Tellurian Inc
AMEX:TELL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TELL stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.346 USD. Compared to the current market price of 0.999 USD, Tellurian Inc is Overvalued by 65%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Tellurian Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Tellurian Inc. is an innovative energy company primarily focused on the development and operation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. Founded in 2016, Tellurian is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and aims to create a more efficient and sustainable energy future by harnessing the potential of natural gas as a cleaner alternative to other fossil fuels. The cornerstone of its strategy is the Driftwood LNG project, located in Louisiana, which is positioned to become a key player in the global LNG market. With strategic partnerships and an extensive supply chain, Tellurian plans to produce, transport, and sell LNG to meet the increasing global demand for energy, especially in regions commit...
Tellurian Inc. is an innovative energy company primarily focused on the development and operation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. Founded in 2016, Tellurian is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and aims to create a more efficient and sustainable energy future by harnessing the potential of natural gas as a cleaner alternative to other fossil fuels. The cornerstone of its strategy is the Driftwood LNG project, located in Louisiana, which is positioned to become a key player in the global LNG market. With strategic partnerships and an extensive supply chain, Tellurian plans to produce, transport, and sell LNG to meet the increasing global demand for energy, especially in regions committed to reducing carbon emissions.
As an investor, you should note that Tellurian’s ambitious growth plans are supported by a robust infrastructure and a strong management team with extensive experience in energy and finance. The company envisions not only meeting domestic gas needs but also exporting LNG to international markets - thus tapping into the lucrative global energy trade. Tellurian’s unique approach combines long-term contracts and flexible trading options, enhancing both stability and profitability. With the ongoing transition to cleaner energy, Tellurian stands at the forefront of this evolution, striving to provide sustainable energy solutions while maximizing shareholder value. As global energy demands evolve, Tellurian Inc. is positioned to be a significant contributor to the future of the LNG sector, making it an intriguing option for investors looking to engage in the energy landscape.
Tellurian Inc. is primarily involved in the natural gas industry, focusing on the development and operation of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. The core business segments of Tellurian Inc. can be outlined as follows:
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Upstream Operations:
- This segment involves the exploration and production of natural gas resources. Tellurian focuses on developing its own natural gas resources to ensure a stable supply for its LNG projects. This includes managing natural gas production and optimizing the extraction processes.
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LNG Infrastructure Development:
- Tellurian is heavily invested in the construction and operation of LNG terminals and associated infrastructure. This segment includes:
- LNG Export Facilities: Tellurian is developing the Driftwood LNG project in Louisiana, which aims to be a major export terminal for US-produced LNG.
- Pipeline Development: The company also focuses on building pipelines that connect gas supply sources with its LNG facilities, ensuring efficient transportation of the natural gas.
- Tellurian is heavily invested in the construction and operation of LNG terminals and associated infrastructure. This segment includes:
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Marketing and Sales:
- This segment revolves around marketing the LNG produced by Tellurian and securing off-take agreements with customers globally. Tellurian works on building relationships with potential buyers in various markets, primarily in Asia and Europe, where demand for cleaner energy sources is increasing.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures:
- Tellurian seeks to enhance its business model through strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies, which can provide additional capital, technological expertise, or access to new markets.
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Sustainability and Environmental Stewardship:
- Although it is not a separate segment, sustainability practices are increasingly integral to Tellurian's overall strategy. The company recognizes the importance of environmental considerations in the development of natural gas projects and focuses on minimizing its carbon footprint and promoting cleaner energy alternatives.
These segments collectively position Tellurian Inc. as a key player in the LNG market, leveraging the growing global demand for natural gas as an energy source.
Tellurian Inc., as a player in the natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) sectors, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strategic Location: Tellurian's proposed Driftwood LNG project is strategically located near key natural gas supplies in the U.S., giving it an edge in access to low-cost gas. This proximity allows for reduced transportation costs and operational efficiencies.
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Integrated Model: Tellurian operates with an integrated business model, combining upstream (natural gas production) and downstream (LNG export) activities. This vertical integration can help to stabilize costs, enhance margins, and allow for better control over the supply chain.
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Long-Term Supply Contracts: The company has been actively pursuing long-term contracts with buyers, which helps lock in revenue streams and ensure demand for its LNG products. This strategic approach can provide a financial cushion against market volatility.
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Innovative Financing Structure: Tellurian is known for exploring unique financing options, such as its "marketing approach" to raise capital. By engaging with potential customers and developing partnerships before finalizing project funding, the company mitigates financial risks associated with large-scale projects.
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Regulatory Advantage: The U.S. has favorable regulatory conditions for LNG exports, and Tellurian has already secured necessary approvals for its projects, which can streamline their operational timeline compared to competitors facing lengthy regulatory hurdles.
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Strong Leadership and Vision: With a strong management team led by CEO Octavio Simoes, Tellurian benefits from experienced leadership that understands the market dynamics and has a clear vision for growth and sustainability in the energy sector.
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Focus on Sustainability: As the global energy landscape shifts towards cleaner energy sources, Tellurian is positioned to adapt its operations to meet evolving regulatory standards and consumer preferences for sustainable energy options.
These factors combined contribute to Tellurian's competitive edge in the rapidly evolving energy market, allowing it to better navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities.
Tellurian Inc., a company focused on natural gas production and liquefied natural gas (LNG) export, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Volatility: The LNG market is subject to fluctuations in demand and pricing, influenced by geopolitical tensions, competition from other energy sources, and changes in global energy policies.
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Regulatory Challenges: Environmental regulations and safety standards can impact operational costs and timelines. Changes in policies regarding fossil fuels could pose significant risks to Tellurian's business model.
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Construction and Development Risks: Delays, cost overruns, or complications in the construction of LNG facilities can impact profitability and shareholder confidence. This includes the potential for disputes with contractors and suppliers.
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Financing Risks: The capital-intensive nature of LNG projects requires substantial investment. Securing financing can be a challenge, especially in a fluctuating macroeconomic environment.
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Geopolitical Risks: Changes in political relationships, particularly in countries from which Tellurian sources its LNG or into which it exports, can impact operations. Sanctions and trade restrictions can affect supply chains and market access.
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Technological Risks: The energy sector is rapidly evolving, with advancements in renewable energy and alternative technologies. If Tellurian cannot innovate or adapt to market trends, it may lose competitiveness.
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Competition: The LNG market is highly competitive, with numerous players entering the market. Established competitors may respond aggressively to protect market share, impacting pricing and margins.
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Climate Change Concerns: Growing emphasis on climate change and sustainability could lead to increased pressure on fossil fuel companies. This could result in higher costs for compliance or decreased demand for LNG.
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Operational Risks: The complexities of natural gas production and transportation introduce risks related to safety, environmental incidents, and operational inefficiencies.
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Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, including recessions, inflation, and changing consumer preferences, can impact demand for LNG and the overall energy sector.
Navigating these risks will require strategic planning, robust risk management practices, and continuous monitoring of the dynamic market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Tellurian Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tellurian Inc
Current Assets | 43.7m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 19.2m |
Receivables | 22.6m |
Other Current Assets | 1.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 896m |
Long-Term Investments | 6.1m |
PP&E | 799.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 90.7m |
Current Liabilities | 160.5m |
Accounts Payable | 55.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 43m |
Other Current Liabilities | 62.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 224.4m |
Long-Term Debt | 208m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 16.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Tellurian Inc
Revenue
|
83.2m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-40.6m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
42.7m
USD
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Operating Expenses
|
-144.7m
USD
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Operating Income
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-102m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-160.8m
USD
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Net Income
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-262.9m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tellurian Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
TELL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tellurian Inc's profitability score is 24/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Tellurian Inc's profitability score is 24/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TELL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tellurian Inc's solvency score is 25/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Tellurian Inc's solvency score is 25/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TELL Price Targets Summary
Tellurian Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TELL is 1.193 USD with a low forecast of 0.253 USD and a high forecast of 2.73 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TELL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
TELL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tellurian, Inc. engages in producing natural gas and investing in natural gas projects. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas and currently employs 107 full-time employees. The firm is developing a portfolio of natural gas production, liquefied natural gas (LNG) marketing, and infrastructure assets that include an LNG terminal facility (the Driftwood terminal) and three related pipelines (the Pipeline Network), other related pipelines, and upstream natural gas assets. The firm's natural gas assets consist of approximately 13,521 net acres and interests in 82 producing wells located in the Haynesville Shale trend of northern Louisiana.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one TELL stock under the Base Case scenario is 0.346 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.999 USD, Tellurian Inc is Overvalued by 65%.