Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM

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Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM
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Price: 23.35 AUD
Market Cap: 20.8B AUD
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one NCM stock under the Base Case scenario is 30.1 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 23.35 AUD, Newcrest Mining Ltd is Undervalued by 22%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

NCM Relative Value
Base Case
30.1 AUD
Undervaluation 22%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

2.9
P/S
P/S
Price to Sales
2.9
vs History
76
vs Industry
42
Median 3Y
3
Median 5Y
3.1
Industry
1.8
Forward
2.8
More Details
17
P/E
P/E
Price to Earnings
17
vs History
53
vs Industry
13
Median 3Y
17.1
Median 5Y
17.4
Industry
15.8
Forward
16.1
More Details
8.3
P/OCF
P/OCF
Price to OCF
8.3
vs History
52
vs Industry
17
Median 3Y
8.4
Median 5Y
8.4
Industry
9.4
More Details
25.8
P/FCFE
P/FCFE
Price to FCFE
25.8
vs History
39
vs Industry
10
Median 3Y
26.3
Median 5Y
20.7
Industry
15.4
More Details
1.1
P/B
P/B
Price to Book Value
1.1
vs History
87
vs Industry
46
Median 3Y
1.2
Median 5Y
1.3
Industry
1.5
More Details
3.2
EV/S
EV/S
Enterprise Value to Sales
3.2
vs History
69
vs Industry
41
Median 3Y
3.3
Median 5Y
3.3
Industry
2.2
Forward
3
More Details
11.9
EV/GP
EV/GP
Enterprise Value to Gross Profit
11.9
vs History
44
vs Industry
24
Median 3Y
11.9
Median 5Y
11.4
Industry
7.4
More Details
7.1
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA
Enterprise Value to EBITDA
7.1
vs History
63
vs Industry
19
Median 3Y
7.2
Median 5Y
7.3
Industry
10.4
Forward
6.9
More Details
12.5
EV/EBIT
EV/EBIT
Enterprise Value to EBIT
12.5
vs History
52
vs Industry
15
Median 3Y
12.6
Median 5Y
12.6
Industry
13.1
Forward
12.1
More Details
9.1
EV/OCF
EV/OCF
Enterprise Value to OCF
9.1
vs History
50
vs Industry
18
Median 3Y
9.3
Median 5Y
9.1
Industry
10.6
More Details
29.6
EV/FCFF
EV/FCFF
Enterprise Value to FCFF
29.6
vs History
41
vs Industry
7
Median 3Y
30.2
Median 5Y
28.6
Industry
13.5
More Details
0.9
EV/IC
EV/IC
Enterprise Value to IC
0.9
vs History
87
vs Industry
49
Median 3Y
0.9
Median 5Y
1
Industry
1.3
More Details

Multiples Across Competitors

NCM Competitors Multiples
Newcrest Mining Ltd Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
AU
Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM
20.8B AUD 2.9 17 7.1 12.5
RU
Polyus PJSC
LSE:PLZL
70.4T USD 15 191.9 47 280.3 26 083.2 29 932.1
ZA
Gold Fields Ltd
JSE:GFI
232.3B Zac 0 0 0 0
ZA
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd
JSE:HAR
100.9B Zac 0 0 0 0
CN
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd
SSE:601899
408B CNY 1.4 13.9 12.2 12.2
US
Newmont Corporation
NYSE:NEM
45.8B USD 2.7 -37.8 9.1 16.7
CA
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
TSX:AEM
59.3B CAD 5.3 41.4 9.9 15.5
CA
Barrick Gold Corp
TSX:ABX
40.7B CAD 2.3 17.6 5.3 8.3
CA
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp
TSX:WPM
38.9B CAD 22.4 44.8 29.3 40.2
CA
Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV
32.8B CAD 21 -38.1 23.6 31.6
RU
Polyus PAO
MOEX:PLZL
1.8T RUB 3.5 7.3 6.3 7.1
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
AU
Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM
Average P/E: 6 774.6
17
N/A N/A
RU
P
Polyus PJSC
LSE:PLZL
47 280.3
N/A N/A
ZA
G
Gold Fields Ltd
JSE:GFI
Not Available
192%
N/A
ZA
H
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd
JSE:HAR
Not Available
99%
N/A
CN
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd
SSE:601899
13.9
102%
0.1
US
Newmont Corporation
NYSE:NEM
Negative Multiple: -37.8 N/A N/A
CA
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
TSX:AEM
41.4
12%
3.5
CA
Barrick Gold Corp
TSX:ABX
17.6
163%
0.1
CA
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp
TSX:WPM
44.8
54%
0.8
CA
Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV
Negative Multiple: -38.1 N/A N/A
RU
Polyus PAO
MOEX:PLZL
7.3
N/A N/A
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
AU
Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM
Average EV/EBITDA: 2 909.5
7.1
N/A N/A
RU
P
Polyus PJSC
LSE:PLZL
26 083.2
N/A N/A
ZA
G
Gold Fields Ltd
JSE:GFI
Not Available
63%
N/A
ZA
H
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd
JSE:HAR
Not Available
97%
N/A
CN
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd
SSE:601899
12.2
140%
0.1
US
Newmont Corporation
NYSE:NEM
9.1
247%
0
CA
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
TSX:AEM
9.9
54%
0.2
CA
Barrick Gold Corp
TSX:ABX
5.3
70%
0.1
CA
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp
TSX:WPM
29.3
76%
0.4
CA
Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV
23.6
31%
0.8
RU
Polyus PAO
MOEX:PLZL
6.3
N/A N/A
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
AU
Newcrest Mining Ltd
ASX:NCM
Average EV/EBIT: 3 341.8
12.5
N/A N/A
RU
P
Polyus PJSC
LSE:PLZL
29 932.1
N/A N/A
ZA
G
Gold Fields Ltd
JSE:GFI
Not Available
93%
N/A
ZA
H
Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd
JSE:HAR
Not Available
45%
N/A
CN
Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd
SSE:601899
12.2
95%
0.1
US
Newmont Corporation
NYSE:NEM
16.7
912%
0
CA
Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd
TSX:AEM
15.5
62%
0.3
CA
Barrick Gold Corp
TSX:ABX
8.3
106%
0.1
CA
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp
TSX:WPM
40.2
84%
0.5
CA
Franco-Nevada Corp
TSX:FNV
31.6
14%
2.3
RU
Polyus PAO
MOEX:PLZL
7.1
N/A N/A

See Also

Summary
NCM intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
NCM stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
NCM stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
NCM price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
NCM stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Discover More
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