Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
AEX:AD
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AD stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.28 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 32.83 EUR, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV is Undervalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV, a major global player in the retail grocery sector, represents a compelling investment opportunity characterized by its robust operations in both Europe and the United States. Formed from the merger of Ahold and Delhaize Group in 2016, the company has cultivated a diverse portfolio that includes well-known supermarket chains such as Stop & Shop, Food Lion, and Giant, as well as European stalwarts like Albert Heijn and Delhaize. With a strong focus on digital transformation, sustainability, and local community engagement, Ahold Delhaize is strategically positioned to adapt to changing consumer preferences and the growing trend of e-commerce in the retail landsca...
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV, a major global player in the retail grocery sector, represents a compelling investment opportunity characterized by its robust operations in both Europe and the United States. Formed from the merger of Ahold and Delhaize Group in 2016, the company has cultivated a diverse portfolio that includes well-known supermarket chains such as Stop & Shop, Food Lion, and Giant, as well as European stalwarts like Albert Heijn and Delhaize. With a strong focus on digital transformation, sustainability, and local community engagement, Ahold Delhaize is strategically positioned to adapt to changing consumer preferences and the growing trend of e-commerce in the retail landscape. Their commitment to enhancing customer experience through technological innovation and efficient supply chain management reflects a business model grounded in value creation and long-term growth.
Ahold Delhaize's financial performance demonstrates its resilience and adaptability, even in challenging market conditions. The company has consistently delivered steady revenue growth and strong operating margins, driven by its expansive geographic footprint and increasing focus on private label products, which offer higher margins. As consumers continue to prioritize convenience and value, Ahold Delhaize is well equipped to meet demand through its omnichannel approach, including home delivery and click-and-collect services. For investors, the company not only offers potential for capital appreciation but also a reliable dividend yield, making it an attractive option for those seeking both growth and income in the evolving retail landscape. Through its disciplined management and strategic investments, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV remains a formidable contender in the grocery market, poised for continued success as it navigates future challenges.
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV is a multinational retail company based in the Netherlands, primarily engaged in food retailing. It operates under various retail brands and is involved in numerous market segments, primarily focused on groceries and related products. Here are the core business segments of Ahold Delhaize:
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Grocery Retail: This is the primary segment, encompassing a wide range of supermarkets and grocery stores. Ahold Delhaize operates several well-known brands, including:
- Albert Heijn: The largest supermarket chain in the Netherlands, known for its extensive product offerings and premium quality.
- Delhaize: A leading grocery retailer in Belgium, known for its fresh produce and high-quality products.
- Food Lion: A prominent supermarket chain in the southeastern United States.
- Hannaford: A supermarket chain primarily in the Northeast of the United States, emphasized on fresh foods and local sourcing.
- Stop & Shop: Another key player in the U.S. grocery market, offering a variety of products.
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E-commerce: Ahold Delhaize has increasingly focused on expanding its online shopping capabilities, particularly in response to shifting consumer preferences towards e-commerce. This segment includes online grocery sales, home delivery services, and click-and-collect options.
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Wholesale and Distribution: This segment may include the distribution of grocery products to other retailers as well as partnerships with local producers, leveraging their supply chain expertise.
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Pharmacy and Health: Some of Ahold Delhaize’s stores also include pharmacy sections, providing prescription medications and health-related products.
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Private Label Products: This segment includes a range of own-brand products which cater to cost-conscious consumers. Ahold Delhaize has developed a strong portfolio of private labels across various product categories.
Overall, Ahold Delhaize’s core business revolves around food retail, with an increasing emphasis on digital transformation and sustainability practices to meet modern consumer demands and enhance its market position.
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the grocery and retail industry:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Ahold Delhaize operates a diverse range of strong local brands such as Food Lion, Hannaford, and Stop & Shop in the U.S., and Albert Heijn and Delhaize in Europe. This brand diversification allows the company to cater to various consumer preferences and competitive landscapes.
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Scale and Market Presence: With a significant presence in both Europe and the United States, Ahold Delhaize benefits from economies of scale in purchasing, logistics, and operations, which can lead to lower costs and competitive pricing advantages.
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Omnichannel Strategy: The company's investment in both physical stores and online shopping capabilities has allowed it to create a seamless omnichannel experience for customers. This includes click-and-collect services and home delivery options, meeting the growing demand for convenience in shopping.
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Focus on Customer-Centric Innovation: Ahold Delhaize has a strong emphasis on understanding and responding to customer needs through data analytics and personalization. Their use of customer loyalty programs helps tailor promotions and pricing strategies to enhance customer satisfaction and retention.
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Sustainability and Social Responsibility: The company has made significant strides in sustainability initiatives, such as reducing food waste, committing to sustainable sourcing, and improving energy efficiency. This commitment resonates with environmentally-conscious consumers, thus enhancing brand loyalty.
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Robust Supply Chain Management: Ahold Delhaize invests in efficient supply chain solutions, which not only reduce costs but also improve inventory management and responsiveness to market demands. Their strong relationships with suppliers further bolster this advantage.
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Financial Strength and Stability: The company's strong financial position provides it with the flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, such as technology upgrades, new store openings, and enhancing digital capabilities, which might be challenging for competitors with weaker financials.
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Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Ahold Delhaize has a history of strategic acquisitions that have expanded its market footprint and capabilities. Such acquisitions, along with partnerships with technology companies, allow for continued innovation and growth.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV is better positioned to adapt to market changes, fend off competition, and satisfy evolving consumer preferences, ensuring sustained growth and profitability in a challenging retail environment.
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV, a multinational retail and grocery company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. These can broadly be categorized into market, operational, regulatory, and economic risks:
1. Market Competition
- Intense Competition: The retail sector is highly competitive with both traditional grocery stores and discount retailers (like Aldi and Lidl) vying for market share. The rise of e-commerce also brings new competitors.
- Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts toward online shopping and preferences for organic or locally sourced products may impact traditional brick-and-mortar sales.
2. Economic Factors
- Inflationary Pressures: Rising costs of goods and materials may squeeze margins and impact consumer spending. Economic downturns can lead to decreased discretionary spending.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues (exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic) could lead to stock shortages and increased procurement costs.
3. Regulatory and Legal Challenges
- Compliance with Regulations: Changes in food safety laws, labeling requirements, and environmental regulations can impose additional operational burdens.
- Data Privacy Concerns: As the company collects more consumer data for personalized services, it must navigate increasingly stringent data protection regulations (like GDPR in Europe).
4. Technological Adaptation
- Digital Transformation: The need to continuously invest in technology to enhance e-commerce capabilities and improve customer experience is crucial, but it requires substantial investment.
- Cybersecurity Risks: As a retailer, Ahold Delhaize is susceptible to cyberattacks, which could compromise customer data and disrupt operations.
5. Sustainability Pressures
- Environmental Sustainability: Consumers and regulatory bodies are increasingly demanding sustainability in operations, affecting how products are sourced and packaged.
- Social Responsibility: Maintaining a positive brand image requires adherence to social responsibility practices, which can be costly and complex.
6. Global Expansion Risks
- Geopolitical Factors: Expansion into new markets presents risks related to political instability, currency fluctuations, and cultural differences.
- Integration of Acquisitions: Successfully integrating newly acquired businesses can pose operational challenges and dilute focus from core operations.
7. Health Crises
- Pandemic-related Risks: Ongoing or future health crises (such as another pandemic) could disrupt operations, impact consumer behavior, and necessitate significant changes in business practices.
Conclusion
To navigate these risks and challenges, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV will need to remain agile, focus on customer preferences, ensure compliance with regulations, and invest in digital transformation while maintaining a robust risk management strategy. Performing regular market analysis and remaining proactive in addressing these issues will be critical for sustaining growth and profitability in the competitive retail landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
Current Assets | 11.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.8B |
Receivables | 2.6B |
Other Current Assets | 5.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 36.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.8B |
PP&E | 21.1B |
Intangibles | 13B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 422m |
Current Liabilities | 15.6B |
Accounts Payable | 8.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 48m |
Short-Term Debt | 1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 17.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 14.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
Revenue
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89.1B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-65.2B
EUR
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Gross Profit
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23.9B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-21.1B
EUR
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Operating Income
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2.9B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-1B
EUR
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Net Income
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1.8B
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
AD Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AD Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AD Price Targets Summary
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AD is 33.68 EUR with a low forecast of 27.27 EUR and a high forecast of 40.95 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AD is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV engages in the management and operation of supermarkets and e-commerce business. The company is headquartered in Zaandam, Noord-Holland and currently employs 413,000 full-time employees. The firm's segments are Ahold USA, Delhaize America, The Netherlands, Belgium, and Central and Southeastern Europe (CSE). In addition, Other retail, consists of Ahold Delhaize's unconsolidated joint ventures JMR - Gestao de Empresas de Retalho, SGPS, S.A. (JMR) and P.T. Lion Super Indo, LLC (Super Indo), and Ahold Delhaize's Global Support Office. JMR operates food retail stores in Portugal under the brand name Pingo Doce. The firm's Ahold USA segment includes Stop & Shop New England, Stop & Shop New York Metro, Giant Landover, Giant Carlisle and Peapod. The firm's Delhaize America segment includes brands, such as Food Lion and Hannaford. The Food Lion brand's market areas include Delaware, Georgia, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Kentucky, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia.
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The intrinsic value of one AD stock under the Base Case scenario is 54.28 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 32.83 EUR, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV is Undervalued by 40%.