InPost SA
AEX:INPST

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InPost SA
AEX:INPST
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Price: 17.21 EUR 2.08% Market Closed
Market Cap: 8.6B EUR
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one INPST stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.86 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 17.21 EUR, InPost SA is Overvalued by 8%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

INPST Intrinsic Value
15.86 EUR
Overvaluation 8%
Intrinsic Value
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Base Case
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InPost SA

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

InPost SA, a trailblazer in the European logistics and parcel delivery sector, has revolutionized the way consumers access and send packages. Founded in Poland in 2006, the company embraced an innovative approach to last-mile delivery with its network of automated parcel lockers, allowing customers to conveniently pick up and drop off packages at their leisure. This strategy not only meets the growing demand for e-commerce solutions but also aligns seamlessly with modern consumer preferences for speed and convenience. As online retail continues to expand globally, InPost stands at the forefront, equipped with a scalable business model that integrates technology and user-friendly interfaces,...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
InPost SA

Current Assets 2.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 787.6m
Receivables 1.6B
Other Current Assets 106.7m
Non-Current Assets 8.2B
Long-Term Investments 219.4m
PP&E 5.4B
Intangibles 2.4B
Other Non-Current Assets 259m
Current Liabilities 2.4B
Accounts Payable 1.1B
Accrued Liabilities 52.7m
Other Current Liabilities 1.2B
Non-Current Liabilities 6.4B
Long-Term Debt 6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 400.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
InPost SA

Revenue
9.8B PLN
Cost of Revenue
-251.3m PLN
Gross Profit
9.5B PLN
Operating Expenses
-7.7B PLN
Operating Income
1.8B PLN
Other Expenses
-763.1m PLN
Net Income
994.7m PLN

Free Cash Flow Analysis
InPost SA

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In Q3 2023, InPost achieved an 18% year-on-year volume growth and a 22% increase in revenue reaching PLN 2.1 billion. Adjusted EBITDA soared by 40%, propelled by operational efficiencies and strategic repricing, driving the net leverage ratio down from 3.2x to 2.6x compared to the previous year. Poland saw a robust 24% revenue growth with a 13% hike in parcel volumes, while international markets witnessed a 28% rise in volumes and 20% in revenue. In particular, the UK operations achieved a positive adjusted EBITDA and became the #1 APM network amidst a market contraction. Market share expanded across all territories, notably with a 128% volume growth in the UK where the e-commerce market shrank by 5%. A strategic partnership with the Tour de France aims to elevate the brand in Europe, with a focus on eco-friendly transport and innovation. With over 60% of Poles living within 7 minutes of InPost lockers and a strong customer preference evident, the company's growth engines in Poland continue to fire on all cylinders, as mirrored by a record Net Promoter Score of 80.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

INPST Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

InPost SA's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional ROE
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
57/100
Profitability
Score

InPost SA's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

INPST Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

InPost SA's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
High D/E
Positive Net Debt
24/100
Solvency
Score

InPost SA's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

INPST Price Targets Summary
InPost SA

Wall Street analysts forecast INPST stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for INPST is 19.17 EUR with a low forecast of 8.28 EUR and a high forecast of 24.15 EUR.

Lowest
Price Target
8.28 EUR
52% Downside
Average
Price Target
19.17 EUR
11% Upside
Highest
Price Target
24.15 EUR
40% Upside
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Dividends

InPost SA
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for INPST is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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INPST News

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Profile

InPost SA Logo
InPost SA

Country

Luxembourg

Industry

Logistics & Transportation

Market Cap

8.6B EUR

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

InPost SA (Luxembourg) operates as a holding company, which engages in the management of e-commerce enablement platform. The firm operates e-commerce enablement platform in Poland providing delivery services through Company's network of Automated Parcel Machines (APMs) and to-door couriers as well as fulfilment services to e-commerce merchants, including more than 1,100 in the United Kingdom. The firm provides delivery services via its network of over 12,000 APMs. The firm offers parcel delivery and fulfilment services to e-commerce merchants for the delivery of goods sold by businesses-to-consumer (B2C), but also consumer-to- consumer (C2C) and consumer-to-business (C2B) deliveries (returns). The firm provides also warehousing services to merchants.

Contact

Luxembourg
2-4 rue Beck
+352266388105.0
www.inpost.eu

IPO

2021-01-27

Employees

2 832

Officers

President of Management Board & CEO
Mr. Rafal Brzoska
Vice President of Management Board & CEO of International
Mr. Michael Rouse
CFO & Vice President of Board of Management
Mr. Francisco Javier van Engelen Sousa
Head of Investor Relations
Ms. Gabriela Burdach
Compliance Officer
Ms. Arleta Adamus
Chief Marketing & ESG Officer
Ms. Izabela Karolczyk -Szafranska

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one INPST stock?

The intrinsic value of one INPST stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.86 EUR.

Is INPST stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 17.21 EUR, InPost SA is Overvalued by 8%.

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