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Fundamental Analysis
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Afterpay Ltd. has emerged as a pivotal player in the rapidly evolving landscape of digital payments, revolutionizing the way consumers approach purchasing both online and in-store. Founded in 2014 in Australia, this financial technology company provides a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) service that allows shoppers to split their purchases into four interest-free installments. As consumer preferences shift towards flexible payment options, Afterpay has garnered significant attention, making it appealing not only to tech-savvy Millennials and Gen Z shoppers but also to investors seeking a stake in the burgeoning fintech sector. With partnerships spanning thousands of merchants, including major glob...
Afterpay Ltd. has emerged as a pivotal player in the rapidly evolving landscape of digital payments, revolutionizing the way consumers approach purchasing both online and in-store. Founded in 2014 in Australia, this financial technology company provides a Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) service that allows shoppers to split their purchases into four interest-free installments. As consumer preferences shift towards flexible payment options, Afterpay has garnered significant attention, making it appealing not only to tech-savvy Millennials and Gen Z shoppers but also to investors seeking a stake in the burgeoning fintech sector. With partnerships spanning thousands of merchants, including major global brands, Afterpay's model fosters increased sales for retailers while enhancing customer loyalty through a more streamlined shopping experience.
For investors, Afterpay presents a unique value proposition in a market that is continually adapting to consumer demands and preferences. The company has experienced rapid growth, showcasing its ability to scale operations effectively in various regions, including its expansion into the U.S. and the U.K. The strategic acquisition by Square, Inc. in 2021 further solidified Afterpay’s market position, integrating its services within a broader ecosystem of financial solutions. With a strong focus on innovation, Afterpay is set to capitalize on the ongoing trend towards alternative payment methods, making it a noteworthy investment opportunity in the fintech arena as it navigates challenges and opportunities within this dynamic industry.
As of my last update in October 2023, Afterpay Limited, now part of Block, Inc., operates primarily within the financial technology sector, focusing on the "Buy Now, Pay Later" (BNPL) model. Its core business segments include:
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Merchant Services:
- Afterpay partners with various retailers and merchants to offer its BNPL services. This segment focuses on integrating Afterpay's payment solutions into retail platforms, which allows consumers to make purchases and split payments into installments. The merchant services provide businesses with access to a growing customer base and promote higher conversion rates.
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Consumer Services:
- This segment focuses on the end-user experience, allowing consumers to make purchases and pay for them over time without incurring interest, provided they make payments on schedule. Afterpay appeals to younger consumers who prefer flexible payment options and is designed to enhance affordability while promoting responsible spending.
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International Expansion:
- Afterpay has expanded its services beyond its original market in Australia to include the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and several other countries. This international presence is critical for driving growth and diversification, allowing Afterpay to reach a broader audience and increase its market share in the global BNPL landscape.
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Technology and Innovation:
- Afterpay continuously invests in technology to enhance its platform and improve user experience. This includes innovations in payment processing, data analytics, and customer engagement, which are integral to sustaining growth and keeping ahead in the competitive fintech space.
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Marketing and Consumer Engagement:
- Afterpay focuses on brand awareness and consumer education to promote its BNPL services. This involves targeted marketing strategies that resonate with their core demographic, often emphasizing the convenience, safety, and budgeting benefits of using their service.
These segments collectively contribute to Afterpay's overall mission of offering seamless and flexible payment solutions to consumers while providing merchants with valuable insights and tools to optimize their sales processes.
Afterpay Ltd, as a leader in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) space, has several competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Afterpay has established itself as a recognizable brand in the BNPL market. Its strong marketing campaigns and partnerships with popular retailers contribute to high consumer trust and loyalty.
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Retail Partnerships: Afterpay has an extensive network of partnerships with a variety of retailers. This enables consumers to use their services at a wide range of merchants, fostering convenience and encouraging broader adoption.
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User-Friendly Experience: Afterpay offers a seamless and user-friendly app and checkout process. This simplicity attracts both consumers and merchants, making it an attractive payment alternative.
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Targeted Demographic Focus: Afterpay has effectively targeted younger consumers, particularly millennials and Gen Z, who are more inclined to use BNPL services. This demographic resonates with Afterpay’s payment model, which allows them to manage spending without accruing traditional credit debt.
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No Interest Fees: Unlike credit cards, Afterpay's model typically does not accrue interest if payments are made on time. This is highly appealing to consumers, making it a favorable alternative for managing finances.
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Data Analytics: Afterpay leverages data analytics to understand consumer behavior better and optimize its offerings. This capability enables personalized marketing and risk assessment to minimize potential defaults.
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Global Scale: Afterpay has expanded its services internationally, increasing its market reach and brand presence. This global strategy helps diversify its revenue sources and decrease reliance on any single market.
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Value-Added Services: Through its platform, Afterpay offers additional services, including rewards programs and customer incentives that enhance user engagement and retention.
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Effective Risk Management: Afterpay has developed robust risk assessment methods to evaluate consumer creditworthiness. This allows them to minimize default rates while approving a higher number of consumers.
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Community Engagement and Ethical Consumerism: Afterpay positions itself as a responsible lender, promoting budgeting and financial wellness. This aligns with a growing consumer trend toward ethical financial practices, distinguishing it from more traditional lenders.
Overall, Afterpay’s combination of brand recognition, retail partnerships, user experience, and a strong marketing approach positions it favorably over its competitors in the evolving BNPL landscape.
Afterpay Ltd, a leader in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) sector, faces several risks and challenges as it navigates the evolving financial landscape. Here are some potential risks and challenges the company may encounter in the near future:
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Regulatory Scrutiny: Governments around the world are increasingly considering regulations for BNPL services to protect consumers. Stricter regulations could limit Afterpay’s business model and growth potential.
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Market Competition: The BNPL market has seen significant growth, attracting numerous competitors, including traditional financial institutions, fintech startups, and other payment platforms. Increased competition may pressure Afterpay to lower fees or enhance their services.
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Credit Risk: As Afterpay extends credit to consumers, it faces the risk of defaults. Economic downturns or rising unemployment can increase default rates, impacting the company's profitability.
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Consumer Behavior Changes: Shifts in consumer spending habits, particularly with economic uncertainties, could affect the demand for BNPL services. If consumers tighten their budgets or prefer other payment methods, Afterpay could see a reduction in transaction volume.
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Economic Downturns: A recession or economic slowdown can lead to increased scrutiny of consumer debt and spending patterns. This scenario could decrease transaction volumes and higher default rates.
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Technological Disruptions: The fintech sector is rapidly evolving, and new technologies could change consumer preferences or create more efficient payment solutions. Afterpay needs to continually innovate to stay relevant.
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Data Security and Privacy: As Afterpay handles sensitive consumer financial information, it is susceptible to data breaches and cyberattacks. Maintaining robust data security is crucial for protecting consumer trust.
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Global Expansion Risks: If Afterpay expands into new international markets, it faces challenges including cultural differences, regulatory environments, and established local competitors.
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Consumer Debt Concerns: Growing awareness about the impacts of consumer debt might lead to a backlash against BNPL services, pushing consumers to shy away from using these payment options.
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Partnership Reliance: Afterpay’s business model heavily relies on partnerships with merchants. If these relationships falter or if merchants choose to work with competitors, it could significantly impact Afterpay's transaction flow.
Addressing these risks and challenges effectively will be crucial for Afterpay's sustained growth and market positioning in the financial landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Afterpay Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Afterpay Ltd
Current Assets | 2.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 1.5B |
Other Current Assets | 18.8m |
Non-Current Assets | 458.5m |
Long-Term Investments | 26.8m |
PP&E | 42.1m |
Intangibles | 227.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 162.1m |
Current Liabilities | 325.4m |
Accounts Payable | 306.3m |
Other Current Liabilities | 19.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 169.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Afterpay Ltd
Revenue
|
924.7m
AUD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-249.6m
AUD
|
Gross Profit
|
675.1m
AUD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-747.6m
AUD
|
Operating Income
|
-72.5m
AUD
|
Other Expenses
|
-83.8m
AUD
|
Net Income
|
-156.3m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Afterpay Ltd
AUD | |
Free Cash Flow | AUD |
APT Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Afterpay Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Afterpay Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
APT Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Afterpay Ltd's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Afterpay Ltd's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
APT Price Targets Summary
Afterpay Ltd
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for APT is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Afterpay Ltd. engages in the provision of technology-driven payments solutions. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria and currently employs 1,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-06-29. The firm's primary activities include technology-driven payments solutions for customers and merchants through its Afterpay and Pay Now services and businesses. The firm's segment includes : Afterpay Asia Pacific, Afterpay North America, Clearpay and Pay Now. Afterpay Asia Pacific segment comprises of Afterpay platforms in Australia, New Zealand, and Asia. Afterpay North America segment comprises of Afterpay platforms in the United States of America and Canada. Clearpay segment comprises of Clearpay platforms in the United Kingdom and Europe. Pay Now segment Comprises of mobility, health, and e-services. The firm offers both online and in-store purchases services to the customers.