Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG

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Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
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Price: 10.81 AUD 2.37% Market Closed
Market Cap: 18.6B AUD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one ORG stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.59 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 10.81 AUD, Origin Energy Ltd is Undervalued by 35%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

ORG Relative Value
Base Case
16.59 AUD
Undervaluation 35%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
1
vs Industry
55
Median 3Y
0.8
Median 5Y
0.7
Industry
1.6
Forward
1.1
vs History
14
vs Industry
52
Median 3Y
-3.2
Median 5Y
7.4
Industry
15.1
Forward
14.5
vs History
17
vs Industry
Median 3Y
8.1
Median 5Y
7.5
Industry
7
vs History
1
vs Industry
Median 3Y
-9.4
Median 5Y
-9.4
Industry
13.9
vs History
1
vs Industry
28
Median 3Y
1.5
Median 5Y
0.9
Industry
1.4
vs History
3
vs Industry
67
Median 3Y
1
Median 5Y
0.9
Industry
2.7
Forward
1.3
vs History
47
vs Industry
54
Median 3Y
8.2
Median 5Y
5.9
Industry
7.5
vs History
34
vs Industry
22
Median 3Y
12.9
Median 5Y
15.7
Industry
10.3
Forward
5.9
vs History
34
vs Industry
36
Median 3Y
12.9
Median 5Y
15.7
Industry
14.6
Forward
10.5
vs History
22
vs Industry
Median 3Y
10.4
Median 5Y
10.3
Industry
11.1
vs History
12
vs Industry
Median 3Y
-14.5
Median 5Y
14.2
Industry
16.8
vs History
3
vs Industry
23
Median 3Y
0.9
Median 5Y
0.7
Industry
0.9

Multiples Across Competitors

ORG Competitors Multiples
Origin Energy Ltd Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
18.6B AUD 1.2 13.3 22.6 22.6
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
147.4B USD 5.6 21.2 15.4 26
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
90.8B USD 3.4 19.2 12.5 21.8
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
84.9B EUR 1.9 12.7 7 10.6
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
83.6B USD 2.8 19.9 11.7 21.4
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
69.2B EUR 0.6 7.9 4 5.4
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
71.1B USD 3 24.8 12.7 23.1
US
PG&E Corp
NYSE:PCG
51.8B USD 2.1 18.9 11.8 20.9
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
49.3B USD 2.5 18.7 12.4 22.4
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
46.6B EUR 0.3 -2.5 -5.4 -3.2
DK
Oersted A/S
SWB:D2G
39B EUR 4.5 57.6 24.1 24.1
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average P/E: 21.4
13.3
-10%
N/A
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
21.2
14%
1.6
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
19.2
31%
0.6
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
12.7
24%
0.5
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
19.9
93%
0.2
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
7.9
112%
0.1
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
24.8
93%
0.3
US
PG&E Corp
NYSE:PCG
18.9
91%
0.2
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
18.7
53%
0.4
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -2.5 N/A N/A
DK
O
Oersted A/S
SWB:D2G
57.6
N/A N/A
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBITDA: 13.4
22.6
272%
0.1
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
15.4
24%
0.6
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
12.5
28%
0.4
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
7
16%
0.4
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
11.7
25%
0.5
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
4
1%
4.7
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
12.7
28%
0.5
US
PG&E Corp
NYSE:PCG
11.8
60%
0.2
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
12.4
38%
0.3
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -5.4 N/A N/A
DK
O
Oersted A/S
SWB:D2G
24.1
153%
0.2
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
AU
Origin Energy Ltd
ASX:ORG
Average EV/EBIT: 19.8
22.6
98%
0.2
US
Nextera Energy Inc
NYSE:NEE
26
26%
1
US
Southern Co
NYSE:SO
21.8
46%
0.5
ES
Iberdrola SA
MAD:IBE
10.6
21%
0.5
US
Duke Energy Corp
NYSE:DUK
21.4
35%
0.6
IT
Enel SpA
MIL:ENEL
5.4
1%
3.8
US
Constellation Energy Corp
NASDAQ:CEG
23.1
161%
0.1
US
PG&E Corp
NYSE:PCG
20.9
99%
0.2
US
American Electric Power Company Inc
NASDAQ:AEP
22.4
56%
0.4
FR
Electricite de France SA
PAR:EDF
Negative Multiple: -3.2 N/A N/A
DK
O
Oersted A/S
SWB:D2G
24.1
64%
0.4

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