Current Liabilities 8.8B
Non-Current Liabilities 8.5B
Long-Term Debt 6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.5B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Qantas Airways Ltd

Revenue
21.9B AUD
Cost of Revenue
-10.7B AUD
Gross Profit
11.3B AUD
Operating Expenses
-9.2B AUD
Operating Income
2.1B AUD
Other Expenses
-815m AUD
Net Income
1.3B AUD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Qantas Airways Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Qantas reported an underlying profit before tax of $2.08 billion for FY2024. Despite a $387 million decline due to increased investments and lower freight yields, the company demonstrated resilience with a post-tax statutory profit of $1.25 billion. Operating cash flow was robust at $3.4 billion, supported by second-half rebounds. The group is undergoing significant fleet renewal, adding 16 aircraft and investing $3.1 billion in CapEx. Qantas Domestic earned $1.06 billion in EBIT, while Qantas International saw $556 million. Moving into FY2025, Qantas guides a 2-4% RASK increase domestically and expects positive revenue momentum across all brands.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

QAN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Qantas Airways Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional ROE
67/100
Profitability
Score

Qantas Airways Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

QAN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Qantas Airways Ltd's solvency score is 18/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
18/100
Solvency
Score

Qantas Airways Ltd's solvency score is 18/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

QAN Price Targets Summary
Qantas Airways Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast QAN stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for QAN is 9.24 AUD with a low forecast of 8.08 AUD and a high forecast of 11.4 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
8.08 AUD
10% Downside
Average
Price Target
9.24 AUD
3% Upside
Highest
Price Target
11.4 AUD
28% Upside
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Dividends

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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for QAN is .

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Qantas Airways Ltd Logo
Qantas Airways Ltd

Country

Australia

Industry

Airlines

Market Cap

13.9B AUD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Qantas Airways Ltd. provides air transportation services. The company is headquartered in Mascot, New South Wales. The firm is focused on the operation of international and domestic air transportation services, the provision of freight services, and the operation of a frequent flyer loyalty program. The firm's segments include Qantas Domestic, Qantas International, Jetstar Group and Qantas Loyalty. The Qantas Domestic, Qantas International, and Jetstar Group are engaged in passenger flying business and air cargo and express freight businesses. The Qantas Loyalty segment is engaged in the customer loyalty recognition programs. Its main business is the transportation of customers using two airline brands, which include Qantas and Jetstar. Its airline brands operate in regional, domestic and international services.

Contact

NEW SOUTH WALES
Mascot
10 Bourke Rd
+61296913636.0
www.qantas.com

IPO

1995-07-31

Employees

-

Officers

MD, Group CEO & Executive Director
Ms. Vanessa Hudson C.A.
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Robert Marcolina
Chief Executive Officer of Qantas Domestic
Mr. Markus Svensson
Chief Executive Officer of Qantas International & Freight
Mr. Cameron Wallace
Chief Executive Officer of Qantas Loyalty
Mr. Andrew Glance
Chief Executive Officer of Jetstar Group
Ms. Stephanie Tully
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Investor Relations
Filip Kidon
Group General Counsel, Company Secretary & Group Executive for Office of the CEO
Mr. Andrew John Finch B Com, B.Com., L.L.B., L.L.M., LLM (Hons 1), M.B.A
Chief Corporate Affairs & Communications Officer
Ms. Danielle Keighery
Chief People Officer
Ms. Catherine Walsh
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one QAN stock?

The intrinsic value of one QAN stock under the Base Case scenario is 13.34 AUD.

Is QAN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 8.94 AUD, Qantas Airways Ltd is Undervalued by 33%.

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