Ampol Ltd
ASX:ALD

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Ampol Ltd
ASX:ALD
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Price: 29.01 AUD 1.29% Market Closed
Market Cap: 6.9B AUD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ALD stock under the Base Case scenario is 79.63 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 29.01 AUD, Ampol Ltd is Undervalued by 64%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ALD Intrinsic Value
79.63 AUD
Undervaluation 64%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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Ampol Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Ampol Ltd

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0-3
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0-6
Months
0-12
Months
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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ampol Ltd

Current Assets 5.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 53.6m
Receivables 2.6B
Other Current Assets 2.8B
Non-Current Assets 7B
Long-Term Investments 322.7m
PP&E 4.9B
Intangibles 1.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 555.2m
Current Liabilities 4.9B
Accounts Payable 4.1B
Accrued Liabilities 109.5m
Short-Term Debt 40m
Other Current Liabilities 656.9m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.3B
Long-Term Debt 3.1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ampol Ltd

Revenue
37.5B AUD
Cost of Revenue
-34.3B AUD
Gross Profit
3.2B AUD
Operating Expenses
-2B AUD
Operating Income
1.3B AUD
Other Expenses
-580.6m AUD
Net Income
705.2m AUD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ampol Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

ALD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ampol Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive ROE
ROE is Increasing
53/100
Profitability
Score

Ampol Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ALD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ampol Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
40/100
Solvency
Score

Ampol Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ALD Price Targets Summary
Ampol Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast ALD stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALD is 33.86 AUD with a low forecast of 30.4 AUD and a high forecast of 38.33 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
30.4 AUD
5% Upside
Average
Price Target
33.86 AUD
17% Upside
Highest
Price Target
38.33 AUD
32% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
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Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ALD is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Ownership

ALD Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Profile

Ampol Ltd Logo
Ampol Ltd

Country

Australia

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

6.9B AUD

Dividend Yield

8.27%

Description

Ampol Ltd. engages in the supply of transport fuels. The company is headquartered in Sydney, New South Wales and currently employs 8,300 full-time employees. The firm is primarily involved in the purchase, refining, distribution and marketing of petroleum products and the operation of convenience stores. The firm segment includes Convenience Retail and Fuels and Infrastructure. Its Convenience Retail segment includes revenues and costs associated with fuels and shop offerings at Ampol’s network of stores, including royalties and franchise fees on remaining franchise stores. Its Fuels and Infrastructure segment includes revenues and costs associated with the integrated wholesale fuels and lubricants supply for the Company, including the Company’s international businesses, which consists of lytton refining, bulk fuels sales, trading and shipping, infrastructure, and the Gull and Seaoil businesses. The firm operates in Australia, New Zealand, the United States and Singapore.

Contact

NEW SOUTH WALES
Sydney
L 24 2 Market St
+61292505000.0
www.ampol.com.au

IPO

1980-12-31

Employees

8 300

Officers

CEO, MD & Director
Mr. Matthew Halliday
Group Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Gregory David Barnes BCOM, CA, GAICD, MBA
Executive General Manager of Digital Data & Technology
Mr. Andrew Brewer
Executive General Manager of Retail Australia
Ms. Kate Thomson
Executive General Manager of Z Energy
Mr. N. Lindis Jones BCom (Hons), BSc, M.Fin
General Manager Investor Relations & Sustainability
Ms. Frances Van Reyk
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Executive GM, Group General Counsel, Regulation & Company Secretary
Ms. Faith Taylor
Executive General Manager of People & Culture
Ms. Meaghan Davis
Head of Corporate Affairs
Mr. Richard Baker
Additional Company Secretary
Yvonne Chong
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ALD stock?

The intrinsic value of one ALD stock under the Base Case scenario is 79.63 AUD.

Is ALD stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 29.01 AUD, Ampol Ltd is Undervalued by 64%.

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